Blackpool - Nottingham Forest

Blackpool are serious play-off contender, they’re 7th with two points less than Swansea and next three rounds will be decisive for them. Their recent run of results goes in their favor, as they have four wins of last five games (only defeat was vs. Newcastle on the road, 1-4), three wins were with two goals margin and fourth was demolishing mentioned Swansea at home – 5-1. At their Bloomfield Road, they’re not generous hosts, have five wins and a draw of last six and again two goals margin were every time except vs. Ipswich 1-0. Ian Holloway is well known as great motivator and no doubt players will put 100% of their effort today. Midfielder Bouazza and forward McPhee are sidelined, while left-back Stephen Crainey and another defender Neal Eardley will face a late fitness test. The Seasiders scored in all of their last 19 home matches and are unbeaten in four matches against Forest (1 win, 3 draws).

Forest have sealed their play-off spot as they theoretically can’t move up or down from it. They had a chance for an automatic promotion, but spoiled it with shameful run of results on the road. They noticed a draw at Bristol and ended a run of eight consecutive away defeats. In last three league rounds, they’ll have problems to find any motivation. Considering latest news, boss Billy Davies intends even to rest some of his key players. Striker Dele Adebola and defender Luke Chambers are carrying the knocks and these two very probably won’t play. Goalie Lee Camp should be rested as well. The biggest motivation today will have fringe players to prove themselves for a place in a team for play-off. 

Unfortunately, odds on home win have been dropping as the news regarding Forest’s absentees come. However, I think this is still a good call. Gamebookers offer 2.00, home win.

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