Play-off betting, Nott Forest - Swansea

Forest had plenty of problems to secure a play-off spot (although they had been already seen in it) as they had a nine games winless run (4 draws, 5 defeats). But they woke up just in time to notice five wins out of last six matches (one defeat at Norwich with very good display) and scored 17 goals in it. Experience playing in the previous play-off won’t harm as well. No injury worries for Billy Davies, since goalie Camp and midfielder Moussi are declared fit.

Swans also hit some good form, winning last three in a row, scoring ten in those and keeping a clean sheet in three of last four games. They have been facing plenty of problems when play away from home (won at the Den though) and collected as much as 11 defeats on the road. Before victory at Millwall, they’ve noticed four defeats of five, losing against relegated Preston and Scunny. Despite Brendan Rodgers is repeating they’re relaxed, I think they feel a bit more pressure than Forest.

Far from thinking the Jacks are without a chance, but at City Ground Forest are favorites regardless the name of the opponent. I expect a much more responsible approach that should prevent unnecessary conceding (like at Bristol, for example). They’re maybe even slight favorites for promotion. Home win. 

Bet: Nott Forest
Odd: 2.30
William Hill
Stake: 7/10

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