Boxing Day Betting - 26 Dec 2014

Two bets for today:

Brentford - Ipswich Town, Brentford -0.25 at 2.06 (Sbobet)

Leeds United - Wigan Athletic, Leeds 0.0 at 2.09 (BetVictor)

Happy holidays, lads!

Premier League betting - 7 Dec 2014

Aston Villa - Leicester, A.Villa -0.25 at 2.18 (Matchbook)

After a great start of the campaign and 10 points in the four opening rounds, Villa lost six in a row and most of the time looked pretty hopeless. Now, they’re in uptrend again, no defeat in four, Benteke is back and he scored for midweek win at Palace. This kind of games is their way of living. Leicester have collected only two points out of last nine games, five straight defeats on the road and no goal in four of those. Before QPR previous weekend, they had only 12 shots on target in 6 away games. Nigel Pearson had some arguing with the fans, which doesn’t help. It’s like 1-0 Villa for me, but taking some insurance in case of a draw.

Championship betting - 6 Dec 2014

Cardiff - Rotherham Utd, Cardiff -0.75 at 2.07 (Sbobet)

Cardiff are having five home wins in a row, seven out of nine this season. Rotherham are going in the opposite direction, no win in last five games in the league, scored only one goal in those. Only win on the road this season came against Millwall, back in August.

Ipswich - Leeds, Ipswich -0.75 at 2.04 (Sbobet)

Ipswich have four wins out of last five in the league and lost only one of last 15. At home they have five wins out of last seven and only one defeat out of last 14. Leeds are different kind of animal at Elland Road. In previous round they run over the leaders Derby, but on the road only one win out of 10 with four defeats in last five.

Premier League betting - 6 Dec 2014

QPR - Burnley, Over 2.5 at 2.10 (Tipico)

Last five games that QPR played at home ended with 3 or more goals, while they scored 2 goals in each (two of those five were against L’pool and Man City). I read somewhere they had 33 goal attempts against Leicester. They’ve been doing well in their mini-league, collecting 10 points from home games against Sunderland, Stoke, Aston Villa and Leicester.

Burnley on the other hand, are undefeated in last four, practicing some combat spirit, but seriously lacking in quality. Their last four on the road ended with 3 or more goals, while they scored in 7 out of last 8 away.

And odds. Odds are very acceptable.

Premier League betting II - 9 Nov 2014

West Brom - Newcastle, Over 2.25 at 1.98 (Pinnacle)
West Brom have been averaging 3.6 goals in five games at home this season, while their six out of last seven competitive games (home and away) ended with three or more goals. Newcastle have improved significantly, with the wins over Liverpool and Spurs in last two rounds - they are able to score here. At the same time, defence doesn't look solid (to me, at least) despite only one conceded goal in last four. I see goals on both sides, but taking some caution - in case of two goals, half stake is back.

Premier League betting - 9 Nov 2014

Sunderland - Everton, Everton -0.5 at 2.10 (bet365)

Sunderland have only one win out of last seven in league (3 defeats). Against Everton it’s worse, one home win out of last 10 (W1-D3-L6) and two wins (both, home and away) out of last 22 (W2-D5-L15)! Everton have lost just two of their last 10 EPL matches away (W6-D2-L2).
Even if it might not be looking so at the first glance, I think this is a good price actually.

Championship betting - 4 Nov 2014

As mentioned in chat, I have two bets for tonight.

Blackburn 0.0 at Millwall @ 2.05 (Sbobet) and Watford -0.25 at Birmingham @ 1.98 (bet365). 

Millwall have won only one out of last 10 at home, while Blackburn are having three league wins in a row and being undefeated i five. They’re unbeaten in last five visits to The Den. 

Birmingham... They ashamed themselves against Bournemouth, have four straight defeats at home and also four straight defeats against Watford. Visitors are undefeated in last nine in league (4W-5D).

EPL and Championship - 1 Nov 2014

Everton - Swansea, over 2.75 2.13 (Pinnacle)

Everton have been scoring and conceding plenty. Their four home games this season produced 21 goals, there were five more goals in Europa League game vs Wolfsburg. They’re the most accurate shooters hitting the target with 54% efforts and have scored four goals from outside the box (best league record, alongside West Ham).

Looking at the record in all competitions, Swans have scored in 11 out of last 13 games on the road and all 11 produced at least three goals.

Cardiff - Leeds, Cardiff -0.75 at 1.99 (Pinnacle)

Cardiff have three home wins in a row, five out of seven in total - two defeats came vs ‘Boro and Norwich. In my opinion, they will finish in top six. They have won eight out of last ten meetings against Leeds (both home and away). 

What to say about Leeds... Celino is running the show, Hockaday was appointed and sacked, Milanic faced the axe after very short period, Neil Redfern is appointed once again, Milanic saying he’s just on vacation, Celino negotiates to sell the club to Red Bull... Complete mess. Meanwhile, team has been underperforming, six games without a win, away only one win in seven games.