English value betting, Friday 21 Oct

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Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town

Stanley have only one league win out of last eight (Aldershot), while Chelthenham have noticed three straight wins (two away) and Cup win at Wycombe (scored 10 in those four). Here’re the opposite trends and very good momentum for the Town. 3.07 for their win looks tasty and represents a nice value.

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Bet: Cheltenham
Odd: 3.07 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 2/10 

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Cambridge Utd. - Lincoln City

This is the clash between the sides that go in opposite directions. Utd are contender for promotion, City for relegation. The hosts have a decent home record with five wins out of eight, Lincoln have five defeats out of eight away. Last time on the road City defeated second from the bottom - Alfreton, but before that five straight defeats with only one goal scored. Some value on a home win.  

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Bet: Cambridge
Odd: 1.84 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 2/10
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Profit after all

Accrington Stanley 1 - 2 Port Vale

Kris Taylor kept Port Vale's play-off charge on track with a 40-yard stunner to secure victory at Accrington.
Valiants striker Craig Davies opened the scoring with a solo effort when he raced on to Doug Loft's ball and finished into the top corner. 
Seven minutes after the break, Bobby Grant received the ball 30 yards out and volleyed in the hosts' equaliser. 
But then came the spectacular winner with Taylor rifling the ball into the roof of the net after 65 minutes.

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Yeovil 1 - 1 Millwall

Millwall slipped out of the League One automatic promotion places despite salvaging a late draw at Yeovil.
The Glovers went ahead with their first shot just before the half-hour mark, Gavin Williams setting up Dean Bowditch for a crisp finish from 10 yards. 
Williams and Shaun MacDonald both went close for the Glovers after the break as Millwall struggled to get going. 
But they rescued a point with their first effort on target, a looping Jon Obika header in the last minute.
www.bbc.co.uk

Accrington Stanley - Port Vale

Stanley’s recent shape looks like they’ve already finished the season. For the weekend, they played a goalless draw against bottom side Darlington and before that five consecutive defeats. On all of those five, they conceded at least two goals. They surely wouldn’t like to lose all six games till the official end,but it looks their motivation is near zero. Hosts will be without defender Leam Richardson and midfielder Alan Burton.

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Port Vale are a decent side that are chasing a play-off spot with four points less than 7th Morecambe. They’re playing very well lately, noticing 7 points of last three games and having three wins and a draw in last four on the road. They fight for every ball on the pitch and oppositely from the hosts, their motivation is on very high level. Striker Sean Rigg should start the game after coming off the bench to score against Aldershot on Saturday.

I’m little surprised with such high odds for Port Vale. Stanley have a bad pitch and it should be the only advantage for the hosts. I wouldn’t exclude I don’t know something that bookies do, but for me visitors are favorites here. Stanley have only one home draw of 19 games and instead DNB, I’ll go on clear away win. Best price is at Pinnacle , 2.62.
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