League Two betting, Port Vale - Torquay

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Port Vale have three straight league defeats and adding two Cup games on that, they scored just once in last five matches. Also they won’t have fresh legs, as they played (and lost) mid week Cup game away at Grimsby.

Torquay are in a great run with four straight league wins (five, including Cup). Opponents in those weren’t sides from the top, but my impression is they’re simply too high and worth a punt.

Bet: Torquay 0.0
Odd: 2.18 (Canbet)
Stake: 7/10
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Burnley - Port Vale

Burnley are 10th in Championship with more than decent home record (8W-2D-3L). Their current form is not something special as they have four wins and four defeats in last eight and have not kept a clean sheet for 13 league and cup games. However, caretaker Stuart Gray plans to name the strongest squad for this game. Only missing is striker John Guidetti who returned to Manchester City.

Port Vale are third in League Two and fight for a direct promotion (a point below the line). In the last league round they beat Burton at home (2-1), but before that they noticed three consecutive defeats on the road where scored zero and conceded nine goals. Best striker, Marc Richards, is injured (and suspended). Midfielder Doug Loft will also be sidelined due to injury.

Burnley are 42 places higher than Port Vale. Difference in quality, serious approach and home turf are factors that make me feel there’s no room for surprise.

Bet: Burnley -1.25
Odd: 2.03 Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10

Maybe one more...
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Profit after all

Accrington Stanley 1 - 2 Port Vale

Kris Taylor kept Port Vale's play-off charge on track with a 40-yard stunner to secure victory at Accrington.
Valiants striker Craig Davies opened the scoring with a solo effort when he raced on to Doug Loft's ball and finished into the top corner. 
Seven minutes after the break, Bobby Grant received the ball 30 yards out and volleyed in the hosts' equaliser. 
But then came the spectacular winner with Taylor rifling the ball into the roof of the net after 65 minutes.

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Yeovil 1 - 1 Millwall

Millwall slipped out of the League One automatic promotion places despite salvaging a late draw at Yeovil.
The Glovers went ahead with their first shot just before the half-hour mark, Gavin Williams setting up Dean Bowditch for a crisp finish from 10 yards. 
Williams and Shaun MacDonald both went close for the Glovers after the break as Millwall struggled to get going. 
But they rescued a point with their first effort on target, a looping Jon Obika header in the last minute.
www.bbc.co.uk

Accrington Stanley - Port Vale

Stanley’s recent shape looks like they’ve already finished the season. For the weekend, they played a goalless draw against bottom side Darlington and before that five consecutive defeats. On all of those five, they conceded at least two goals. They surely wouldn’t like to lose all six games till the official end,but it looks their motivation is near zero. Hosts will be without defender Leam Richardson and midfielder Alan Burton.

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Port Vale are a decent side that are chasing a play-off spot with four points less than 7th Morecambe. They’re playing very well lately, noticing 7 points of last three games and having three wins and a draw in last four on the road. They fight for every ball on the pitch and oppositely from the hosts, their motivation is on very high level. Striker Sean Rigg should start the game after coming off the bench to score against Aldershot on Saturday.

I’m little surprised with such high odds for Port Vale. Stanley have a bad pitch and it should be the only advantage for the hosts. I wouldn’t exclude I don’t know something that bookies do, but for me visitors are favorites here. Stanley have only one home draw of 19 games and instead DNB, I’ll go on clear away win. Best price is at Pinnacle , 2.62.
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