Liverpool – WBA

Hodgson’s era isn’t started well. And if we can say Reina’s stupidity wasn’t so big tragedy, one derby defeat as well, then home failure against WBA would have an impact like a strong earthquake at Enfield. Importance of this game is even bigger because next L’pool 2 games, Brum and Man Utd both away. However, at home Liverpool won 13 of 19 games last season. 9 of those 13 were with 2 or more goals margin. Also won their last 10 games against WBA, 9 of them by at least 2 goals and have kept 17 clean sheets in their last 20 matches at home. Agger and Rodriguez are doubtful, Joe Cole still suspended, but Gerrard and Torres are back after Europa League rest.

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The Baggies were hammered by Chelsea in the first round (0-6), but it seems they didn’t care too much about it as they bounced back in the next game and defeated Sunderland (1-0). Home wins should be a key for their possible survival in the Premier, Di Matteo knows that and I think they won’t be caring too much about away defeats from top sides. He can’t count on some important players. Defenders Marek Cech and Joe Mattock, midfielder Jerome Thomas and striker Ishmael Miller will miss the game through injury. WBA have won just 3 of their last 18 Premier League matches, haven't won a Premier game away in 17 attempts, winning only one in the last 28 and scored just one goal in their last 10 matches at Enfield!

 

I think public is little overreacting about the problems at Liverpool. Mascherano’s departure isn’t so big blow. His staying would be bigger, considering his behavior lately. They’re very good squad, looked very well against Gunners and this is a nice chance to return a self confidence.

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Bet: Liverpool -1.25ah 

Odd: 1.76 188bet
Stake: 8/10
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Bolton - Fulham

Bolton hold 16th place with the same number of points as first under the line Hull City. New manager, Owen Coyle, has improved their performance and team morale. After two expected defeats vs. Arsenal (with decent displays), The Trotters noticed two home wins Sheff.Utd. 2-0 (Cup) and Burnley 1-0 (six points game). In last round lost at Enfild 2-0 (which was expected), but were unlucky to score. Their passing game has been improved, they create more chances, while defense line looks more solid. Ivan Klasnic is sidelined with an ankle injury and his place will take forgotten Johan Elmander, while midfielder Stuart Holden remains doubtful with a thigh problem. Coyle can involve new signings, Vladimir Weiss and Jack Wilshere.

Fulham sit at 10th place and even now is obvious they won’t fulfill their pre-season expectations and repeat success from last season (spot for Europe). While their home record is more than decent, they all season are struggling on the road. Just one away win in 12 games (with four draws), they have four consecutive away defeats and on all of them conceded at least two times! To make the things worse, took care big injury crisis for which Hodgson said it’s the biggest that he has ever faced with. Well probably not, but the fact is he can not count on plenty of key players. Both full-backs Konchesky and Pantsil are out, as well as two key midfielders Dempsey and Gera. Strikers Johnson (end of the season for him) and Davies (there’re some chances for him to appear) are also out, while club loaned another striker Kamara to Celtic!

With Coyle as a manager, Bolton look much more serious and it seems they’re becoming a typical home side (as Coyle did with Burnley). Fulham’s long ball play should be easily predicted and think prevented by Coyle and good set-pieces covering would make Fulham harmless. Home win.
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