Portsmouth - Bolton

Pompey holds 14th place in Premier with four points above the relegation line, but with a game less than the opponents. In the last round they missed the opportunity to run into safe zone. Against WBA at home scored twice, but thankfully to some disaster mistakes by defence line, conceded same time for a draw at the end. The whole squad plays very well in 4-4-1-1 formation with Nico Kranjcar behind Peter Crouch. They don't feel pressure, but bad result today would put them in unenviable position. I expect attacks in the waves from the start, if their defence improve performance three points are not even in doubt. No injury problems (or suspended players) for Paul Hart, same eleven as against WBA.

Trotters hold safe 12th place, play very well and relaxed at the same time. In the last round, Chelsea underestimated them, Wanderers used that scoring three times in last 20 minutes (had a chance for 4-4) and almost made a first-class surprise and bury Chelsea's title hope. Before that, with a win against Middlesbrough (4-1 at home) they secured the Premier League place and won't have too much motivation in the rest of season. Gary Megson has some injury worries, as Danny Shittu got injured on Stamford Bridge (will be substituted by Andy O’Brien), while Joey O’Brien and Mark Davies continue their rehabilitation.

Portsmouth has an opportunity to learn from Chelsea's mistakes. Complete squad, full motivation and no pressure give me just one logic conclusion. The best odd offers Pinnacle-2.13. I have no doubt. Home win.

Will be more suggestions later, stay tuned.