Nottingham Forest - Blackpool

Despite loudly announced ambitions for a play-off spot, Forest haven’t showed anything special so far. The true is they have a full squad of talented players, but main reason for their underachieving, and just a single win in seven games, is big problems in defence line and injuries of, at one moment, six defenders. So, some good displays (like vs. Watford, 2-4 at home) were punished with counter-attacks and lack of points. Some keys in back line have been recovered and club started to collect the points, currently they’re in five games unbeaten run in all competitions (one win and four draws). But if they want to do more than mediocre position in the middle, they have to start winning. First and maybe decisive opportunity is today. Manager Billy Davies again can count on midfielder Radoslaw Majewski who had an ankle injury and striker Nathan Tyson who returns to the squad after the birth of his son last weekend.  

Blackpool made a decent start with just one defeat (Leicester City, 1-2 away) in the first seven rounds. They are a team of great technical skills and their games are pretty to watch. That performances usually stayed short for the final result, but in the previous round, they brought a first defeat to Newcastle (2-1 at home), even without some key players and boost their confidence till the sky limits. But, the main problem today at City Ground will be their mentally discharge and big possibility of bad result that usually comes after. I rated their chances about little lower than 50%. The Seasiders have enough quality to make another good result, but everything will depend from their entering the game. Also, they’ll have to cope with some missings. Striker Ben Burgess has been nursing a knee injury and faces a late fitness test. Danny Coid (defender), Daniel Nardiello (striker), Gary Taylor-Fletcher (midfielder) and Stephen McPhee (striker) remain sidelined. 

Forest start to feel the pressure of great expectations and desperately need a win here. It sounds like already seen scenario with home attacks and visitors’ counters. A total of 12 goals have been scored in Forest's three home league games (five for, seven against) is the highest home average in the Championship. I expect something like that again. Betfair offer 2.18. Over.

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