Hartlepool United - Colchester Utd.

Hartlepool are 16th, seven points far from first under the line Tranmere (Tranmere have a game in hand), but the problem is they’re charged from FA for fielding an ineligible player (Gary Liddle) and could be fined for three points and then would have 45 not 48 on balance. So, they won’t lack in motivation and will go for a win. Their shape at home looks impressive, four wins and a defeat of last five games. All wins were against bottom side clubs, but also all were with two or three goals margin. Defender Sam Collins is probably out after suffering a hip injury against Stockport, while mentioned midfielder Gary Liddle returns to the squad after completing his two-match ban for receiving 10 yellow cards.

Colchester are watching how their play-off dreams vanishing thankfully to their terrible record on the road. They’ve noticed five consecutive away defeats (didn’t score in last three), while in total have just one win of last ten league games. They also weren’t happy last night, watching Huddersfield who beat Milwall, so they’re now six points far from play-off line. My impression is they practically have no chance for 6th spot and they’re all aware of it. Good news is experienced striker Kevin Lisbie will be in the line-up after served his suspension. Same situation is with winger Anthony Wordsworth.

This will be a tough game for sure, but I’m little surprised with the odds for home side and think they’re little higher than should be. I give an advantage to Hartlepool and even DNB with these odds is a very good bet for me. Pinnacle offer 1.85, 1 DNB.
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