League One betting, Hartlepool United - Carlisle United

No time for reasoning since email for subscribers is going out for few minutes.

Bet: Over 2.5

Odd: 2.10 (Pinnacle)

Stake: 7/10

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League One betting 18 Aug, Hartlepool - Swindon

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Hartlepool haven’t made any significant signing so far, they finished previous season in not so good manner (two wins out of 13 matches), have been destroyed in the midweek Cup visit to Crew and future doesn’t seem so bright.

On the other hand, Di Canio has been very active in the transfer market and Swindon are third favourite to win the league. Gary Roberts, Jay McEveley and Alan Navarro are some of new faces. They had some good friendlies and seem to enter the season in a very good mood.

First round is obviously step in the dark, but I think we won’t find such price on Swindon through the season.

Bet: Swindon -0.25

Odd: 1.98 (BetVictor)

Stake: 7/10

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League One betting, Hartlepool - MK Dons

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The Pools still have some hope for a play-off spot (five points gap) and have scored in four home games out of five since Neale Cooper took the charge. They have top scorer James Poole who played 60 min for reserve squad and should appear from the start, another striker Luke James should start as well. Their last three league games produced three or more goals.

Visitors seem to be in a great shape, they’ve noticed three wins on a trot and occupy safe play-off spot. The Dons will miss few players, but won’t be lacking in confidence since they’ve won last three games at Victoria Park and have total of five wins and two draws out of last seven against Hartlepool.

Both sides have played some high scoring games lately, there shouldn’t be too much pressure and both sides must fancy their chances. I am going for goals.

Bet: Over 2.5 
Odd: 1.98 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 8/10
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League One betting, Bournemouth - Hartlepool

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The Cherries started the season in a very bad manner with six defeats in opening seven games. That record has been improved in last two trips to bottom two sides, Leyton and Exeter (both wins, 3-1 and 2-0). However, I am not sure how it really improved the atmosphere in the club and relation fans - Eddie Mitchell. Club sold plenty of important players, play-off looks very far and they could even find themselves in the relegation battle. There’re also long injury list. Four players injured in that away games, Symes and Partington are out as well and number of other players also receiving treatment. New signing Stephane Zubar will go straight in to the squad. Bournemouth beat the Pools only once of last eleven occasions (six draws though).

On the other hand, Monkey Hangers have been noticing a terrific start. They’re undefeated in eight, hold fifth position and have noticed four straight wins (bottom half sides, though). On the road they have two wins and two draws and scored nine in those (only Charlton scored that much). No injury concerns for manager Mick Wadsworth. They won’t lack in confidence since last season they won at the same place, but against Eddie Howe’s Bournemouth.

Think the bookmakers overreacted on Bournemouth’s two wins and I see price on visitors very attractive (in a free fall, currently). Expect the Pools to win by one, but cover the draw.

Bet: Hartlepool 0.0
Odd: 2.13 (Bet365)
Stake: 7/10

EDIT: I put a wrong price by mistake, changed now. It's not in a free fall. : ) 
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League One betting, Hartlepool - Exeter

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Pools have four draws of opening five matches (and one win), but they played against sides like MK Dons, Hudders, Sheff Utd (Carling), Stevenage away. Before losing at Scunny (Cup), they had won at Rochdale (3-1). Some important players are returning to the squad, key defender Sam Collins and good-old Solano are fit, as well as forward Sam Collins and midfielder Antony Sweeney. Only doubt is striker James Poole. They have signed former Coventry City defender Stephen Wright on a short-term deal.

After three defeats in a row, Exeter defeated Chesterfield at home 3-1. During the midweek, they eliminated Plymouth after penalties. And while it’s certainly a moral boost, 120 minutes of play also should have an impact on team’s fatigue. Striker, Guillem Bauzà, after got injured last weekend will be probably out for few weeks.

Despite so many draws, Hartlepool look fine, they have some players back to the team and it’s the time for the first home win. Situation about Poole forces me to take another -0.25 and some covering of a draw. Still fine with the odds.

Bet: Hartlepool -0.25
Odd: 2.00 (188bet)
Stake: 7/10
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Weekend results

Nothing much to say.Saturday without any win.Can't remember when I managed that last time.

Rotherham - Stevenage  1-1 1/2 LOST
Hartlepool - Peterborough  2-0 LOST

Statistic:

October
Profit: -8.0 units Yield: -20.00%

Season
Profit: +12.18 units Yield: +4.49%

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Hartlepool United - Peterborough United

Hartlepool are a League One side that avoided moving down for just one point in both of two previous seasons. A same dark prediction applies for the recent one as well. Only home win they noticed against drowning Walsall, but more important characteristic is they lost encounters against top sides without too much fight (Sheff Wed 0-5 and Carlisle 0-4, both at home), leaking a total of 15 goals in 5 home games! Decent resist was only against Swindon in the 2^nd round (2-2). In previous round, United froze Plymouth on the road 1-0 and in midweek defeated at home devastated Bradford. Caretaker Wadsworth will probably set the same squad that beat Pilgrims which means strikers Brown and Greulich remain sidelined. Midfielder Antony Sweeney could appear, however.

Peterborough remind me very much on WBA. They’re too strong for middleweight, but in light heavy get punches from all sides and finished seriously hurt. They’re again in League One and once again as favorites for promotion. Decent start and 2nd place for them. As today’s hosts, The Posh also have noticed some results that can roil the picture about their capabilities. They lost in both Cups, but in previous league game beat Carlisle on the road 1-0. I don’t expect them to finish lower than play-off spot and they’re not typical home side. Usually collect same number of points at home and away. Only  absence is skipper Grant McCann who is on away duty.

Hosts are strugglers with shaky defense and toothless attack. Visitors are one of the main title contenders and surely favorite here. Odds are too good to be overlooked. I expect away win.

Bet: Peterborough -0.25
Odd: 2.02 Canbet
Stake: 8/10

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Notts County – Yeovil

County started the season in the manner that was really expected. They couldn’t cope with the strongest sides Huddersfield and Oldham (both 0-3), but defeated Dag&Red and fought a draw away at Bournemouth. Signs of bigger potential could be seen at Watford, in League Cup encounter where County won 2-1. Biggest problem was the absence of their mascot, striker Lee Hughes. He has been recovered from a groin injury and will take some part in this game (will start from the bench, I expect). Another two important players, midfielder Neal Bishop and striker Ben Burgess should also be fit. County are celebrating 100 year centenary today.

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Yeovil started with a home win vs. Leyton (1-0), but in next five competitive games have noticed a one draw and four defeats. They looked harmless in front, with just two goals scored in those five. Additional problem for boss Skiverton is striker Sam Williams is suspended after a red card in Cup game (home defeat vs. Exeter). Two loan signings, defender Kiernan and midfielder MacDonald, could start the game. Yeovil’s main hope is a home games, while usually don’t shine on the road. Last season won 4 away games of 23, season before 6 and season before that 5.

 

Yeovil already lost against Bristol Rovers, Hartlepool and Exeter and I don’t give them too much chance today. If County want to achieve the target and keep the status in the third tier, they have to win games like Yeovil at home.

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Bet: Notts County to win

Odd: 1.90 Expekt

Stake: 7/10

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Voohooo!

Dagen. & Redbr. - Burton Albion 1 @ 1.94  2-1

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Leicester – Watford -0.75 ah @ 1.85  4-1

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Hartlepool United - Colchester Utd. 1 DNB @ 1.85  3-1

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Blackpool - Nottingham Forest 1 @ 2.00  3-1

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Hope you enjoyed. See you tomorrow. Dule

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Hartlepool United - Colchester Utd.

Hartlepool are 16th, seven points far from first under the line Tranmere (Tranmere have a game in hand), but the problem is they’re charged from FA for fielding an ineligible player (Gary Liddle) and could be fined for three points and then would have 45 not 48 on balance. So, they won’t lack in motivation and will go for a win. Their shape at home looks impressive, four wins and a defeat of last five games. All wins were against bottom side clubs, but also all were with two or three goals margin. Defender Sam Collins is probably out after suffering a hip injury against Stockport, while mentioned midfielder Gary Liddle returns to the squad after completing his two-match ban for receiving 10 yellow cards.

Colchester are watching how their play-off dreams vanishing thankfully to their terrible record on the road. They’ve noticed five consecutive away defeats (didn’t score in last three), while in total have just one win of last ten league games. They also weren’t happy last night, watching Huddersfield who beat Milwall, so they’re now six points far from play-off line. My impression is they practically have no chance for 6th spot and they’re all aware of it. Good news is experienced striker Kevin Lisbie will be in the line-up after served his suspension. Same situation is with winger Anthony Wordsworth.

This will be a tough game for sure, but I’m little surprised with the odds for home side and think they’re little higher than should be. I give an advantage to Hartlepool and even DNB with these odds is a very good bet for me. Pinnacle offer 1.85, 1 DNB.
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