Champions League and Superettan

It seems I picked another relegating team, as Northampton, after previous night defeat, will have to grab a point in the last round, in Leeds. MK Dons are now very close to number 3 and easier opponent, making a big semi-final game, between "old friends", Leeds and Millwall. 

As I thought, Chelsea killed Barca's performance with fouls and tough challenges. I saw odds for re-match. 2.40 for home win on Stamford?! That will be my bet, definitely. Other game is tonight, I don't think we'll see too much goals, as Utd. will try to secure their net first (as usually do in European games). They're not so big favorites as bookies rated the game. But, for sure, another game to enjoy. My only bet will be on Sweden second league. So...


Ljungskile - Trollhattan

The fourth round in Superettan. This is a local derby, between ex-first league and ex-third league team. LJungskile sold some players, but want to make fast return in Allsvenskan. Didn't make a good start of the season. Two points from three games. Two draws (Sirius and Vasalunds IF) and in last round defeat against possible direct rival for promotion, Atvidabergs (0-2 away). After that game, some rumours said it was a set-up. Important fact is Ljungskile is a draw specialist, six draws from last seven competitive games!

Trollhattan has a debut at this level. Started with two defeats (Mjallby 0-1 home, Syrianska Sodertalje 1-2 away), but in the last round got a first victory against Vasby, 1-0 at home. It is well know promoted teams, in the next season, usually play over their capabilities, but I don't think that is a case here and visitors will be around the relegation line, through the whole season.

Ljungskile has more quality and has to win finally to show the ambition. I think odds for this game (Pinnacle 1.88, Expekt 1.80) are little higher than it should be. Local derby and bad start from the hosts can be the reasons. I don't like to much to bet on Scandinavian football, but poor offer today. And rather this than CL clash. Limited stake, home win.