Sweden betting 03.07.

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Djurgarden - IFK Goteborg

Those sides are of approximately of same quality and both sides will be struggling to avoid relegation. Again, both sides have scored and conceded nearly the same number of goals (15 and 16). Djurgarden have played five draws in a row, IFK have drawn four! The hosts’ last nine league ended with both sides scoring, visitors’ 11 of last 12!

I guess a draw wouldn’t be so bad call, but I’ll just rely on other trend and take both to score. Unfortunately, too late for better odd.

Bet: Both to score

Odd: 1.80 (WilliamHill)

Stake: 8/10

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Sweden - Superettan

Norrkoping 5 - 1 Falkenbergs FF

1 - 0 D. Bamberg  19.min.
1 - 1 E. Johansson  27.min.
2 - 1 P. Racu (pen.)  32.min., S. Lukic red card Falkenberg  
3 - 1 P. Racu (pen.)  39.min.
4 - 1 S. Thordarson  49.min.
5 - 1 I. Khalili  90.min.

Sweden, Superettan

One fast pick for today.

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IFK Norrkoping - Falkenbergs

From six home games, Norrkoping have four draws and two defeats.For today will miss regular goalie.

Falkenbergs have five consecutive wins on the road. Today will miss suspended skipper Jens Gustafsson (defence).

Visitors are in advantage here and don't really understand why such high odds. Worth of bet, however. 188bet offer 3.65, Pinnacle 3.38. Away win.

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Available free bets, bonus offers and promotions:
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U21 Championship

England U21 3-3 Sweden U21 5-4 on penalties

England Under-21s set up a European Championship final against Germany with a 5-4 penalty shoot-out win over Sweden despite losing a 3-0 half-time lead.

Martin Cranie's strike, a Nedum Onuoha shot and a Mattias Bjarsmyr own goal put England in control at the break. 
A revitalised Sweden forced extra-time after Ola Toivonen's free-kick and two Marcus Berg goals levelled the score. 
Frazier Campbell saw red, but England held on to set up a final with Germany, who beat Italy 1-0 in their semi-final. 
England had fallen at the semi-final stage of this 31-year-old tournament five times, including a 13-12 penalty defeat to the Netherlands two years ago. 
But they were able to put that long-running hoodoo to bed after Guillermo Molin's miss from the penalty spot sealed their win.

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Italy U21 0-1 Germany U21

The Italians dominated the second semi-final in Helsingborg but Beck scored the all-important goal three minutes after half-time when he ran in from the right wing and unleashed a shot which swerved beyond the keeper's grasp. 
Manuel Neuer had been the main reason Italy were not ahead at half-time after making a number of crucial saves. 
The German goalkeeper beat out a shot from Sebastian Giovinco which was going high into the net before knocking a header on to his defender on the line who then cleared. 
Marco Motta hit the crossbar before well-placed defender Mesut Ozil cleared off the line from the near post as Italy dominated with forward Mario Balotelli influential, but the interval arrived goalless. 
The game was then turned on its head in the 48th minute when Beck shocked the Italians with his fantastic strike. 
Balotelli almost equalised minutes later when his powerful free-kick flashed wide and the same player had another effort pushed out by Neuer. 
Marco Andreolli put a header inches wide and Neuer produced an improvised save when he kicked Balotelli's powerful shot away with his right foot.
www.bbc.co.uk www.teamtalk.com

U21 Championship

England U21 - Sweden U21

English youngsters came to Sweden with intention to win the championship. They defeated Finland 2-1 and Spain 2-0. In last game played (expected) draw that was enough for the first place. Considering names, England is a favorite today. Pearce has a headache caused by Agbonlahor and Walcott which appearance is in doubt. Odds are rapidly decreasing (?) and from 2.20 came to 1.85.

Before the start, Sweden was outsider. They don't have well-known names in the team, the most of them play in domain competition. But, played excellent against Belarus and especially Serbia. Attacking style of play brought the results and some anonymous players (Marcus Berg) already took attention of some big European clubs. As English have advantage in established players, Swedish have a home ground. They're hosts which also means a little help from "men in black" (penalty-kick vs Serbia). 

I think England is closer to final, but both sides have some problems with defence lines and I choose goals. Bwin offers 2.20. Over.

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Italy U21 - Germany U21

Italy youth are (as always) one of the main candidates for trophy. They have again talented squad, with Pierluigi Casiraghi in charge. Defence line is traditionally tough, while in attack play three, already big names, Balotelli, Acquafresca and Giovinco. They have some problems in midfield with the ball transition and that resulted in less goal opportunities. The only dilemma for Casiraghi is to return Balotelli in squad (served one game suspension), or to start the match with very good Abate, again.

Germany displayed very good performances in the first two games, winning four points, with clean sheet both times. Against England, they took a point for the second place in the group. They're typical German squad, strong, team is well balanced, ready for war all 90 minutes. European press announcing this game as a battle of two defences and expect small number of goals.

I give little advantage to Italy, think they can play tactically on higher level and have killer trio in attack. I rate the chance as 60:40. For me, enough for a bet. Pinnacle offers 2.57. Italy to win. Correct score 1-0.

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Belarus U21 - Italy U21

Calculation is simple. Belarus need a win against Italy and to hope there is a winner in the Sweden - Serbia fixture. Otherwise, Belarus should win with at least three goals difference. But, considering past two games, such epilogue isn’t very probable. Belarus came to Championship after they eliminated Turkey and made some good performances in friendlies, later (Germany away, 1-1). So, audience expected more. They started a game against Sweden very well, but defence line made some terrible mistakes and game ended with five goals on their balance. Against Serbia, it was a new team. With fighting attitude they kept the net and got one point that gives them a chance for semi-finals. It doesn’t sound real, but players were saying it was just because their coach was on the bench (wasn’t against Sweden). They have nothing to loose, have a chance to progress and I’m sure they’ll attack Italians (or try to attack, at least). And will have a coach on the bench.

Before the Championship started, Italy was declared as one of the main candidates for trophy. They didn’t prove such predictions only in the second half against Serbia. Azzurri had a drop in the performance, Serbs made two very good goal opportunities, but goalless draw at the end. In the second game, they were inferior about 23 minutes at the start. Then Mario Balotelli scored for a lead. Little later, the same player make big stupidity in his own manner and got a red card (will be substituted by Ignacio Abate). Italy won the game and now need a one point to qualify for semi-finals. But, must win for the first place. So, a win will lead them on Germany, a point on England and a defeat would mean a ticket to home. Maybe, it is nothing, but from the last 17 games Italy has just one defeat, against Germany. Motive for avoiding, or revenge? However, Casiraghi announced the best eleven will play (excluding mentioned Balotelli), they’re much better team and have no reason to play with the fate.

Italians are masters of calculations, but the example of their older mates (Confederations Cup) can only teach them what happened in case of exaggeration. Italy is much better, I don’t doubt in their serious approach and they should win this easily. But, the odds are miserable and Belarus must attack. So, I choose goals instead. Betfair offers 2.12, Pinnacle 2.02. Over.
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Sweden u21

With a heavy hart, I have to say Italy is a favorite against Serbia. Leaded by Pierluigi Casiraghi, team is well balanced in all lines. The most of players are the first team members in their clubs. Attack is masterful, Balotelli, Acquafresca and Giovinco. Uh...

Serbia played excellent in last three tournaments. Two finals and once semi-final. The expectations of the audience are high. But, something doesn't work. It seems coach Krcmarevis is lacking in authority, too much individual efforts, I couldn't see any sign of team spirit. We're weakest in attacking line. First choice Djordjevic is injured and replaced by Crvena Zvezda's player Perovic. I think both are far from Euro level.

Odds on Italy are more than ok, William Hill and most of the others offer 2.20. I can't go against us, so won't bet.

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Tuesday's gambling

At the end, it wasn't about the money. Big odd is hit and self-confidence is returned. Thanks to lads Lindh and Adelstam. Today, I'll go little further...

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Iraq - Poland

Iraq is eight games without a win, with five defeats: Qatar twice, Oman, Bahrain and South Corea. After that bad run, football associates appointed well-known name, Bora Milutinovic as a coach. He already made some miracles with such level, national teams. Iraq is preparing for Confederations Cup and Milutinovic announce a battle for the first two spots (rest in group: South Africa, Spain and New Zealand). Maybe he exaggerate a little. However, he'll has the best squad available.

Poland team make mostly the players from the domain competition. They lost the previous game against South Africa 0-1. Benhaker will give a chance to those players who didn't play in that game. It means to substitutes of the substitutes. Just this game before the summer holidays.

Bookies declared Poland as a big favorite. I'll go with a gamble bet against. Pinnacle offers sweet 4.96. Iraq to win.

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Sweden, Division 1 Norra

Degerfors - Forward

Last season relegated Degerfors are marching back to second league. Six wins from eight games, four from four at home, with nine goals scored and just three conceded. Forward will struggle to avoid relegation. Just one win from eight games. On the road even worse, just one draw from four games, with two goals scored and seven conceded. Another gamble. Odds for home win are miserable. Expekt offers 1.90 for 1-1 ht/ft. Follow.

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More internationals tomorrow. I'll post one full analyze (or maybe two). Stay tuned.

Cheers.

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Sweden - Superettan

Trollhattan FC 1 - 2 Angelholm

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0 - 1 J. Lindh  8. min.
0 - 2 M. Adelstam (pen.)  43. min.
1 - 2 A. Wiklund  44. min.

Finally new week

Maybe the previous week wasn't the worst run of results, but the way how the games were turning into looses was really frustrating. The summer leagues just started, we'll all need the iron nerves.

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Monday is very quiet. Internationals are coming again at Wednesday. Just few games for today. Maybe it isn't the best way to improve the betting balance, and just because I'm bored, will try a gamble.

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Sweden 2

Trollhattan - Angelholms 2 (2.37 at Pinnacle)

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Sweden 0 - 1 Denmark

All the banter and exchange of words earlier this week involving Arsenal’s burgeoning Danish forward Nicklas Bendtner, and Internazionale’s in-demand striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic, an interesting tussle see here had the potential to erupt as both players would hope to exert their authority early on in the game.
Ibrahimovic, who has scored 20 international goals in 56 appearances, had a chance inside the first minute to steal the headlines as his lined-up free-kick burst through the wall and had it not been for a Thomas Sorensen claim, then the score-board would have required changing.
Sorensen was again on guard to deny Sweden a set-piece conversion in the eleventh minute, when Kjaer was adjudged to have handled Olof Mellberg in the box. Referee Mike Riley was quick to point at the spot, but Kim Kallstrom failed to tuck the ball into the corner and Sorensen got a strong palm on the penalty to divert the ball over the bar.
Sweden continued to dominate up until the mid-way stage of the opening half, but Thomas Kahlenberg capitalised on Nillson’s erring clearance and the soon-to-be Wolfsburg striker made no hesitation in smashing forth and scoring his first ever international goal.
Five minutes later and Sorensen began to display whiffs of a goalkeeping clinic as he nonchalantly plucked a testing and looping inswinging cross out of the air, before again frustrating Kallstrom, who tried to beat the Stoke City shot-stopper with a left-pegged effort from just outside the area.
Denmark could have doubled their lead just moments later but Dennis Rommedahl failed to score from what seemed like only a matter of yards. Jakob Poulsen tried to clear a Lars Jacobsen cross, and Rommedahl, formerly of Charlton Athletic, was gifted a chance to score, but the winger duly squandered the shot.
The second half started slowly, but eventually recycled the same motif as the opening exchange: Sorensen guarding goal in an exemplary manner. Just after the hour mark Larsson found Elmander who volleyed goal-ward only for the Dane to get the better of the situation.
Then, with one-third of the game remaining, Larsson took control of a deft Ibrahimovic flick on, but the veteran net-bulger missed the target.
Missed chances were not exclusive to Sweden, as Bendtner - who improved throughout the club season with the Gunners - struck well over the bar
Sweden, for all their possession and chances, struggled to topple Denmark’s last line of defence,and reaffirmed the nation’s command of Group 1 in the European section of World Cup qualifiers.goal.
www.boxofficefootball.com

Sweden - Denmark

Bohemians who conceded 7 goals from past 15 games, previous night from "without seven players" St.Patrik's conceded three times!? I'm speechless.

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Lars Lagerback’s lads started this qualification campaign with a clear intention to improve the impression from Euro 2008. But just a single win and three draws (all 0-0) are enough recently just for fifth place with big seven points less (and a game less) than a leader, today’s opponent, Denmark. Sweden has to start collecting the points to involve in the fight for first two places. Squad scored just two times in four games (both times against Hungary, 2-1) and good news for Lagerback is he’ll have best team available, including Ibrahimovic and Larsson. Biggest problem for them is lack of midfield, strikers are usually cut from the play and hardly make the goal opportunities. Players use every opportunity to underline excellent dressing room atmosphere and their determination to qualify for South Africa. Anders Svensson has some slight injury problems, but he’s expected to play. No other worries for Lagerback.

The visitors surprisingly hold the top of group 1. After the qualifying opener, game in Hungary, not convincing performance and a goalless draw, nobody could predict their raising. But, Denmark tight four consecutive wins and announce their candidacy for top two spots. But, the fact is two of that four wins were against Malta and Albania is beaten at home. The fourth win was in Portugal, on paper, the main candidate for the place number one. During the whole game, Danish were inferior, but with the goals in the game finish, they made a first class surprise and noticed three points. Denmark is in very good position before today’s match and would be more than satisfied with one point. But, that will be hard to achieve. Morten Olsen has a lots of problems with the injuries. Martin Laursen, very important player in the defence line has retired after the injury. Injury of second central defender, Per Krøldrup, made a big problem. Instead these two, Kjær and Møller Christensen are expected to play. Daniel Jensen (midfielder), Leon Andreasen (midfielder) and Jon Dahl Tomasson (forward) are also injured. So, injury list clearly dedicate Denmark’s intention on counter-attacks.

Sweden has a complete and fully motivated squad. I don’t expect great performance from them, but duo Ibrahimovic-Larsson have a big advantage against young and inexperienced Denmark’s defence. Some corner, or free-kick can be decisive. Visitors will try to defend, but I think the draw on a half-time is the best they can achieve (think about gamble ht/ft x-1). William Hill offers 2.05. Home win.

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And I'm going for our lads against Austria. Home handicap win.

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Champions League and Superettan

It seems I picked another relegating team, as Northampton, after previous night defeat, will have to grab a point in the last round, in Leeds. MK Dons are now very close to number 3 and easier opponent, making a big semi-final game, between "old friends", Leeds and Millwall. 

As I thought, Chelsea killed Barca's performance with fouls and tough challenges. I saw odds for re-match. 2.40 for home win on Stamford?! That will be my bet, definitely. Other game is tonight, I don't think we'll see too much goals, as Utd. will try to secure their net first (as usually do in European games). They're not so big favorites as bookies rated the game. But, for sure, another game to enjoy. My only bet will be on Sweden second league. So...

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Ljungskile - Trollhattan

The fourth round in Superettan. This is a local derby, between ex-first league and ex-third league team. LJungskile sold some players, but want to make fast return in Allsvenskan. Didn't make a good start of the season. Two points from three games. Two draws (Sirius and Vasalunds IF) and in last round defeat against possible direct rival for promotion, Atvidabergs (0-2 away). After that game, some rumours said it was a set-up. Important fact is Ljungskile is a draw specialist, six draws from last seven competitive games!

Trollhattan has a debut at this level. Started with two defeats (Mjallby 0-1 home, Syrianska Sodertalje 1-2 away), but in the last round got a first victory against Vasby, 1-0 at home. It is well know promoted teams, in the next season, usually play over their capabilities, but I don't think that is a case here and visitors will be around the relegation line, through the whole season.

Ljungskile has more quality and has to win finally to show the ambition. I think odds for this game (Pinnacle 1.88, Expekt 1.80) are little higher than it should be. Local derby and bad start from the hosts can be the reasons. I don't like to much to bet on Scandinavian football, but poor offer today. And rather this than CL clash. Limited stake, home win.

Helsingborg - Hammarby

It's very big effort to find some info about Sweden league. 'Cause the lack of English, mostly. I found some basic info on some sites and forums and it will be enough for a gamble bet. The third round in Allsvenskan. Helsingborg started with a 1-0 home win against solid IFK Goteborg, then destroyed on the road GAIS 4-1, by counter-attacks. Despite some rumours, Henrik Larsson will play (I guess over is a nice bet.:) 888 offers 1.80). Helsingborg won the last five games at home against today's opponent (four times with two goal difference), with over every time. The hosts are contenders for a top of the table.

Hammarby started the season with plenty of problems. Lack of quality (especially in defence line) in combination with worse performance on the pitch, make from their boss Tony Gustavsson a serious contender to be sacked. In the first round they played undecided 1-1 against Elfsborg. Hammarby managed just one attack and that was enough to took a lead. Despite Elfsborg's 13 shots on target, match ended with a draw. In the second round, defeat at home, against Gefle 1-2.  The same line-ups on both sides.

Home win and over are very possible, but it wouldn't be a first time to burn my fingers on Sweden league. So my decision is a gamble bet on home handicap win. Expekt offers sweet 2.45, and that's fine for me.