Watford - Derby County


Watford so far is the biggest surprise of the second tier. Considering players’ potential and financial problems they should be contenders for relegation. But their recent run of results and especially performances give the hope their shape could be continued. Hornets have four consecutive home wins and all of them were with two or three goals margin. Their pitch has been using for rugby games, along football and usually it’s very hard for visiting teams to adjust on it. Also, despite some defeats on the road Watford gave a decent resist in all of them. Midfielder Henri Lansbury, who missed Monday's win against QPR with a hip problem, faces a late fitness test, while skipper Jay DeMerit, who has had an eye injury, could be in the starting line-up for the first time since August.

Derby hold 17th place, four points far from relegation zone. Usually they collect points at their Pride Park, while on the road have noticed only three points from ten games! Away strategy is simple and includes defending with all players and trying to keep goalless draw. They haven’t scored in last five away games. Considering their recent shape and potential, I think they’re one of the clubs that will face a hard fight to stay in Championship. For today’s game also have some problems with injured players. Derby could be without Dean Leacock after the defender limped out of Tuesday's draw with Preston with a hamstring injury, while his fellow centre-back Shaun Barker is definitely out with a thigh problem.

My only worry is Watford already have made over-achievement and sooner or later will face a drop in the results. I think that will happen with first injury problems and think they’ll continue their good run. Pinnacle offer 1.95. Home win.

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