Millwall – Swindon

Calculation is simple for both sides, a win in this game would lead them to Championship if Leeds fail to win (Millwall would also be second if Leeds lose with two or more goals margin). Millwall entered a bad run of results in the worst possible time. Have just one win in last four games (three were on the road though) and missed the chance to use Leeds failure in the previous round. However, at home have just one defeat of 22 games (5 draws) with impressive goal difference 45-13. Eight home wins and a draw of last nine! And interesting thing is they’ve had much more problems against bottom sides than against top clubs. They defeated Norwich, Leeds, Charlton, Huddersfield, Colchester, but only lost came from second bottom side Wycombe and drew vs. Carlisle, Yeovil, Brighton, Brentford (5th was S’ton)! Striker Steve Morison is struggling with a hamstring problem.

Swindon have had a great season, but as Millwall made a bad run of results in bad time and lost second spot. Just one win of last five (also one defeat though). In the previous round defeated Brentford 3-2, but three consecutive draws against bottom sides before that (Exeter, Walsall and Wycombe) and 0-3 defeat vs. Colchester. It seems they’re losing the breath, but certain problem will be lack of experience of playing the games like this. At New Den will be without striker Vincent Pericard and midfielder Kurt Hammonds, while winger Alan O'Brien should appear. 

This will be a real fight on the pitch. Millwall lost their chance in the previous round and now will play without too much pressure. A win could promote them, but in worse case (if Leeds win) will bring them good position (3rd) for the play-off. My prediction is tough game and win by one goal. 188bet offer 2.09, home win.

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