Millwall – Swindon

Calculation is simple for both sides, a win in this game would lead them to Championship if Leeds fail to win (Millwall would also be second if Leeds lose with two or more goals margin). Millwall entered a bad run of results in the worst possible time. Have just one win in last four games (three were on the road though) and missed the chance to use Leeds failure in the previous round. However, at home have just one defeat of 22 games (5 draws) with impressive goal difference 45-13. Eight home wins and a draw of last nine! And interesting thing is they’ve had much more problems against bottom sides than against top clubs. They defeated Norwich, Leeds, Charlton, Huddersfield, Colchester, but only lost came from second bottom side Wycombe and drew vs. Carlisle, Yeovil, Brighton, Brentford (5th was S’ton)! Striker Steve Morison is struggling with a hamstring problem.

Swindon have had a great season, but as Millwall made a bad run of results in bad time and lost second spot. Just one win of last five (also one defeat though). In the previous round defeated Brentford 3-2, but three consecutive draws against bottom sides before that (Exeter, Walsall and Wycombe) and 0-3 defeat vs. Colchester. It seems they’re losing the breath, but certain problem will be lack of experience of playing the games like this. At New Den will be without striker Vincent Pericard and midfielder Kurt Hammonds, while winger Alan O'Brien should appear. 

This will be a real fight on the pitch. Millwall lost their chance in the previous round and now will play without too much pressure. A win could promote them, but in worse case (if Leeds win) will bring them good position (3rd) for the play-off. My prediction is tough game and win by one goal. 188bet offer 2.09, home win.

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Thursday's gossip column

TRANSFER GOSSIP

Bayern Munich striker Luca Toni has edged closer to a move to West Ham after refusing to play for the German side's reserves.(Daily Mirror) 
Manchester United and Liverpool are battling it out for Real Sociedad winger Antoine Griezmann.(Daily Mirror) 
Aston Villa defender Curtis Davies will consider his future at the club in January over a contract row.(Daily Mirror) 
Sheffield United are handing a trial to French striker Vincent Pericard, who is a free agent. (Daily Mirror) 
Leeds are targeting Oldham winger Chris Taylor and are offering defender Alan Sheehan in exchange.(Daily Mirror) 
Notts County are hoping to pip Sheffield United and Coventry to the loan signing of Birmingham winger Gary McSheffrey.(Daily Star) 

OTHER GOSSIP

Portsmouth players will demand answers from new owner Sulaiman Al Fahim after they were not paid their wages this month.(The Sun) 

AND FINALLY

Liverpool defender Fabio Aurelio has revealed how manager Rafael Benitez erupted with fury like never before after their Champions League defeat to Fiorentina on Tuesday. (The Guardian) 
Middlesbrough defender David Wheater has conceded the Championship club, who were relegated from the Premier League in May, are struggling with the physical nature of life in English football's second tier and are also finding it hard to cope with 'flying elbows.'(Daily Mirror) 
Brighton defender Jim McNulty has been welcomed back to the squad after spending eight months on the sidelines following the removal of a kidney. (Daily Star)
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