Crystal Palace – WBA

Well, I won’t suggest anyone to follow this bet. The thing is I really like to gamble and taking this one is much more tempting for me than trying to find a treble in Scandinavia at Monday. And I’m still a little bit annoyed because didn’t have guts to take Hereford at Saturday. However…

Palace have two games to play. In the last round will face direct opponent Sheffield Wednesday on the road. So, a win tonight would leave them in Championship. In last 9 home games have 2 wins and 7 defeats. Strikers Alan Lee and Calvin Andrews are back in contention after injury, left-back Lee Hills is out. Palace are unbeaten in the club's last four matches against West Brom. 

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The Baggies are second away team in the leagues (a point less than Newcastle) and are undefeated in last ten league games (2 draws, 8 wins)! The problem is they’re theoretically second and their motivation could be a cause of problems tonight. Few reasons for professional attitude. Di Matteo said he’ll field his strongest available team (not a single reason to believe him though). First game in the season they lost at home 0-1, Palace scored from only chance. They would like to reach Leicester’s record of 92 points (have 89 now) from 2003. The last but not the least, this is Championship not Serie A. Well, reasons are not so strong, but made this odd acceptable in my opinion. Jerome Thomas won’t play and I couldn’t find anyone else who is 100% out. 

Palace desperately need a win which means will be very, very nervous from the start. Most of their goals come after shots from distance and set pieces (mentioned Lee is an ox in front and crucial man for this strategy). Which against WBA’s top defense could make a real frustration instead nervous. I think they won’t score tonight. One conceded goal would push them forward and open them too much. I'll take WBA -1 ah at 5.00, bookie is bet365! Correct result is 0-2.

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P.s.: Yeah, yesterday's double was very easy. Bah...

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Iceland - Norway

This campaign comes to the end for home side and they almost sure will be at the last place in group 9. Although Iceland have been improving their results in past years, they’re still far from the best European teams. Just one win and a draw in seven group games. In the first round they surprised tonight’s opponent in Oslo, displaying brave performance. 2-2 draw at the end, but interesting is Iceland could even to win, hitting a post in additional time. Other positive result is 1-0 home win against FYR Macedonia. In all five defeats they showed some potential, putting a decent resist, especially at home. Best group teams, Netherlands and Scotland, both hardly won in Reykjavik (and both 2-1). But, also Iceland lost a friendly at home from Faroe Islands (again 1-2). So, much depends from players’ motivation which, I guess, won’t be on the highest level tonight. Last game, last place, I can not see anything positive in their possible thinking, except maybe to make a good performance for the fans. National team coach Olafur Johannesson can not count on skipper (and Portsmouth player) Hermann Hreidarsson, all others are fit and available.

Norway will try to qualify for a final countdown after ten years (last time they were on Euro 2000). They have been facing a lots of problems again, despite the not so strong group where they were considered as the second strongest team (behind the Dutch). After a weak start and draws with Iceland (2-2 at home) and Scotland (0-0 on the road) and home defeat vs. Netherlands (0-1), coach Hareide announced his resignation. His replacement, Egil Olsen, brought some improvements. In his first game on the national team bench, Norway surprisingly defeated Germany (1-0 away) in a friendly. In group, draw in Macedonia (0-0) and predictable defeat in Netherlands (0-2). In last round Norway trashed Scotland at home (4-0) and it was a big boost for a team morale. They’re now again in the race for the 2nd place, but have to make two wins (in last round will host FYR Macedonia). Coach Olsen had some injury worries, Iverssen, Skjelbred and Wisnes had to leave national team because the injuries, but they’re more like a fringe players and best eleven will appear tonight. Carew has been ill for a while, but he’ll play.

Iceland will try to play for the fans and avoid another defeat, but Norway have much more quality and they’re more than motivated. Three points will push them hard to South Africa. Their best players are in late football years and won’t get a second chance. Also good relationship between Scandinavian countries (and national teams) shouldn’t be forgotten. This odd is not too low, it precisely reflects the risk. 1.80 at Expekt. Away win.

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Boring Tuesday

Sunderland lost again and surprises in Scandinavia, that's the epilogue from Monday. Today's offer is even worse. I dug deeper in Norway football. Rosenborg, who won fifteen of the previous seventeen league titles, remain clear favourite in the 2009 title-race despite a disappointing fifth place finish last term. According to online bookmakers, the nearest challengers are Stabaek, Brann and Valerenga. I still won't bet, just monitor the games. Mentioned Rosenborg will face Sandefjord, on the road. Odds for away win is bigger in Norway, than in the rest of the Europe (2.00-1.85). If You want to try, best offer is at Expekt, 1.90, but once again, my money stays in a wallet. One day break.

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Will be some analyze(s) for tomorrow, Uefa Cup probably. 

Cheers.

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