WC 2010 SUMMARY - LIST OF THE ALL BETS

We're approaching the end of WC. Competition has been marked with referees' mistakes that sent some selections home, new irregular ball by Adidas and that terrible noise. Quality is, in my opinion, just average. Some profit from the bets. 

Two more games. I won't touch game from the bronze (Germany at 1.65 simply doesn't worth of it), but will post analyze for the final.

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Hope I helped you to earn some cash and would like to use this opportunity to say thanks to all who sent me e-mails with the appreciations. Cheers lads!

We all have the same target, to rob the bookies and this blog will stay free as long as there's an interest for it. 

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I'm taking a break and will be back when the seasons start. Maybe only few bets before it.

Good luck,

Dule

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However, here's the list of my all bets (with links to original posts). 

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BETS:

England - USA, England to win (1.53) and Argentina-Nigeria,over 2.5 ( 1.82). Double @ 2.83 

Serbia - Ghana, Serbia to win @ 2.10 

Germany - Australia, Germany -1ah @ 2.10 

Holland - Denmark, Holland -1ah @ 2.03 

Japan - Cameroon, Cameroon to win @ 2.23  

Portugal - I.Coast, Portugal to win @ 2.30  

Brazil - DPR Korea, Korea +1ah 1st half @ 1.925  

Hond.-Chile, Chi. to win and Spain-Switz.,Spain to win to nil.Double @ 3.16  

Argentina - S.Korea, Argentina -1ah @ 2.03  

Greece - Nigeria, Nigeria to win @ 2.22  

France - Mexico, France to win @ 2.29 

Germany - Serbia, over 2.5 @ 2.10  

England - Algeria, England -2ah @ 2.70  

Holland - Japan, Holland -1ah @ 1.95  

Ghana - Australia, Ghana -0.5ah @ 2.28  

Cameroon - Denmark, Denmark 0.0ah @ 1.92 

Slovakia - Paraguay, Paraguay to win @ 2.15 

Brazil - I.Coast, Brazil -0.75ah @ 2.08 

Portugal - Korea DPR, Portugal -1ah @ 1.72 

Chile - Switzerland, corner handicap Chile -1ah @ 1.85 

Spain - Honduras, Spain -2ah @ 2.02 

Mexico - Uruguay, Uruguay to win @ 5.00 

S.Africa - France, S.Africa +0.25ah @ 2.08  

Nigeria - S.Korea, S.Korea -0.25 @ 2.10 1/2 LOST

Slovenia - England, total cards over 5ah @ 2.00 

USA - Algeria, USA -0.75ah @ 2.17 1/2 WON

Ghana - Germany, Germany -1.5ah @ 2.45  

Chile - Spain, Spain -1ah @ 1.93  

Uruguay - S.Korea, Uruguay -0.75ah @ 2.19  1/2 WON

Germany - England, England -0.25ah @ 2.14  

Argentina - Mexico, Argentina -1ah @ 2.25  

Brazil - Chile, Brazil -1ah @ 2.08  

Spain - Portugal, Spain to win @ 2.10 

Holland - Brazil, Brazil -0.5ah @ 2.05  

Uruguay - Ghana, Uruguay to win @ 2.10 

Argentina - Germany, Germany to qualify @ 2.25 

Paraguay - Spain, Spain -1ah @ 1.80  

Uruguay - Holland, Holland -1ah @ 2.49  

Number of bets: 38

Average odd: 2.24

Number of wins: 16

Number of draws: 5

Number of loses: 15.5

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GAMBLES:

Milijas to score first (Ghana) @ 13.00   

Name of the finalists: Germany-Brazil @ 17.00 

Group betting: 1st USA 2nd England, 1st Spain 2nd Switzerland, 1st Argentina 2nd S.Korea. Treble @ 28.00  

Brazil - Portugal, Brazil to win 1-0 @ 7.00  

Forlan to score first (S.Korea) @ 5.50  

Holland - Slovakia, Slovakia to score first @ 3.75  

Brazil - Chile, red card in the game-YES @ 3.00  

Paraguay - Japan, Barrios MOM @ 7.00  

Argentina - Germany, Germany -1ah @ 6.10 

Germany - Spain, Germany to win on penalties @ 10.00 

Holland - Spain, draw @ 3.20

Number of bets: 11

Average odd: 9.41

Number of wins: 2

Number of draws: 0

Number of loses: 9

2.

ANTEPOST:

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England 1st, USA 2nd @ 2.50  LOST

Serbia to win the group @ 4.00  LOST

Serbia to reach semi-final @ 9.00  LOST

Spain 1st, Chile 2nd @ 2.10  WON

Uruguay to qualify @ 2.10  WON

Uruguay and SA to qualify @ 15.00  LOST

Robinho top goalscorer 29.00  LOST

Luis Suarez top goalscorer @ 51.00  LOST

Kaka golden ball @ 15.00  LOST

Best team goalscorer:Milijas (15.00), Suarez (3.50), Rooney (2.37). Treble @ 124.68  LOST

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Number of bets:10

Average odd: 25.438

Number of wins: 2

Number of draws: 0

Number of loses: 8

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World Cup 2010 bonuses
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WC 2010 - 07.07.

Germany - Spain, Germany to win on penalties @ 10.00 (Various)  0-1 LOST

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I've been thinking a lot about this one and couldn't find any bet in some normal range 1.70-2.50. Germany is maybe is slight favorite, but wouldn't put any money on dnb, or clear win in 90 minutes. They're very young and wouldn't exclude a possibility to crash under the big pressure at one moment.

Spain is a kind of mystery, for me. I have impression they've played much under their full potential. And in all games were playing against extremely defensive formations. Tonight, they'll have more space. On the other hand, some Del Bosque's decisions were really shocking. Keeping Torres in starting eleven, playing with 5 central midfielders, David Silva on the bench... I don't like him, seriously doubt in his coaching abilities and wouldn't be too much surprised if Spain ends the competition even without using their full potential.

Don't have some specific reason for this bet, it's based on instinct. We rarely see some tournament where Germans don't bury someone on the penalties. He he Gamble, of course.

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WC 2010 - 03.07.

Argentina - Germany, Germany to qualify @ 2.25 (888sports) 4-0  WON

.....................................Germany -1 ah @ 6.10 (bet365)  WON

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Considering names,Argies should win this easily.Main problem for them is El Pibe and his tactic incompetence.On the other hand,Germany maybe lacks with the big names but looks really great on the pitch.Main difference is Argentina wants to play,Germany to compete.I give some advantage to Germans and to be honest like these odds too much to resist.

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Paraguay - Spain, Spain -1ah @ 1.80 (Paddy Power)  1-0 DRAW

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Only thing that worries me here is Spain's struggling to score against hard defending sides.Sometimes they look a little bit slow and passing too much...On the other hand,importance of this game calls on seriousness and I think they'll make a strong start of the game and score very early.On the other hand,Paraguay is hard working side but definitely lacks in creativity and can not see them scoring tonight.Maybe better bet is Spain to win to nil,but personally don't like that kind of a bet and choose asian handicap.

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World Cup 2010 bonuses
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Saturday's World Cup round-up

Spain coach Vicente del Bosque said Brazil's quarter-final defeat by the Netherlands was not a surprise to him.
"I don't think it's a lesson knowing the reality of football," said the Spaniard following the favourites' World Cup exit. "We know that every match can be complicated. We start off on an equal footing and the nature of sport is that anything can happen."

Argentina forward Lionel Messi has admitted he was surprised by England's performances at the World Cup in South Africa.
"I expected England to do well, so I am surprised they had a very poor tournament," he said. "They seemed to freeze. If [Wayne] Rooney, [Steven] Gerrard and [Frank] Lampard are not at their best, the team is bound to suffer. Defensively, England were poor." 

Germany coach Joachim Loew has admitted that he is in awe of Diego Maradona because he feels the Argentine coach won the World Cup on his own, back in 1986.
"He galvanised the whole football world with his skills," said Loew as his side prepare to face Argentina in Saturday's quarter-final match.
"He was simply magic. The culmination of his career was 1986. He virtually decided that World Cup on his own. He left a mark on football like no other player has ever done."

www.bbc.co.uk

WC 2010 - 29.06.

Paraguay - Japan, Lucas Barrios Man Of The Match @ 7.00 (bet365)  Honda is MOM!Feel I'm gonna puke!

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Japan is a side without a minimum of creativity.Major threats are Honda and free kicks.I'm not at least impressed with their defense line as well.Only reasons is they're here are mentioned two and the fact they had a biggest rival in Denmark.

Paraguay,as all South Americans,play impressive so far.I'm not concerned with their draw vs. New Zealand,more with the fact they've progressed from the probably the weakest group. Key midfielder is suspended.

I think,this will be a tight game and not so sure about backing Paraguay in 90 mins.On the other hand,odd on them to qualify is a misery.Hm...My gambles have been a pure money wasting lately,but will try once again. Simply addicted.

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Spain - Portugal, Spain @ 2.10 (William Hill)  1-0 WON

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Spain played group games under their full potential, did just enough to secure 1st place.The things that worry me here are Torres who's completely out of form and Del Bosque who left his wingers on the bench in the previous game and adjusted Spain's play to Chile! (Miss to use advantage over 3 defenders in Chile's back line.) I'm really scary of his football philosophy,to be honest.Beside that,Spain looks as one of the top favorite to win WC (beside Brazil and Germany,I'd say).

Portugal has a tough defense,13 clean sheets in last 15 games.Not so great opponents though.They played a quiet game vs. Brazil and chose to face Spain (I still don't understand why).They look fine, will be as always when play Spain fully motivated,but...In my opinion,class difference is obvious.And in such type of a games,mental strength (can easily imagine CR to get red) will have important role.

Maybe my bet is not so based on the facts,but really can not imagine any other outcome than Spain's win in a regular time. 

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World Cup 2010 bonuses
888sports - NO LOSE BET
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WC 2010 - 25.06.

Post will be updated through the day.

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Portugal - Brazil, Correct score Brazil to win 1-0 @ 7.00 (888sports)  0-0 LOST 

With all due respect to Portugal,it will be a matter of Brazil only.They don't need a win,probably some fringe players will get a chance.And Dunga is not Maradona,he doesn't care about 9 points,sending a message to public and such things.If Brazil doesn't win WC he'll be crusified (as Maradona if fails).So,a draw would be fine for him.On the other hand,although Brazil looks tactically perfect,playing for a draw carries some risk.And that risk is second top favorite for winning WC!

Portugal will try to compete,CR will perform some of his tricks,but they're safe as Ivory Coast won't do too much (surely won't win by 9).They'll be playing on the same way as they did against them.

I expect a tough game and Brazil to nick one in the 2nd half.

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UPDATE I:

Chile - Spain, Spain -1ah @ 1.93 (Pinnacle)  1-2 DRAW

Chile won both games 1-0 against two defensive sides.Today they need not to lose by more than 1 (my assumption is Switzerland won't win by 2 or more).Problem is they can't adjust their attacking style of play to opponent.It works when they're favorites,but against Brazil in their qualifications it brought 7 conceded goals in 2 games.3 players in defense line make them vulnerable on the flanks (tonight,vulnerable to Silva,Mata,Navas,Villa...).And I'm not sure playing pressing against Spain will bring them anything good.

After two games,I have impression that Spain has much more potential than they've been showing so far.First game was a bad luck imo,in second only their arrogance and selfishness each to other stopped them not to score few more.Now they feel a fire under the feet and it's the final time to become serious.

Personally don't like Del Bosque and big expectations brought some pressure,but I think they're simply too strong to end WC in a group.

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WC 2010 - 22.06.

Post will be updated through the day.

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Many interesting bets for the outcome of World Cup. I chose two, for now.

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Name of the finalists:

Brazil - Germany @ 17.00 (bet365)

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Group betting:

1st USA, 2nd England @ 4.33

1st Spain, 2nd Switzerland @ 4.00

1st Argentina, 2nd S.Korea @ 1.61

A treble @ 28.00 (bet365)

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UPDATE I:

Greece - Argentina, NO BET

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I think we all can agree that "Argentina B" (which means Millito and Aguero alongside Messi,probably Di Maria and Maxi on the flanks) is still much stronger than Greek full and highly motivated squad.
The thing that fears me most is the idea Argies will play more for fun than for the result.Attractive and nice to watch,but not so responsible in defense tasks (especially mentioned five).
Other thing is Otto Rehhagel.German who won EURO with his hard-to-watch defensive football.Counter attacks and set pieces are the only way to score.So,in combination with my first reason I could imagine very complicate scenario here.
I don't say Argentina won't smash them,but simply don't like those odds.Will skip this one.

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UPDATE II:

Mexico - Uruguay, Uruguay to win @ 5.00 (Bet3000)  0-1 WIN

The point of a draw is both sides will pass the group.Ok,what Mexico thinks about it?Maybe they can win,they defeated France and are full of confidence.But,they should accept a draw and face Argentina instead Korea probably?!Nah,doesn't sound like Mexico.Even if they lose,probability to be eliminated is very low as France won't trash anybody today.
Other thing,if one side score (it's hardly to imagine a game without any chance,at least because the fear of UEFA president),they should just allow other to score?He-he Mexico and Uruguay?Hell,no.
We already have seen 2-2 draw once,but this sides?No,I don't think so.
Winner will have a red carpet to a quarter-final(and I hope Serbia he-he),loser gets top favorite.
I'm gonna take Uruguay.

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UPDATE III:

South Africa - France, South Africa +0.25ah @ 2.08 (188bet)  2-1 WIN

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This is a kind of speculative bet.
Home side will try to not the end competition without a win (in theory,they have even a chance to be 2nd).That,also should be a slap to FIFA board that gave them to host WC.Blatter has been talking rubbish for years and now his favorites will be last in the group.Funny,at least.
Happenings in the French camp are surely a shame for their nation.I don't feel bad about it,they didn't even deserve to be there.Starting 11 will be interesting.Evra allegedly has refused(!!!) to play.His example probably will follow some other players.
And last thing,referee is Oscar Ruiz (Colombia).

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UPDATE IV:

Nigeria - S.Korea, S.Korea -0.25ah @ 2.10 (188bet)  2-2 1/2 LOST

No big philosophy here. Korea is better squad, looks tactically better and organized. Nigeria didn’t show anything special, so far. Except, lack of discipline. Tonight, need a win (for Korea, a point should be fine). Attacking attitude will make them vulnerable to Korea's fast counters, through the wings. Park will score.

d

World Cup 2010 bonuses
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WC 2010 - 21.06.

Portugal - Korea DPR, Portugal -1ah @ 1.72 (Pinnacle)  7-0 WIN

 

Bookies overreacted here after Koreans put a fanatical fight against Brazilians. But true is, beside that they don’t have too much to offer. Portugal needs a win to reach the 2^nd spot and they need to score few because goal difference will probably be decisive.

 

Chile - Switzerland, corner handicap Chile -1ah @ 1.85 (bet365) 5-3 WIN

 

Chile defeated Honduras in previous game with a minimal margin, but they missed several very good chances. They carry attacking style of play and today will be stronger for their best player (and best scorer) Suazo.

Swiss shocked Spain with very good defensive display. Hitzfeld is great coach, they’re well organized, tactically perfect and shouldn’t be underestimated by anyone. Will miss best player Frei and I think they’ll be playing on the same way as vs. Spain.

I fancy South Americans and think Chile will dominate here. I’ll take corner handicap.

 

Spain - Honduras, Spain -2ah @ 2.02 (bet365)  2-0 DRAW

 

Interesting thing is, despite the shock, Spain wasn’t so bad. They still remain as one of the favorites, but now they could easily miss the first spot. Which brings Brazil in the next round. They’ll try to score as much as possible for the self confidence, but also for a goal difference that could be very important.

Don’t have too much to say about Honduras. Considering quality, they’re probably number 4 in the group. Will try to put a decent fight, but they’re facing a raging Spain.

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World Cup 2010 bonuses

888sports - NO LOSE BET

Open your account, here. Place your first bet (maximum 20 pounds). If you lose, in the next 72 hours you’ll get your money back! Offer applies to new customers only, between June 1, 2010 & July 12, 2010.

Monday's World Cup round-up

Euro 2008 champions Spain have been warned by goalkeeper Jose Reina that they cannot afford to "live off the past" as they prepare for Monday's make-or-break World Cup match against Honduras.
He said: "This side has been playing for five years together, I think we've been doing things well and doing a good job but we can't live off our past - we have to prove again more than ever that we can be in that group of teams who can win the World Cup and we have to recover from the defeat by Switzerland."

New Zealand Herald correspondent Michael Brown has called his country's 1-1 draw with Italy "mind-blowing".
He wrote: "Little, old New Zealand with just 25 professional footballers - Italy has 3541. A country which had played just four World Cup matches before this morning drew with one which has won four World Cup titles. Crazy." 
New Zealand Prime Minister John Key said of the result: "The All Whites have surprised everybody and stunned the footballing world." 

North Korea will broadcast its World Cup match against Portugal live on Monday evening, its official television station said.
The Korean Central TV Broadcasting Station aired only recorded footage of the team's first group match against Brazil and the last time a North Korea game was shown live to the nation was the World Cup qualifier against Iran in June 2009.

Ivory Coast striker Didier Drogba has come out in support of his Chelsea team-mate Nicolas Anelka after he was kicked out of France's World Cup squad.
Anelka was sent home after a verbal assault on France coach Raymond Domenech 
Drogba, quoted on news24.com in South Africa, said: "He has been a team-mate for two-and-a-half years. Yes, I support him. I wish him good luck, it's a difficult time for him. He is very strong mentally, he's a competitor. I was surprised he was kicked out of the team." 

Germany legend Franz Beckenbauer has criticised the France team - only a week after he launched an attack on England.
In a column for a South African newspaper, the ex-Germany skipper and World Cup winner said: "Everyone must have realised that there was something wrong with the French team following their 2-0 defeat to Mexico. Everyone in the team seemed to be playing for themselves. They were lifeless."
Beckenbauer caused controversy last week when he attacked England over their playing style after the 1-1 draw with the United States.
But after England's 0-0 draw with Algeria he said: "I am not going to criticise England this time because all the bigger teams have taken a step backwards."

www.bbc.co.uk

WC 2010 - 16.06.

Post will be updated through the day.

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Chile -0.5 (1.725)  1-0 won

Spain win to nil (1.83) 0-1 lost

double @ 3.16 (bet365) LOST

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Honduras - Chile

 

Honduras came to this tournament after sensational USA’s equalizer against Costa Rica in last qualification round. Few decent players, Wilson Palacios and David Suazo are their keys. Civil war in the country will push the players to reach the ultimate limits.

Chile was second South American team, right behind Brazil. Decent coach, Marcelo Bielsa, carries attacking style of play. Best player and top goal scorer, Humberto Suazo, is under the question mark for today’s game. Since the odds on Chile have been rising, seems he’ll be on the bench. Which is actually good because he’s not fit anyway.

I haven’t had too many opportunities to watch these two teams, so I’m taking this as a part of double. Think Chile will be too much for Honduras.

 

Spain - Switzerland

 

One of the top favorites starts the competition. Nothing much to say about Spain. Most important news is they’ll start with Villa alone in front and Torres on the bench (if my source is correct, anyway). Spain doesn’t concede too much and 4-5-1 will make their defense even tougher than usual.

Ottmar Hitzfeld is Switzerland’s coach and that will be their biggest strength. They’ll be playing tough defense and will try to keep starting result. If they concede, I doubt they’d open too much. Their tournament starts in the second round.

I expect a tough battle and Spain’s win without conceding. 1-0 or 2-0.

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UPDATE:

Well, that's what I call a surprise. Shock! In last 3 World Cups only three selections made a progress after a defeat at the start and every of those 3 recovered after a loss against the strongest group team. We'll see what Spain will do after Chile's win earlier.

Was planning to back Uruguay tonight, but after this... My major concern is SA is a host country. Which means,sometimes some "little" gifts, penalty, red card, flag stays down... And if they lose today, they'd finish the tournament. No bet so far, but will post if I change my mind.

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Wednesday's World Cup round-up

Switzerland coach Ottmar Hitzfeld has prepared his players for the deafening sound of vuvuzelas - by inviting fans to attend the team's training.
Ahead of his side's opening World Cup game against Spain, Hitzfield organised a public training session knowing that spectators would bring their plastic horns.
"It is good for the players to be prepared for what they will hear on the pitch," he explained.

Matthew Upson is certain that team-mate Wayne Rooney will soon end his England goal drought.
Rooney has found the net in only one of his last eight internationals and has not scored for England since September. 
But West Ham defender Upson said: "It will happen. Wayne's movement is great. He is a class player and he is totally gifted. 
"He just needs to relax, play his game and the goals will come because he is top drawer." 

New Zealand hero Winston Reid believes his goal against Slovakia justified his decision to play for the All Whites.
Reid, 21, opted to represent the country of his birth rather than Denmark, where he was brought up from the age of 10.
"For a long time I have been torn between the two countries. I was asking myself if I was a Kiwi or a Dane," said Reid, who won 10 caps for Denmark's Under-21s.
"This is the biggest stage in the world for football and that has to be the most important goal of my life."

Cristiano Ronaldo would have happily swapped his man of the match award for three points against Ivory Coast.
Ronaldo was impressive for Portugal in their Group G opener, but his team were unable to break the deadlock and had to settle for a 0-0 draw. 
The former Manchester United star said: "It's always good to win individual awards. But if I could change it for anything, I would change it for three points. 
"But I would say that nothing is lost. This has happened with England and with other teams."

www.bbc.co.uk

Tuesday's World Cup round-up

North Korea has secured legal rights to televise World Cup matches live, according to Asia's broadcasting union - who deny that the communist state had pirated a recording of the opening fixture.
According to South Korean broadcaster SBS, the North's Korean Central Broadcast Service (KBS) aired Friday's 1-1 draw between South Africa and Mexico without permission.
But the Asia-Pacific Broadcasting Union said North Korea - whose team is competing at the World Cup for the first time in 44 years - had used legal footage "right from the start" following a deal between the union and football's world governing body Fifa.

Meanwhile, North Korea coach Kim Jong-hun bristled at a question from South Korean media ahead of his team's opening match against Brazil. A reporter, speaking in Korean, referred to his nation as "North Korea" in a news conference on Monday - rather than by the country's official name, the Democratic Republic of Korea.
"There's no such country named 'North Korea,' replied Kim. "Next question." 
A question about North Korean leader Kim Jong-Il's involvement in team selection was then cut off, with a Fifa official reminding journalists not to ask political questions. 

France's playmaker Yoann Gourcuff - the struggling heir apparent to Zinedine Zidane - is being cast as socially isolated from the core of Les Bleus squad after an anonymous start to the World Cup in their drab 0-0 opener with Uruguay.
"Yo [Gourcuff], I never hear him," said captain Patrice Evra. "To speak to Gourcuff, you have to talk to [Jeremy] Toulalan. It's with him that I see him having a laugh."
There is even speculation that Gourcuff is being ignored by his team-mates on the pitch, with Nicolas Anelka and Franck Ribery allegedly guilty of deliberately not passing the ball to the Bordeaux midfielder.

Portugal star Cristiano Ronaldo added his voice to the complaints about the wall of sound being made by the vuvuzela trumpets at the World Cup.
"It is difficult for anyone on the pitch to concentrate," he said. 
"A lot of players don't like them, but they are going to have to get used to them. Hardly anyone likes them, but the people who do like them are those who like to blow the instruments and make a racket." 

More than 100 World Cup security stewards have protested in Durban a day before Spain plays Switzerland as they call on Fifa to confirm what they should be paid by contractors for working at the tournament, according to reports.
Armed police looked on as the workers danced, chanted and sang at the peaceful demonstration on Tuesday. Protest leader Sibusiso Mthethwa said the stewards would "protect our visitors" even if their demand for higher wages are not met.

www.bbc.co.uk

Finally starts!!! Antepost

I already wrote explanations for these bets:

England 1st, USA 2nd @ 2.50

Serbia to win the group @ 4.00

Serbia to reach semi-final @9.00

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Now, here're some new bets and some gambles. No explanations.

Spain 1st, Chile 2nd @ 2.10

Uruguay to qualify @ 2.10

Uruguay and South Africa to qualify @ 15.00

Robinho top goalscorer @ 29.00

Luis Suarez top goalscorer @ 51.00

Kaka golden ball @ 15.00

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Choose what you like and good luck.

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EDIT: Another one, have just placed.

Best team goalscorer

Milijas 15.00

Suarez 3.50

Rooney 2.37

treble @ 124.68

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WC predictions - last part

My vote for WC winners goes for Brazil.

Argentina has Maradona as a coach. Best player in the history and my real idol from the childhood, but coach. No, no way. Considering names (including those that El Pibe wrote off) the best squad in the tournament. But, personally can’t imagine Veron and El Loco with the trophy. Enough.

Spain. Second strongest squad in my opinion. I don’t rate Del Bosque too high, but definitely better solution than Luis Aragones. As the best group they look best, tactically perfect. Bad things, Torres was injured couple of times through the season and he’s not in the best shape. Also, they’re well known as WC “underachievers”, this time a trophy is expected. Something simply doesn’t fit. More instinct than facts, but I’m pretty sure they won’t win WC.

Netherlands, great team with huge attacking potential. If I have to find bad sides, I’d say not so good defense (I mean, not good as other top sides) and Robben who probably won’t be fully fit. I would consider them as favorites, but tragically they’ll face Brazil in quarter-final and will finish the competition.

Italy, too old. France, they maybe won’t even pass the group (personally,would be glad to see it). Anyway, can’t see them further then second round. Other teams have no chance.

Brazil. Dunga looks much better than at the beginning. He wrote off some lazy bags (Ronaldo, Ronaldinho, Adriano…) and got a good dressing room atmosphere and the team that looks united on the pitch. The spine of the team: Julio Cesar, Lucio, Kaka and Luis Fabiano. Looks great for me. Also, expect from Robinho to shine (6.50 for him to be Brazil top scorer, hm…). And maybe it’s not so important, but Africa (climate conditions) should suit more to South American teams, than European.

Any comment would be appreciated.

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Normally, bets will follow. Stay tuned.

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Spain 3-2 South Africa (aet)

Spain secured victory over hosts South Africa in the Confederations Cup third-place play-off courtesy of a Xabi Alonso extra-time free-kick.
South African substitute Katlego Mphela opened the scoring in the second half, lashing in a Siphiwe Tshabalala cross. 

Two goals in two minutes from Daniel Guiza seemed to have won it for Spain until Mphela crashed home an injury-time free-kick to force extra-time. 
But Alonso curled in a set-piece in the second period of extra-time to win it. 
For much of normal time this game was a typically drab third-place play-off, with European Champions Spain - whose 35-match unbeaten run came to a shock end against the United States in the semi-final - particularly lethargic. 
The closest either side came to a goal in the first half was a Matthew Booth snap shot that fizzed past the post for the home side. 
Spain were brighter in the second half, with Albert Riera forcing a smart save from Bafana Bafana goalkeeper Itumeleng Khune.
However, it was the home side who took the lead when Tshabalala was released wide left and his cross was firstly controlled by Mphela before being crashed into the roof of the net by the striker. 
It looked like being the only goal of the game until Guiza's late show. 
The substitute striker turned in a Santi Cazorla cross with his right foot into the bottom left-hand corner in the 88th minute. 
Barely a minute later he had put Spain into the lead, when what appeared to have been a cross beat Khune, clipped the far upright and went in. 
It appeared as though this would be enough to win the match for Spain, but with the final kick of the match, three minutes into injury-time, Mphela lashed in a spectacular 25-yard free-kick to extend matters by a further 30 minutes. 
In an understandably nervy extra-time, Liverpool midfielder Alonso had the final say, with a smart, curling free-kick that beat attackers and defenders alike to find the far right corner of the net. 

Spain: Casillas, Arbeloa, Albiol, Pique, Capdevila, Santi Cazorla, Alonso, Riera, Busquets (Llorente 81), Villa (Silva 57), Torres (Guiza 57).
Subs Not Used: Diego Lopez, Marchena, Puyol, Pablo, Xavi, Fabregas, Sergio Ramos, Mata, Reina. 
Booked: Busquets, Pique, Albiol, Llorente. 
Goals: Guiza 88, 89, Alonso 107. 

South Africa: Khune, Gaxa, Booth, Mokoena, Masilela, Pienaar (Mphela 64), Dikgacoi, Sibaya, Modise (Van Heerden 69), Parker, Tshabalala (Mhlongo 84).
Subs Not Used: Fernandez, Davids, Mdledle, Fanteni, Moon, Khumalo, Mashego, Gould, Baloyi. 
Booked: Pienaar, Mphela, Masilela. 
Goals: Mphela 73, 90. 

Att: 21,500 
Ref: Matthew Breeze (Austrailia).
www.bbc.co.uk

Confederations Cup - Third place

Spain - South Africa

Game for the third place. After shocking defeat against USA, Spain will try to save their pride. Vincente Del Bosque has a difficult task to shake the lads. Probably will put some players with lower minutes rate on this competition, into first eleven, but there is no doubt they’ll go for a win.

The hosts come into this game after defeat from Brazil 0-1. Team played over the expectations, defending all the game, successfully stopping attacks from one of the best squads on the world. Bafana Bafana needed just two more minutes to resist, but Danny Alves scored from free-kick, putting the things on the right place and sent Brazil to final. However, players got the confidence, will be more motivated than opponent and the most important without a pressure.

Bookmakers favor Spain, but strange things have already happened in third place games in past Confederations Cups, Australia defeated Brazil (2001.), Turkey beat Colombia (2003.). I can’t see any reason for calculation from both sides and go for goals, rather than winner. Pinnacle offers 2.05. Over.

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Few words about final, later.

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USA defeated Spain? Before that eliminated Italy and Egypt. I'm not a lover of conspiracy theories, but this reminds me on the Blater's theory how football is actually invited in China (story announced before WC in South Korea)! Yes, sure. After game popularisation in Asia, it seems North America is next. Big market, big potential, dollars have a nice smell... And what is the better advertising than the big achieve of national team? I won't be even surprised if USA beat Brazil in final! Or, maybe South Africa?! I feel sick about that. Won't even watch last two games.

If You have Your own opinion about this issue, use the chat box.

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Beside mentioned competition, poor offer for today. You have to be an artist to find a good bet. I've been thinking about Hafnarfjardar in Iceland league, but 1.65 (at Expekt) definitely doesn't worth of bet. Semi-final games at U21 Championship are tomorrow. I wait the team news, but currently fancy Italy. 

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Spain 0-2 USA

The United States caused one of the biggest upsets in world football by beating European champions Spain in the semi-finals of the Confederations Cup.
Jozy Altidore broke the deadlock on 27 minutes when he turned Joan Capdevila and beat Iker Casillas from 15 yards. 
Fulham's Clint Dempsey then doubled the lead on 74 minutes when he converted Landon Donovan's pass from close range. 
The defeat in South Africa ended Spain's world record of 15 straight wins and their 35-match unbeaten run. 
"It's exciting, a great team effort. To beat an amazing team like Spain and make the final, it's big," said US coach Bob Bradley. 
"We played as hard as we could and that's what it took. Every guy contributed, so it's a very good feeling."
US captain Carlos Bocanegra added: "I think it just shows that we can compete with the best. Now we need to do it on a consistent basis." 
The US opened the tournament with a 3-1 loss to world champions Italy before being outclassed 3-0 by Brazil but they advanced to the last four by beating Egypt 3-0. 
"It goes to show what hard work and commitment to each other can bring," stated US goalkeeper Tim Howard, who made crucial saves to deny David Villa and Fernando Torres. "Football is a funny thing." 
Victory meant the US advanced to their first Fifa final, although the achievement was slightly soured by the dismissal of Michael Bradley. 
The midfielder, son of the US coach, will now miss Sunday's showdown against either defending champions Brazil or hosts South Africa.

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Spain: Casillas, Sergio Ramos, Capdevila, Pique, Puyol, Xavi, Fabregas (Santi Cazorla 68), Alonso, Riera (Mata 78), Torres, Villa.

Subs Not Used: Diego Lopez, Albiol, Arbeloa, Marchena, Pablo, Busquets, Silva, Llorente, Guiza, Reina. 
Booked: Capdevila, Pique. 

USA: Howard, DeMerit, Spector, Bocanegra, Onyewu, Clark, Dempsey (Bornstein 88), Davies (Feilhaber 69), Donovan, Bradley, Altidore (Casey 84).
Subs Not Used: Guzan, Pearce, Califf, Wynne, Beasley, Kljestan, Adu, Torres, Robles. 
Sent Off: Bradley (87). 
Booked: Donovan, Altidore. 
Goals: Altidore 27, Dempsey 74. 

Att: 40,000 
Ref: Jorge Larrionda (Uruguay).
www.bbc.co.uk

Spain - USA

After the winning of EURO 2008, Spain continued with trashing their opponents. They finished an impressive group stage in the 2009 Confederations Cup by defeating hosts South Africa 2-0 on Saturday night. The victory has given Spain a world record of 15 consecutive international wins. And not just that, by avoiding defeat in tonight’s match, they would also set a new all-time record for unbeaten matches – they are currently level with Brazil on 35. First place in the group with eight goals scored and zero conceded, while strikers Fernando Torres and David Villa both have 3 goals apiece. Vincente Del Bosque has probably the best team in Spanish history. Attacking duo Torres-Villa is certainly the best on the world. Midfield, even without Senna and Iniesta looks masterful, while defence conceded just two goals from last 16 games and a clean sheet has been kept in a remarkable 25 of mentioned 35 fixtures (over 70%)! Considering their current shape, they’re big favorites in this semi-final.

After the first two displays, situation looked hopeless for USA. Two defeats, from Italy and Brazil, with six goals conceded and two red cards deserved. They needed a wonder to pass the group stage. But, in the third game, lads humiliated confused Pharaons (who btw. played defensive in the second-half, trying to keep the minimal defeat!) and with the favor from Brazil who defeated Italy, booked a ticket to semi-finals. Players confidence raised, they’ll undoubtedly put up a good fight in this encounter, but Spain isn’t Egypt. On the other half of the pitch will be (probably) the best eleven on the world. Semi-final is a big success for the Bob Bradley’s squad, but it seems they came till the end of the road. They already beat the odds once, but this time, anything except the convincing defeat is hard to imagine. USA’s main hope will be the underestimation from Spanish side.

It is unnecessary to be said who is closer to final. Spain is much better side and it’s hard to expect USA can repeat the performance from Egypt game. I think we’ll watch an open game and choose bet on goals, rather than Spanish win. Pinnacle offers 1.85. Over.

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South Africa 2-0 New Zealand

Bernard Parker took South Africa closer to the semi-finals of the Confederations Cup by scoring both goals in a 2-0 win over New Zealand.
The hosts were under pressure after a poor 0-0 draw against Iraq, but dominated the match in Rustenburg. 
Both of Parker's goals were provided by Tsepo Masilela assists, but Everton's fit-again Steven Pienaar was also key. 
He started the move that led to the opener and was a creative force throughout the match. 
By scoring twice, Parker redeemed himself after being cast as a villain when inadvertently blocking Kagisho Dikgacoi's goal-bound header against Iraq on Sunday. 
While the permutations are plenty, South Africa, with four points, will guarantee qualification if they get a draw on Saturday with Spain. If they lose and the Iraqis beat New Zealand it will then come down to goal difference.

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South Africa: Khune, Gaxa, Masilela, Mokoena, Sibaya, Pienaar, Modise, Dikgacoi, Booth, Parker (Tshabalala 81), Fanteni (Mashego 61).

Subs Not Used: Fernandez, Mdledle, Gould, Khumalo, Moon, Mhlongo, Davids, Van Heerden, Mphela, Baloyi. 
Booked: Pienaar. 
Goals: Parker 21, 52. 

New Zealand: Moss, Lochhead, Vicelich, Elliott, Brown (Oughton 55), Smeltz, Killen (Wood 74), Bertos (James 66), Christie, Mulligan, Boyens.
Subs Not Used: Paston, Scott, Sigmund, Old, Barron, Brockie, Bright, Smith, Bannatyne. 
Booked: Christie, Boyens, Smeltz, Vicelich. 

Att: 32,500 
Ref: Benito Archundia Tellez (Mexico).
www.bbc.co.uk