WC 2010 SUMMARY - LIST OF THE ALL BETS

We're approaching the end of WC. Competition has been marked with referees' mistakes that sent some selections home, new irregular ball by Adidas and that terrible noise. Quality is, in my opinion, just average. Some profit from the bets. 

Two more games. I won't touch game from the bronze (Germany at 1.65 simply doesn't worth of it), but will post analyze for the final.

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Hope I helped you to earn some cash and would like to use this opportunity to say thanks to all who sent me e-mails with the appreciations. Cheers lads!

We all have the same target, to rob the bookies and this blog will stay free as long as there's an interest for it. 

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I'm taking a break and will be back when the seasons start. Maybe only few bets before it.

Good luck,

Dule

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However, here's the list of my all bets (with links to original posts). 

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BETS:

England - USA, England to win (1.53) and Argentina-Nigeria,over 2.5 ( 1.82). Double @ 2.83 

Serbia - Ghana, Serbia to win @ 2.10 

Germany - Australia, Germany -1ah @ 2.10 

Holland - Denmark, Holland -1ah @ 2.03 

Japan - Cameroon, Cameroon to win @ 2.23  

Portugal - I.Coast, Portugal to win @ 2.30  

Brazil - DPR Korea, Korea +1ah 1st half @ 1.925  

Hond.-Chile, Chi. to win and Spain-Switz.,Spain to win to nil.Double @ 3.16  

Argentina - S.Korea, Argentina -1ah @ 2.03  

Greece - Nigeria, Nigeria to win @ 2.22  

France - Mexico, France to win @ 2.29 

Germany - Serbia, over 2.5 @ 2.10  

England - Algeria, England -2ah @ 2.70  

Holland - Japan, Holland -1ah @ 1.95  

Ghana - Australia, Ghana -0.5ah @ 2.28  

Cameroon - Denmark, Denmark 0.0ah @ 1.92 

Slovakia - Paraguay, Paraguay to win @ 2.15 

Brazil - I.Coast, Brazil -0.75ah @ 2.08 

Portugal - Korea DPR, Portugal -1ah @ 1.72 

Chile - Switzerland, corner handicap Chile -1ah @ 1.85 

Spain - Honduras, Spain -2ah @ 2.02 

Mexico - Uruguay, Uruguay to win @ 5.00 

S.Africa - France, S.Africa +0.25ah @ 2.08  

Nigeria - S.Korea, S.Korea -0.25 @ 2.10 1/2 LOST

Slovenia - England, total cards over 5ah @ 2.00 

USA - Algeria, USA -0.75ah @ 2.17 1/2 WON

Ghana - Germany, Germany -1.5ah @ 2.45  

Chile - Spain, Spain -1ah @ 1.93  

Uruguay - S.Korea, Uruguay -0.75ah @ 2.19  1/2 WON

Germany - England, England -0.25ah @ 2.14  

Argentina - Mexico, Argentina -1ah @ 2.25  

Brazil - Chile, Brazil -1ah @ 2.08  

Spain - Portugal, Spain to win @ 2.10 

Holland - Brazil, Brazil -0.5ah @ 2.05  

Uruguay - Ghana, Uruguay to win @ 2.10 

Argentina - Germany, Germany to qualify @ 2.25 

Paraguay - Spain, Spain -1ah @ 1.80  

Uruguay - Holland, Holland -1ah @ 2.49  

Number of bets: 38

Average odd: 2.24

Number of wins: 16

Number of draws: 5

Number of loses: 15.5

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GAMBLES:

Milijas to score first (Ghana) @ 13.00   

Name of the finalists: Germany-Brazil @ 17.00 

Group betting: 1st USA 2nd England, 1st Spain 2nd Switzerland, 1st Argentina 2nd S.Korea. Treble @ 28.00  

Brazil - Portugal, Brazil to win 1-0 @ 7.00  

Forlan to score first (S.Korea) @ 5.50  

Holland - Slovakia, Slovakia to score first @ 3.75  

Brazil - Chile, red card in the game-YES @ 3.00  

Paraguay - Japan, Barrios MOM @ 7.00  

Argentina - Germany, Germany -1ah @ 6.10 

Germany - Spain, Germany to win on penalties @ 10.00 

Holland - Spain, draw @ 3.20

Number of bets: 11

Average odd: 9.41

Number of wins: 2

Number of draws: 0

Number of loses: 9

2.

ANTEPOST:

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England 1st, USA 2nd @ 2.50  LOST

Serbia to win the group @ 4.00  LOST

Serbia to reach semi-final @ 9.00  LOST

Spain 1st, Chile 2nd @ 2.10  WON

Uruguay to qualify @ 2.10  WON

Uruguay and SA to qualify @ 15.00  LOST

Robinho top goalscorer 29.00  LOST

Luis Suarez top goalscorer @ 51.00  LOST

Kaka golden ball @ 15.00  LOST

Best team goalscorer:Milijas (15.00), Suarez (3.50), Rooney (2.37). Treble @ 124.68  LOST

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Number of bets:10

Average odd: 25.438

Number of wins: 2

Number of draws: 0

Number of loses: 8

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Wednesday's World Cup round-up

Argentina Football Association president Julio Grondona says Diego Maradona's future as the national team boss lies with the coach himself.
Maradona's team were eliminated from the World Cup when they were thumped 4-0 by Germany in the quarter-finals, and the manager has not spoken about his future in the position since he returned to Argentina.
But Grondona said: "Maradona is the only person in the country who can do whatever he wants. He still has a contract with us, so it's up to him."

Viewers of British broadcaster ITV's coverage of Tuesday's World Cup semi-final between Uruguay and the Netherlands might have been wondering why commentator Clive Tyldesley was doing so much talking.
The reason was that regular co-commentator Jim Beglin, due to join Tyldesley in Cape Town, was struck down by an ear infection and ITV were unable to recruit another summariser in time. 

The Netherlands has woken up to an understandable case of Orange fever after the team reached their first World Cup final for 32 years.
The country's leading newspaper De Telegraaf simply lead with "FINAL" on its front page, saying that the Oranje could now "smell gold". The NRC Next daily added: "Finally, icons for our couch potato generation." Reports suggested more than 80,000 people watched the match on big screens in Amsterdam's Museum Square.

www.bbc.co.uk

WC 2010 - 03.07.

Argentina - Germany, Germany to qualify @ 2.25 (888sports) 4-0  WON

.....................................Germany -1 ah @ 6.10 (bet365)  WON

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Considering names,Argies should win this easily.Main problem for them is El Pibe and his tactic incompetence.On the other hand,Germany maybe lacks with the big names but looks really great on the pitch.Main difference is Argentina wants to play,Germany to compete.I give some advantage to Germans and to be honest like these odds too much to resist.

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Paraguay - Spain, Spain -1ah @ 1.80 (Paddy Power)  1-0 DRAW

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Only thing that worries me here is Spain's struggling to score against hard defending sides.Sometimes they look a little bit slow and passing too much...On the other hand,importance of this game calls on seriousness and I think they'll make a strong start of the game and score very early.On the other hand,Paraguay is hard working side but definitely lacks in creativity and can not see them scoring tonight.Maybe better bet is Spain to win to nil,but personally don't like that kind of a bet and choose asian handicap.

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Saturday's World Cup round-up

Spain coach Vicente del Bosque said Brazil's quarter-final defeat by the Netherlands was not a surprise to him.
"I don't think it's a lesson knowing the reality of football," said the Spaniard following the favourites' World Cup exit. "We know that every match can be complicated. We start off on an equal footing and the nature of sport is that anything can happen."

Argentina forward Lionel Messi has admitted he was surprised by England's performances at the World Cup in South Africa.
"I expected England to do well, so I am surprised they had a very poor tournament," he said. "They seemed to freeze. If [Wayne] Rooney, [Steven] Gerrard and [Frank] Lampard are not at their best, the team is bound to suffer. Defensively, England were poor." 

Germany coach Joachim Loew has admitted that he is in awe of Diego Maradona because he feels the Argentine coach won the World Cup on his own, back in 1986.
"He galvanised the whole football world with his skills," said Loew as his side prepare to face Argentina in Saturday's quarter-final match.
"He was simply magic. The culmination of his career was 1986. He virtually decided that World Cup on his own. He left a mark on football like no other player has ever done."

www.bbc.co.uk

Wednesday's World Cup round-up

Uruguay's success has been enjoyed by the the people of the gritty mining city of Kimberley, where the quarter-finalists set up base camp high on South Africa's central plains at the launch of their campaign. So much so that the Uruguayan Football Association plans to develop the links forged by setting up coaching schemes in the area and inviting the best youngsters to Uruguay.
"I want to hug them. They have made us proud," said senior citizen Pulane Boikanyo, who was waiting for the Uruguayans to arrive for training ahead of Friday's quarter-final showdown with Ghana. The Dream Stays Alive - City Team Book Their Place in the Quarter, was the front-page headline in the local newspaper after Uruguay's 2-1 victory over South Korea in the previous round.

Manchester City's Argentina star Carlos Tevez is confident that his nation will beat Germany to secure a place in the last four - and believes previous opponents Mexico were a bigger threat.
"I was more afraid of Mexico than Germany because the Mexicans play better football - they took the ball from us in the first minutes of the first half and at the start of the second. We would have suffered more if we hadn't struck at the right moments," he told Argentine newspaper Clarin. 

Netherlands striker Robin van Persie has defended his angry reaction to being substituted against Slovakia. Van Persie remonstrated with coach Bert van Marwijk when he was replaced by Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 10 minutes before the end of the 2-1 win and then took no part in the Dutch celebrations of Wesley Sneijder's late goal.
Van Persie said: "What I said to Van Marwijk was not over the top. I just want to be important to the team and score. I wanted to stay on as we would have had more space with Slovakia chasing an equaliser and I felt that I could profit from that."

Ghana coach Milovan Rajevac has insisted that his players will not be affected by the pressure of attempting to become the first African side to reach the World Cup semi-finals.
Speaking ahead of their match against Uruguay, he stated: "We are not thinking about the pressure. We have already proved that we are a team that knows how to compete. We will try to relax and are very happy with the whole situation. We have no obligation but still we want to use this opportunity to do our best and to make history." 

Japanese prime minister Naoto Kan has issued a statement thanking his national team for their efforts following their World Cup exit in a penalty shoot-out against Paraguay.
"The players and the bench were united and showed the world the potential of Japanese soccer. I sincerely congratulate their efforts," he commented.

www.bbc.co.uk

Tuesday's World Cup round-up

Argentina playmaker Lionel Messi has agreed a double or quits bet with coach Diego Maradona that he scores against in Saturday's World Cup quarter-final against Germany. Messi bet Maradona he would score against Mexico in the previous round, although he has since refused to reveal the size of the stake
Maradona has also made it clear that Messi has a free role. He said: "Nobody ever told me where to play. So, I shouldn't have to tell Messi where to play either. It's up to him to decide where to play. He's a grown-up. I did it back in my era - and now it's his turn."

Ghana striker Asamoah Gyan needed an ice pack after hurting his ankle in training on Monday but officials expect him to recover in time for Friday's quarter-final against Uruguay. Black Stars defender Hans Sarpei is also reportedly carrying a leg injury.
Meanwhile, Ghana midfielder Kevin-Prince Boateng has revealed Italian side Lazio are interested in signing him from Portsmouth. He stated: "Lazio want me. I know about their interest but I don't want to think about it. For now, I just want to do well in South Africa." 

Uruguay coach Oscar Tabarez, whose side have impressed so far and beat South Korea in the second round, believes he is reaping the benefit of the majority of his players plying their trade overseas.
He said: "Most of the squad joined the national squad when they were still playing in Uruguay at around 22 years of age. Four years later, almost all of them are playing at important clubs overseas and they are capitalising on that experience of playing high-level football abroad."

Guus Hiddink thinks Sepp Blatter should only continue as Fifa president if he is prepared to allow the introduction of goal-line technology and video replays in order to avoid future controversies.
The former Netherlands boss, now in charge of Turkey's national side, stated: "Sepp Blatter should announce tomorrow that video replays will be implemented, or he needs to resign." 

Fit-again Netherlands winger Arjen Robben does not believe he is back to his best yet, despite returning to the starting line-up with a man-of-the-match performance in the 2-1 victory against Slovakia.
Robben, who had been out with a calf injury, said: "It was a great feeling to start the game. I am not yet at my top level but I was pretty confident."

www.bbc.co.uk

WC 2010 - 27.06.

Just picks.No explanations.Hangover and terrible headache.

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Germany - England, England -0.25ah @ 2.14 (Victor Chandler)  4-1 LOST

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Argentina - Mexico, Argentina -1ah @ 2.25 (Gamebookers)  3-1 WON

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WC 2010 - 22.06.

Post will be updated through the day.

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Many interesting bets for the outcome of World Cup. I chose two, for now.

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Name of the finalists:

Brazil - Germany @ 17.00 (bet365)

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Group betting:

1st USA, 2nd England @ 4.33

1st Spain, 2nd Switzerland @ 4.00

1st Argentina, 2nd S.Korea @ 1.61

A treble @ 28.00 (bet365)

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UPDATE I:

Greece - Argentina, NO BET

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I think we all can agree that "Argentina B" (which means Millito and Aguero alongside Messi,probably Di Maria and Maxi on the flanks) is still much stronger than Greek full and highly motivated squad.
The thing that fears me most is the idea Argies will play more for fun than for the result.Attractive and nice to watch,but not so responsible in defense tasks (especially mentioned five).
Other thing is Otto Rehhagel.German who won EURO with his hard-to-watch defensive football.Counter attacks and set pieces are the only way to score.So,in combination with my first reason I could imagine very complicate scenario here.
I don't say Argentina won't smash them,but simply don't like those odds.Will skip this one.

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UPDATE II:

Mexico - Uruguay, Uruguay to win @ 5.00 (Bet3000)  0-1 WIN

The point of a draw is both sides will pass the group.Ok,what Mexico thinks about it?Maybe they can win,they defeated France and are full of confidence.But,they should accept a draw and face Argentina instead Korea probably?!Nah,doesn't sound like Mexico.Even if they lose,probability to be eliminated is very low as France won't trash anybody today.
Other thing,if one side score (it's hardly to imagine a game without any chance,at least because the fear of UEFA president),they should just allow other to score?He-he Mexico and Uruguay?Hell,no.
We already have seen 2-2 draw once,but this sides?No,I don't think so.
Winner will have a red carpet to a quarter-final(and I hope Serbia he-he),loser gets top favorite.
I'm gonna take Uruguay.

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UPDATE III:

South Africa - France, South Africa +0.25ah @ 2.08 (188bet)  2-1 WIN

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This is a kind of speculative bet.
Home side will try to not the end competition without a win (in theory,they have even a chance to be 2nd).That,also should be a slap to FIFA board that gave them to host WC.Blatter has been talking rubbish for years and now his favorites will be last in the group.Funny,at least.
Happenings in the French camp are surely a shame for their nation.I don't feel bad about it,they didn't even deserve to be there.Starting 11 will be interesting.Evra allegedly has refused(!!!) to play.His example probably will follow some other players.
And last thing,referee is Oscar Ruiz (Colombia).

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UPDATE IV:

Nigeria - S.Korea, S.Korea -0.25ah @ 2.10 (188bet)  2-2 1/2 LOST

No big philosophy here. Korea is better squad, looks tactically better and organized. Nigeria didn’t show anything special, so far. Except, lack of discipline. Tonight, need a win (for Korea, a point should be fine). Attacking attitude will make them vulnerable to Korea's fast counters, through the wings. Park will score.

d

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Tuesday's World Cup round-up

Argentina coach Diego Maradona has said that Brazil are his favourites to win the World Cup while downplaying his side's hopes of winning a third title.
Impressive wins against Nigeria and South Korea mean Argentina need only one point from their final group game against Greece on Tuesday to reach the last 16 but Maradona is refusing to get carried away.
"I don't want to be favourites, not before coming to South Africa and not now," he said. "We're here to keep our fans happy, to play the way we want to play, and I think things so far are going well.
"Brazil can play badly but still win games, that's why they are still the great favourites."

North Korea television was quick to gloss over their side's humiliating 7-0 defeat by Portugal on Monday that eliminated them from the World Cup.
Billed as a revenge match against the side that knocked them out of the 1966 World Cup at the quarter-final stage, it was the first game to be aired live in a communist country that exerts strict control over media coverage. 
However, hopes of avenging the 5-3 defeat from 44 years ago, in North Korea's only other trip to the World Cup, were extinguished by six second-half Portuguese goals. 
"The Portuguese won the game and now have four points. We are ending our live broadcast now," a Korean Central Broadcasting commentator said, quickly cutting to footage of factory workers and engineers praising North Korean leader Kim Jong Il. 

West Ham midfielder Valon Behrami is hoping his Switzerland team-mates can keep his World Cup dream alive following his sending off in Tuesday's 1-0 defeat by Chile.
The 25-year-old will miss Friday's final Group H game against Honduras as the Swiss attempt to make the most of their opening 1-0 win over Spain to book their place in the last 16.
The group is extremely tight but if Switzerland beat Honduras by more than one clear goal it will guarantee their progress.

www.bbc.co.uk

WC 2010 - 17.06.

Post will be updated through the day.

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Argentina - Korea, Argentina -1ah @ 2.03 (188 bet)  4-1 WON

 

I still think Argentina’s national team will be a victim of one El Pibe’s tactical mistake. Lack of defenders, for example, could work well against average teams. Problem is every top class and hard working side will punish it, Spain, Brazil, Germany… But, Korea… No, I don’t think so. Difference in quality is huge. Korea will try to threat from counter attacks, they’re fast and Samuel (for example) could have some problems, but it’s nothing in compare with problems of Korea’s defenders. No question for me, here. Maradona will rest Veron and send Maxi Rodriguez on the pitch.

 

Greece - Nigeria, Nigeria @ 2.22 (Pinnacle)  2-1 LOST

 

Greece wasn’t bad against Korea, they were terrible, disaster, worst thing in WC so far. They play very slow and predictable. Main players are old and their tactic thankfully to which they won EURO, (fortunately) doesn’t work any more. My sympathies are always on the side of Greece and Greek people, but with a play like this they don’t have a chance against any side in SA (except against the hosts, maybe).

Nigeria actually played better than anybody expected. Goalie saved them several times against Argies, but they didn’t look bad, passing was good, tactical positioning as well. They’re physically stronger and differently from Greek, like climate conditions in SA. Another good thing for them is Greeks have to play less defensive as they’ll face Argentina in the last round. Martins is expected for Nigeria from the start.

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UPDATE:

France - Mexico, France @ 2.29 (Canbet)  2-0 LOST

 

Because the way how they qualified, I would like to see French lads on the plane as soon as possible. Against Uruguay, they played a boring draw which doesn’t promise a great achievement. Also, war in the dressing room (and on the pitch!) between two stubborn sides doesn’t help. As well as the news Domenech is ex coach (will be in charge till the end of WC). However, one glance on the starting eleven makes me feel scary. Defeat would send them home. Referee is Al Ghamdi, lad from S.Arabia and I expect some “mistakes” in favor to France and Platini.

Mexico’s games are nice to watch. Good technique, passing and offensive style of play, some very talented players. Unfortunately, playing like that they’re not competitive on this level and simply look to weak physically.

I’m going to back France.

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P.S.: Yesterday was the biggest attendance on the blog this year! Thanks for visiting, lads!

If you like my predictions and analyzes, don't agree somewhere, like my site or don't, leave comment or a chat box message. Thanks, again.

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12.06. - double

England - USA

For England this is the most important game in the group. Key of their possible success is 1st place. No injuries, no reason for keeping the players for other games.
Americans have declared this game as the most important in their soccer history. No, it is not. It will be that one against Slovenia. They’re decent side and have huge political support (football globalization story), but I doubt they’ll provide some shocks in SA.

Argentina - Nigeria

Argies, in my opinion, have the biggest potential in SA. If there is Passarella, or any other decent coach, instead Maradona, they would be main contenders to win the competition. My biggest concern regarding Argentina is some tactical stupidity by El Pibe that could bury them easily. For the first game he plans very attacking 3-4-3 formation. Hm…
Nigeria is average Africa’s team, no big stars (Anichebe and Martins are the biggest) and maybe key player (Obi Mikel) is injured. I think they can score once.
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England to win (1.53)
Arg-Nig over (1.85)

Double @ 2.83 (bet365)

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WC predictions - last part

My vote for WC winners goes for Brazil.

Argentina has Maradona as a coach. Best player in the history and my real idol from the childhood, but coach. No, no way. Considering names (including those that El Pibe wrote off) the best squad in the tournament. But, personally can’t imagine Veron and El Loco with the trophy. Enough.

Spain. Second strongest squad in my opinion. I don’t rate Del Bosque too high, but definitely better solution than Luis Aragones. As the best group they look best, tactically perfect. Bad things, Torres was injured couple of times through the season and he’s not in the best shape. Also, they’re well known as WC “underachievers”, this time a trophy is expected. Something simply doesn’t fit. More instinct than facts, but I’m pretty sure they won’t win WC.

Netherlands, great team with huge attacking potential. If I have to find bad sides, I’d say not so good defense (I mean, not good as other top sides) and Robben who probably won’t be fully fit. I would consider them as favorites, but tragically they’ll face Brazil in quarter-final and will finish the competition.

Italy, too old. France, they maybe won’t even pass the group (personally,would be glad to see it). Anyway, can’t see them further then second round. Other teams have no chance.

Brazil. Dunga looks much better than at the beginning. He wrote off some lazy bags (Ronaldo, Ronaldinho, Adriano…) and got a good dressing room atmosphere and the team that looks united on the pitch. The spine of the team: Julio Cesar, Lucio, Kaka and Luis Fabiano. Looks great for me. Also, expect from Robinho to shine (6.50 for him to be Brazil top scorer, hm…). And maybe it’s not so important, but Africa (climate conditions) should suit more to South American teams, than European.

Any comment would be appreciated.

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Normally, bets will follow. Stay tuned.

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Thursday after the storm

My internet connection collapsed the previous night. Sorry for late posts today.

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Russia was more convincing than anybody expected. The hosts didn't have a chance. Norway had a single effort (that Stekelenburg saved) for entire game. Again I had a good analyze, but bad conclusion. Argentinian stars, as I expected, couldn't breath in Quito and Ecuador realized my gamble. Interesting day at the end and some profit.

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Will follow one friend with Italian play-off game Brescia-Empoli. In case of draw, Brescia will progress, 'cause better table standings at the end of league. 188sports offers 2.30, Pinnacle 2.28. Treat it like a gamble. Home win.

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For basketball fans, great game tonight in Spain. Final:Tau Ceramica - Regal FC Barcelona. I haven't even considered to bet on it.

Tomorrow will be some interesting games. Stay tuned.

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Finland - Russia

Sounds shocking, but Finland has never qualified for European, or World Championship. In some previous campaigns, they were putting a solid displays, but always needed a point, or two. On the road to South Africa, they hold a third place in group 4, with two points less than the next opponent – Russia and six less from the leaders – Germany. They’re undefeated at home, two wins (Azerbaijan 1-0 and Liechtenstein 2-1) and a draw (Germany 3-3). Saturday’s game against Lilliputian showed their weaknesses. Finland hardly won, scored twice and turned the result. They look like out of shape. Play is without any idea and win came as result of pure experience. Also, some very important players, Petri Pasanen, Teemu Tainio and Shefki Kuqi, got injuries. National coach Stuart Baxter hides the cards, but it is expected Kuqi won’t play. It means Mikael Forssell and veteran Jari Litmanen will make the attack duo. With three points, Finland would skip Russia on the table.

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After he finished with a style his mission in Chelsea, Hiddink is back to Russia. They’re at second place with four points less (and a game less) than Germany. After 1-2 defeat in Germany, Russia made three consecutive wins, without a conceded goal (Finland 3-0, Azerbaijan 2-0, Liechtenstein 1-0). Young play-maker Alan Dzagoev won’t play, Pavel Pogrebnyak is in doubt, while Aldonin, Kerzhakov and Bystrov are returning after one game break. Guus Hiddink made some comments to Finnish media, pointing to the fact that Russia might settle for a draw. In that case will be at three points distance from Germany and will face them in Moscow. I think he was more polite and tactical, then serious. Holding a draw in Helsinki, when home side has Forssell (excellent head play) and Litmanen (maybe old, but still free-kick specialist) can turn the game into nightmare and dropping on third place. I can’t imagine Russia to loose here and can’t imagine they won’t qualify for WC. Expect from them to secure the goal first and in the second half to go for victory.

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The bookmakers offer low 1.80 for an away win, pointing Finland’s game vs Liechtenstein, but forgetting, at the same time, the game against Germany who avoided the defeat just thankfully to Klose. However, I think Russia simply has much more quality and Baxter can’t surprise Hiddink. Despite the lower odds (1.80 at Expekt) I go on away win. And a gamble x-2, ht/ft.

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My second bet will be Netherlands-Norway, over. And still think about Ecuador against Argentina. Maybe one more analyze, later.

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