Worthless Sunday

Lille were playing with the nerves, managed at the end to concede twice and ruin the handicap. I have been digging in today's games and couldn't find too many pointers. In Italy, Torino play without 9 players, home win drop from 2.15 to 1.70. It can be a clear home win, but also can be a  game for the bookies. No bet for me.

In Spain Osasuna host Real Madrid as a clear favorite!? 1.70 for a home win! Real's players are already on holiday, four defeats in a row, 15 goals conceded! Osasuna defeated Barca at Camp Nou and I can't find a logic to loose today and relegate. Barca don't care about league games, why should Real? Transfer market? Don't think so. Home win is probable, but I've already burnt my fingers on Spain and Osasuna. My opinion about Primera is the same as opinion about Puyol's two reactions in CL final (duels with Ronaldo and Van der Sar). No bet. 

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Brazil 1

Santos - Corinthians

Only bet for Sunday. Brazil's big derby. The Corinthians' boss announced yesterday that he'll rest some of 11 main players, thinking only about the second and decisive match against Vasco in the Brazil Cup (1-1 first game away). Bookies reacted quickly and decrease the odds. On the other side, Santos look in a nice shape, trashing Fluminense in the last round at Maracana 4-1. Play attacking, scored eight goals in the first three games. I don't believe in that "rest best players in derby games" stories and go for goals, instead the home win. Pinnacle offers nice 2.00. Over.

That's it. Will be back tomorrow with Norway and Iceland.

Cheers.

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Saturday night

Middlesbrough was a bad luck again. For tonight, just one fast pick.

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France 1

Lille Metropole - Nancy Lorraine

Home side is struggling for "top five". They need a win and to hope PSG or Toulouse make a mistake. On the other side, Nancy secured from relegation and won't have too much motives. Defender Emerson is the only one who won't play for home side, while Nancy's boss Pablo Correa can not count on Andre Luiz (suspended), Berenguer, Gaudu, Macaluso and Malonga (all injured). Odds for home win are not so big, 1.47 at Pinnacle. I'm confident after FA Cup and go for a home handicap win.

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Sevilla 2-4 Real

An opportunist hat-trick from captain Raul helped Real Madrid to a 4-2 comeback win at Sevilla which cut Barcelona's lead at the top of the Primera Liga standings to four points.

Third-placed Sevilla went ahead in the 17th minute when midfielder Renato nipped in front of his marker to score from close range before Raul turned in a low cross from Christoph Metzelder just before half-time.

The 31-year-old striker hooked in a deflected cross on 63 minutes and pounced on a fumble by Sevilla goalkeeper Andres Palop to make it 3-1 three minutes later.

Substitute Diego Capel pulled one back with just under 10 minutes left before Marcelo raced clear to score Real's fourth and seal their 16th win in 17 matches since a 2-0 defeat at Barca's Camp Nou in December.

www.skysports.com

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Lille Metropole 1-2 Olympique Marseille

1-0  E. Hazard  49.  min.

1-1 B. Cheyrou  54. min.

1-2 M. Niang  57. min.

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Rosario Central 2 - 0 Boca Juniors

1-0 A.R. Danelon  25. min.

2-0  F.I.M. y (pen.)  44. min.

Other two

Lille Metropole - Olympique Marseille  

Lille plays much over the expectations this season. Instead a predicted, middle table place, in one moment they had an opportunity to fight for title! They're in excellent shape at home ground, with eleven wins from 16 games (4 draws and a single defeat). Two games without a win, PSG at home 0-0 and Saint Etienne, 1-2 on the road. With a win tonight, they would be just a point from Champions League place. Three key players have recovered. Lille will start with three players in attack.

After many years and disturbing seasons, Marseille squad has a chance to fight for title. Five league wins in a row. First place, two points more than Bordeaux, four than Lyonnais (already played the game, PSG at home 0-0), six rounds left. Taiwo, Bonnart and Rodriguez are out, while Niang is in doubt.

Both teams have strong attacks. And have to attack. Goals again, with excellent odds. Betfair offers 2.46,  Expekt 2.30. Over.

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Rosario Central - Boca Juniors

I've found some very interesting info for this game. Shortly. Rosario is fighting to avoid relegation (the measure is 3 year standings), have a new boss and will go for a win tonight. Boca gave up from Clausura, ten points less than the leaders Velez Sarsfield, nine games left. They played their Copa Libertadores game in Ecuador, Deportivo Cuenca 0-1, at friday. Today have to travel again. Seven players won't play! Including the best, Riquelme, Palermo, Rodrigo Palacio and Sebastian Battaglia. Home side is rested and motivated. Oposite from Boca. The odds are lower than I expected, but think it worths a gamble bet. 10bet offers 3.02, Expekt  and the most of others, 2.50. Home win.