Blue Square North Betting, 7th Jan

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Altrincham - Colwyn Bay 

Altrincham look pretty well at home with seven wins out of eleven (one defeat), scored second amount of goals and have also second defence.

Colwyn have noticed three league defeats in a row and all three without scoring.

Bet: Altrincham -1.0
Odd: 2.10 (bet365)
Stake: 6/10

Corby Town - Halifax Town 

Despite only four points separate these two teams, they’re in the opposite trends. Corby have three home defeats in a row (goal diff. 1-8), Halifax five wins out of last six in league and straight four wins on the road.

Bet: Halifax -0.25
Odd: 2.00 (188bet)
Stake: 7/10
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Championship betting, Nott Forest - Cardiff

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Instead to be contenders for play-off, Forest are under a serious relegation threat (first under the line, at the moment). They have five defeats out of last six (one draw) and haven’t score a single goal in those. (Now when I’ve noticed, they’ll probably smash one in the opening 10 minutes!) At home, three defeats in a row and every of them looks a bit embarrassing. First trashing from Leeds 0-4, then 0-1 defeats vs. Palace and Posh.

Cardiff have only one defeat of last 13 competitive games, unlucky one at home vs. ‘Boro. They’ve noticed only two away defeats of season’s 12 and are undefeated in last six, but have played too many draws lately (7 of 12 away). Oppositely from the hosts, they are serious promotion contenders (as every year though).

My impression is such high odds on visitors are based more on Forest’s reputation then on recent results and potential. I am covering a draw, but expect Cardiff to nick one for 0-1.

Bet: Cardiff 0.0
Odd: 2.02 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 8/10
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League Two betting, Northampton - Burton

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The Cobblers have only one win out of ten at home (vs. bottom side - Dag&Red) and have lost eight of last ten (home and away).They have the worst defence in the league.

In the last two rounds, Burton lost away against leaders Crawley and missed to win against Dag&Red. But, before those two they had five wins out of six matches (both home and away), they’re still at fifth place and are a serious play-off contenders.

Northampton have new manager and goalie (his first signing) which force me to take some limitation, but they'll remain a very poor side. 

Bet: Burton -0.25
Odd: 2.27 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 7/10
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Boxing Day Betting, Bolton - Newcastle

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The Trotters have lost nine of last ten matches at home, but in previous round they got a big confidence boost by winning Blackburn away and they’ve won seven of their last eight home matches at Boxing Day. However, they cannot shut the defence and they’ve conceded at least twice in eight out of last ten games.

The Toon are winless in last six and this should be a nice chance for them to back on the track. But, they also have a leaky defence and conceded 10 goals in last four encounters. Nine of their last twelve games have produced three goals or more goals (six games with four or more).

I am taking goals.

Bet: Over 2.75
Odd: 2.11 (Canbet)
Stake: 8/10
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Scotland betting, Hearts - Motherwell

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Odds don’t seem to be fair for me.

Hearts have two wins out of last eight and both came against sides from bottom three (five defeats in those eight).

Motherwell are in a terrific run with seven wins out of nine on the road (five in a row). Acceptable defeat against Celtic and draw vs. Kilmanrock.

Also, Hearts haven’t won against Motherwell in last four at home (won just once in last seven home and away).

Bet: Motherwell +0.25
Odd: 2.03 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 6/10
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Calcio betting, Atalanta - Cesena

Sorry for late posting, will be brief.

Atalanta seem to be fine at home with no defeat so far (seven games). Their five draws in a row cause some concern, but without six points deduction they would have been as same position as Inter.

Cesena are generally poor travellers and beside five defeats out of seven, they’ve scored only two goals.

Bet: Atalanta -0.5
Odd: 1.88 (bet365)
Stake: 6/10
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League Two Betting, Shrewsbury - Macclesfield

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I am going to back Shrewsbury to respond on an awful display and defeat away to Aldershot. They have strong home record with seven wins and two draws out of nine at home, conceded only five in those. Macclesfield have noticed six defeats of nine on the road, their goalie saved them against Gillingham and they had a midweek Cup game. 

Don’t like to back such short favorites in this league, but I am in opinion that odd on Shrewsbury should be even lower.

Bet: Shrewsbury -1
Odd: 2.06 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 7/10
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Apology to the subscribers for a late delivery, sorry guys.

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League One betting, Bury - Brentford

Fancy the price for away side, since I’d expected something a bit closer to evens for their win. Both sides are in the decent shapes. Bury have three wins out of last four in league (bottom-half clubs and Preston, but in last round they suffered a heavy defeat at Colchester.

Brentford have won last two matches and their only defeat of last five in league came from the hands of Charlton. The Bees continue to play without skipper, midfielder Kevin O'Connor and it’s their only absentee. They have only one away defeat out of nine played games (Sheff Utd, back in August).

Expect Brentford to this one, but covering a draw should be reasonable.

Bet: Brentford 0.0
Odd: 2.03 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 7/10
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