Thursday after the storm

My internet connection collapsed the previous night. Sorry for late posts today.

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Russia was more convincing than anybody expected. The hosts didn't have a chance. Norway had a single effort (that Stekelenburg saved) for entire game. Again I had a good analyze, but bad conclusion. Argentinian stars, as I expected, couldn't breath in Quito and Ecuador realized my gamble. Interesting day at the end and some profit.

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Will follow one friend with Italian play-off game Brescia-Empoli. In case of draw, Brescia will progress, 'cause better table standings at the end of league. 188sports offers 2.30, Pinnacle 2.28. Treat it like a gamble. Home win.

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For basketball fans, great game tonight in Spain. Final:Tau Ceramica - Regal FC Barcelona. I haven't even considered to bet on it.

Tomorrow will be some interesting games. Stay tuned.

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Empoli - Frosinone, Italy Serie B

Empoli lies on 7th place with 50 points, the same as 6th (2-6 play-off zone) Sassuolo. This season looks very disappointing for the hosts. After the relegation from Serie A, president Corsi held the best players, even bought some fresh faces to achieve express return to the crew of the best. From this distance, eleven rounds before the end, it's clear that Bari and Parma will win direct promotion, so Empoli can only fight for the place of best play-off team. Otherwise, Corsi will sell the best players to cover the financial deficit in club's budget and Serie A will be a dream at least few years. The biggest problem is defence line-conceded at home, for Serie B huge 23 goals (only second worst league team Treviso conceded so much). Good side is very solid attack line. In last two rounds they have two wins (mentioned Sassuolo, 3-2 at home and Ancona 2-1, away) and it seems they found the balance between good attack and bad defence. Win tonight is more than important, can decide between the main scene and stucking in second league for a long time.

On the other side, Frosinone has different ambitions, bravely fighting to avoid relegation. They're 17th with the same points as 18th Mantova (18th and 19th will go in play-out). In the last round, without a dozen (precise-seven) players, they played 2-2 against very good Triestina, two times coming from behind and at the end, had a chance for whole 3 points. Talented Brazilian striker Edgar shows a great potential. They're weaker than the last season, best player, midfielder Lodi went to tonight's opponent, Empoli and that player decided their first season match (Frosinone-Empoli 0-1). Frosinone is one of the efficient away teams in Serie B, but same as Empoli, defence is the weaker side. Importance of tonight's match isn't less than for the home side.

Two teams desperately need the three points, both sides have very good attacks and disasters in defence and both must attack tonight. Only conclusion that I can get is open game with goals. Maybe I'm under the impression of all those internationals and see regular friday as a big thing, but this bet seems very good, with very high odds (surprisingly Bwin is currently on the top with offer 2.20). No doubt for me. Over!