serie B

Livorno 3 - 0 Brescia

1 - 0 F. Tavano  50. min.
2 - 0 A. Diamanti  60. min.
3 - 0 M. Bergvold 74. min.

Saturday view

Good day, yesterday. Sligo with bunch of youngsters didn't have a chance, though goalie Brush made another fantastic display. On the other hand, we (Serbs) proved again it is impossible to win without attackers. 

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I couldn't find any pointer for today. Iraq is a favorite vs New Zealand, but odd 1.40 for their win doesn't represent the risk. They put two solid displays, but we don't know how it looks when they have to attack. I don't dare to predict anything here.

Livorno and Brescia will play the re-match for serie a. Livorno is a slight favorite, but mainly because the weird propositions. In case of another draw, extra-time will be played and in case draw stayed, won't be the penalty-kicks, Livorno will win 'cause better league position. Really don't understand. However, gamble bet (and the only for today) on X-1 ht/ft. Just because the type of the game.

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One full analyze tomorrow. The Pharaons against USA.

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Thursday after the storm

My internet connection collapsed the previous night. Sorry for late posts today.

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Russia was more convincing than anybody expected. The hosts didn't have a chance. Norway had a single effort (that Stekelenburg saved) for entire game. Again I had a good analyze, but bad conclusion. Argentinian stars, as I expected, couldn't breath in Quito and Ecuador realized my gamble. Interesting day at the end and some profit.

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Will follow one friend with Italian play-off game Brescia-Empoli. In case of draw, Brescia will progress, 'cause better table standings at the end of league. 188sports offers 2.30, Pinnacle 2.28. Treat it like a gamble. Home win.

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For basketball fans, great game tonight in Spain. Final:Tau Ceramica - Regal FC Barcelona. I haven't even considered to bet on it.

Tomorrow will be some interesting games. Stay tuned.

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League One and Italians

Leeds failed again. Now they have to keep young talents in the club. Striker Jermaine Beckford (34 goals) and young midfielder Fabian Delph are now thought to be targets for Premier League clubs. Millwall scored from their first threat, booked a ticket for Wembley and now wait for the second finalist. A draw from the first match makes MK Dons a slight favorite (as Leeds was) against Scunthorpe Utd.. Visitors hardly reach play off, have four draws from last five games and defeated Dons this season, on the road. Home win is expected, but I don't think odds about 1.85 represent the risk and will skip this one. And again, away goals don't count. 

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I'm taking one day without betting, though Pisa, in Italian serie b, looks like a good pick. Will host Piacenza and desperately need three points to make a safe gap from the relegation zone. Three round left and nobody in Pisa wants to leave a status decision for a last game when they'll host Brescia. Piacenza is safe, but has six draws from the last seven games! When some league is in the finish (especially second league), I don't believe too much in fair play. Bwin offers 2.00 if You want to try, but my money stays in a wallet.

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New betting weekend is in front. Will be some analyzes and predictions. Stay tuned.

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Betting or watching?

One friend asked me once why odds for Championship is on higher level than for other leagues? THAT'S WHY!!! Few rounds till the end, Reading, Birmingham and Sheff.Utd., three promotion chasers didn't win! Birmingham took two points from two games against outsiders. Alex McLeish is proud. Yes mate, I'm too. 

Today is CL and few games beside. Won't touch those two, though I would like to see another over on Stamford. Just watch the footie. But, I've found something for warming up. He he So...

Sassuolo - Avellino

Italian Serie B, postponed game because L’Aquili earthquake and internationals. The hosts share 6th place (2-6 play-off places) with two more teams, but 5th Brescia and 4th Triestina have just a point more (all have a game more too, than Sassuolo). Three points today would launch them in play-off. This season is their debut in Serie B. The primary target was middle table position, but chairman invested some, bought few experienced players and so far everything goes very well. But, Serie A is maybe, little over their capabilities. Five games without a win (three draws and two defeats). Much better play at home ground (in fact, Modena's ground, Stadio Alberto Braglia), nine wins from 15 games, with 22 scored and just 12 goals conceded. Very important player, striker Zampagna came back and scored against Cittadella (1-1 away). Important thing is Sassuolo will face big rival Modena at Saturday. Maybe, they have already started to think about that.

Avellino is on the bottom. Six points less from play-out line (and, again a game less). They have two straight home wins (Pisa 2-0, Ancona 3-0), but also five straight defeats on the road. In the previous season they relegated, started to prepare a team for third league, than Messina announced a bankrupt and Avellino stayed is Serie B. Relegation this season would be more than logic, but boss Campilongo said that they won't surrender. The space for faith is decreasing, anyway. They bought some players in january, but usually face the injury problems. On the road, they play with all players on own half, trying to keep 0-0, hoping for space to make a counter-attack. Few times surprised much stronger teams (Livorno, for example, 0-0). 

I can't see goals, but odds for under are miserable. I think Avellino can stay undefeated. Double chance on them is about 2.20. But, I will gamble. Odds for a draw are very nice. Betfair offers the highest 3.70, Expekt 3.20. I'll take it. Draw.