Everton - Tottenham

I’m not sure what’s going on with Everton. They have had a bad run almost in every season under Moyes, but this time they apparently can’t pull themselves out of the mud. Everton have only one win in last ten games (City away) and have gained only ten points at home (only Blackpool got less). Also, Toffees kept a clean sheet only once in those ten (Wigan at home 0-0) and their performance doesn’t look good. The big(gest) problem for tonight is absence of Moyes’ key man, Tim Cahill (scored 9 of 21 team’s goals), who is out for Australian national team. Defender Jagielka is also out, while Heitinga and Coleman are facing a late fitness test. Everton have only managed to win two of their last nine home games.

Beside Man Utd, Tottenham are probably enjoy the best shape in Premier. They haven’t felt the taste of defeat in eleven competitive games (won six and draw twice in last 8 Premier games) and have noticed three league wins in a row. They play very well and have Bale (11 goals) and Van der Vaart (10 goals) in fantastic form. Bad news is ‘Arry also has some injury worries. Defoe and Kaboul are still suspended, while Hutton and Gallas got the knocks and their appearance is doubtful.

This is great value for me, Spurs shouldn’t be priced at 3.14 (away win at Pinnacle). They maybe looked tired against Fulham (or just were keeping the strength, who knows) and have some problems with defence line, but Everton’s attack without Cahill usually looks toothless. Goodison is not a happy place to go, but I can’t see the hosts winning this one. I’m covering a draw and taking dnb option at excellent odd.  

Maybe one more game...

Bet: Tottenham 0.0
Odd: 2.28 188bet
Stake: 9/10

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Everton - WBA

Everton continue with annoying results in Premier. They’re without win in last four (three draws), have just two home wins of seven and sitting on very low for them 14th place. However, their performances look much better than results and I’m sure it’s a matter of time when they’ll start with the climbing on the table. The biggest problem recently is the lack of attacking support for Tim Cahill (scored five goals in his last eight games). Arteta and Pienaar work fine delivering from midfield, but Everton miss efficiency of the strikers. This should be a nice chance for Saha, Beckford and recovered Anichebe to recover the old shape. Moyes will miss only Fellaini who serves the last game of his suspension.

The Baggies are in free fall recently and currently I can’t see anything that could stop it. Four defeats and a draw in last five encounters caused they slipped from the 4th place (if my memory is right) to more expected 16th. They’ve kept only one clean sheet so far allowing at least two goals in four of their five previous games. Considering team quality, they’re probably worst in Premier (alongside Blackpool). First season syndrome and probably great motivation skills by Di Matteo caused an excellent run of results. Now WBA will hardly find something to boost their morale and they’ll face a hard fight for avoiding relegation. Their key man, Chris Brunt, is probably out with a groin problem. Morrison and Reid are also doubts for the game.

Despite Everton’s latest results, they should be superior here and this is a very nice opportunity for the start of a good run. Goodison is always a tough place to go. Home win for me.

Bet: Everton -1ah
Odd: 2.00 Bet365
Stake: 7/10

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Everton – Bolton

Everton are in a good run, in fact knowing Moyes’ work it should be a middle of a good run. Three wins and three draws in last six Premier games and all three draws came from the road (Fulham, Spurs and Blackpool). At Goodison, they’re a tough nut to crack for any (and it means any) Premiership side. The Toffees have lost only three of their last 22 Premier League matches and have won last four home games against Bolton without a conceding. Moyes will probably pick the same side from Blackpool’s draw, Rodwell and Fellaini should be on the bench.

Owen Coyle is doing a great job at Bolton with just two defeats in the past 11 rounds, there’s no doubt. And last round victory over Spurs was deserved without any doubt. My impression is his capability is limited with team’s. With players of that level is impossible to achieve anything higher than mid table position. If I try to find any bad side in his managing capability, it would be away games. The Trotters, as Burnley were doing under Coyle, most of the points collect at their Reebok Stadium. And I expect some kind of Spurs’ hangover in tonight’s game. After a great win, teams like Bolton usually fails in the next encounter. Coyle is without only long time sidelined Sean Davis, Joey O'Brien, Ricardo Gardner and Jlloyd Samuel.

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Everton exited the crisis of results and finally look like a serious team. Hard working side, well covered on all positions. I fancy them to continue their good run and win this encounter.

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Bet: Everton -1ah
Odd: 2.17 Canbet
Stake: 7/10

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Everton - Bolton Wanderers

Considering recent form (especially at home), Everton are one of the top teams in Premier. When their injury crisis started to decrease, team’s shape improved and I fancy them to have a strong finish of the season. At home they’re unbeaten in eight league matches, winning the last six, including top sides like Man City, Chelsea and Man Utd. At last round, Everton lost 2-0 lead on the road vs. Brum, but display they showed was more than decent. David Moyes has no fresh injury concerns, but has to make at least one change following the expiry of Landon Donovan's loan. Everton have won their last three home league matches against Bolton without conceding a goal (scored six).

 

Since he became a manager, Owen Coyle made an excellent progress in the club and Bolton aren’t in the dangerous zone any more. Margin is eight points and Trotters probably will play last eight games without too much pressure. They’re in a decent shape, won three of last four games, but all three wins came against bottom sides (Wolves, West Ham and Wigan) and a defeat was vs. Sunderland 0-4. However, they’re poor travelers (trend that Coyle had in Burnley as well) with just one win (West Ham 2-1), one draw (Wigan 0-0) and five defeats under Coyle. Four goals scored and 16 conceded. Big boost could be a possible comeback of key defender Gary Cahill after six weeks. Another defender, Sam Ricketts is available after serving a one-match ban, while midfielder Mark Davies has recovered from injury.

 

Everton are in uptrend, they overcame the injury crisis, possess quality for top six in my opinion and they especially have big inspiration when play at Goodison. Bolton don’t have anything to lose in this encounter, but I think the difference in quality is too big and don’t expect anything less than a win with few goals margin. My bets are -1 ah (1.85 at Pinnacle) and Over 2.5 (1.83 at 888sports). 

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Tottenham - Everton

Spurs are currently fifth on the table with three points less than Man.City. They’re struggling on the road, but showing much better performances at White Hart Lane. At home, most problems they have had against defensively oriented teams like Hull (0-0), Wolves (0-1) and Stoke (0-1). At Friday, came news from Spurs’ camp they’re hit by a virus and 18 players and stuff are infected. But, it seems it was only Redknapp’s psychological warming-up for Everton. True is Palacios and Corluka are having some problems with a stomach bug and their appearance is doubtful. Real problem for “Arry” is the condition of Defoe and Crouch. Both will face a late fitness test and I expected one of them (Defoe more likely) to start the game alongside excellent Pavlyuchenko.

David Moyes crew was knocked from the Europe in Lisbon on a kind of humiliating way. Problem for him for today’s game is all players looked jaded after that game. Good thing for them is Everton turned the corner in Premier and overcame results crisis caused by large number of injuries. The Toffees have noticed just a single defeat (Liverpool away, 0-1) in last twelve games and in last two games at Goodison defeated giants (Chelsea 2-1 and Man.Utd. 3-1). They also won at last three league visits to White Hart Lane. So, despite European exit they definitely don’t lack with self confidence for today’s game. Beside fatigue, main problem for Moyes is missing of some very important players. Skipper Cahill, Fellaini and defenders Hibbert and Senderos. Good thing is Distin and Heitinga are available again and Jagielka already made his return. Everton have managed to keep only one clean sheet in their last nine league matches away from home and they have scored in 11 of their last 12 league games.

This is very important game for both sides. Spurs have huge attacking potential, but in last few games were showing some vulnerabilities in back line and just thankfully to Gomes and luck weren’t punished. Everton like to play against Spurs and I think Moyes won’t practice defensively 4-5-1. Despite the fact none of the last eight league games between these sides have been won by the home team I give an advantage to Spurs, but see goals at decent odds as a better option. Over.

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Everton 2 - 0 Burnley

Everton struck at the death to win at home for the first time since September and condemn 10-man Burnley to a ninth successive league game without a win.
Substitute James Vaughan turned home a Marouane Fellaini cross from close range with seven minutes remaining. 
Steven Pienaar then sealed the win in injury time after being fed by Yakubu. 
David Nugent hit the post for Burnley, but the turning point for the Clarets came when Stephen Jordan saw red for a second bookable offence on the hour. 
Everton's victory, their first in the league since early November, ends a winless streak at Goodison Park stretching back to mid-autumn, when Blackburn were on the receiving end of a 3-0 defeat. 
More importantly for manager David Moyes, who could only watch with mounting dismay when his side's early-season lethargy was compounded by a wholesale injury crisis, Everton now lie 11th in the league table, five points clear of the relegation zone.
Having previously picked up just a solitary point on their travels, Burnley arrived on Merseyside with the worst away record in the division, but a battling performance belied that discouraging statistic. 
Burnley gave a decent account of themselves throughout, so much so that - despite Everton's numerical advantage - the outcome remained in the balance until the dying minutes.

Everton manager David Moyes on James Vaughan:
"I am really pleased for James, who has had a terrible time with injuries for more than two years. 
"This time he has come back without even a reserve run-out. 
"He has missed much of his development, so we are just trying to nurse him through to get him back to what he was like as an outstanding teenager." 
"We played really well in the first half but didn't get the goal our play merited. 
"But overall we deserved the victory. 
Burnley manager Owen Coyle on Everton's first goal:
"Yakubu was definitely offside, he is a big lad and our keeper could not see the play. 
"Howard Webb is a good referee and he was in no position to see it, but he should expect to get assistance from his linesman, who could surely see. 
"It influenced the game. I just want fair decisions and that was not fair. 
"It's a mixture of emotions, frustration and anger, because we had opportunities to score the first goal of the game. 
"But if we continue playing and performing as well as that, we'll be fine.

www.bbc.co.uk

Everton - Burnley

For Toffees this season so far looks like endless nightmare. Instead a battle for Europe, Everton hold 14^th place with 19 points from past 18 games. Although injury crisis has been shaking the club from the start and they had to play huge number of games, this season is under all expectations and even Moyes’ job isn’t safe anymore. Everton haven’t noticed a win in seven league games (last time vs. West Ham, away 1-0) and they’re without a win in six games at Goodison. Despite bad results, they have been putting a decent display lately, dressing room atmosphere is still high – players believe in better days, just need a first win to turn the corner. But, Moyes continues to have defensive problems, with Sylvain Distin and Joseph Yobo still not fit enough to return. Skipper Phil Neville could make his return after three months out with a knee injury. 

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After excellent start of the season, newcomers from Turf Moor felt in the crisis of results. They’re in the winless run of seven league games and hold 13^th place (one point more than today’s opponent). On the road have taken just a single point from nine games (Man.City 3-3)! But, as Everton they’re performances are also above the results. In last two games on the road (two 0-2 defeats) were a little bit unlucky to get something from it. Against Pompey created plenty of real goal chances, but didn’t score, while vs. Wolves were short for a clear penalty kick and also missed few very good chances. Their main problem is attractive and offensive style of play that has brought some results at home, but on the road causes defense has been leaking too much goals. Manager Owen Coyle also has big defensive worries, as pair of central defenders, Clarke Carlisle and Steven Caldwell, missed the 1-1 draw against Bolton with groin strains and their appearance is in doubt. 

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This game looks like to be, or not to be for a home side. They desperately need a win and will host a team which has 8 defeats from 9 away games. On the other hand, Toffees still have lots of problems in back line with injuries. Neville is maybe fit but lacks in competitive games and his return could even cause additional problems behind. Burnley won’t defend, surely can score and make this game more interesting. I expect an open game, fight till the last minute and goals. Betfair offer 2.00, Pinnacle 1.94. Over.

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Everton - Benfica

Everton have noticed a run of six competitive games without a win (3 draws and 3 defeats). Main reason for that and for underachieving so far (only 3 wins from 10 games in Premier and 13^th place) is injury list where in one moment nine regular players appeared. Moyes still has a lots of problems with injured players, but beside Arteta (has repeated his knee injury and will be absent for a while) situation becomes better. The biggest problem lately, defense line should be decent with Hibbert, Yobo, Distin and Baines. In first game, Toffees got not a slap, but fist in the face (0-5). Moyes tried to rest some players, push some youngsters on the big scene and suffered pure humiliation. Louis Saha is in doubt, while John Heitinga and Lucas Neill are both ineligible. Everton have a great record in Europe at Goodison and have netted in all 10 of their European games at Goodison under David Moyes.

 

Benfica have decent squad and their performances so far look respectable. Strong midfield with Pablo Aimar as a playmaker, new Man.Utd. transfer target Ángel Di María on the wing and Saviola and Nuno Gomes in front scored 33 goals on last 10 games. But, the obvious is they’re not the same side on away games. For the weekend lost vs. Sporting Braga 0-2, in Europa League lost in Greece vs. AEK 0-1, before that in qualification were defeated from unknown Ukrainian side Vorskla 1-2. In fact they haven’t won in last seven European games on the road.  Manager Jorge Jesus will make some changes to first eleven. In front the goal will be Brazilian Júlio César who plays only in Europe, while mentioned Aimar should start the game from the bench.

 

Dignity is hurt and Everton seek revenge. No room for resting the players and I believe the best eleven will play (maybe without unfit Saha). Win tonight would boost team morale and game like this is necessary for getting back on track. Benfica won’t surrender, but would be absolutely satisfied with a draw. Little problem is bookies also got the latest team info and odds have decreased in past few hours. However, still worth of a bet. So, 1 dnb.

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Everton - AEK

Everton started new Premier League campaign with three defeats from opening four games and although Moyes and other officials claim opposite, Joleon Lescot’s departure is a big hit for club from Goodison. Defence line is so far the weakest link on the pitch. Another hit came from medical report as another key defender and skipper, Phil Neville, is likely to be out for three months with knee ligament damage. Silvain Distin and Joseph Yobo simply need some time to gel up, while new signing from Atletico Madrid John Heitinga is ineligible for Europa League. But, that’s not the end, another defender, Tony Hibbert, is suspended. So, serious problem have become a real headache. Good news are Everton is still a big favorite tonight and between resting key players and winning for raising self confidence, David Moyes will very probably choose the second option (as in previous occasions). £10mill. weight signing from Locomotiv Moscow, Diniyar Bilyaletdinov, will finally make his full debut (so far just three minutes on the pitch). Other players if fully fit and only dilemma is will Moyes rest some of his keys for Blackburn at Sunday. 

Beside they finished fourth in the previous campaign in domain league, AEK is probably the best Greek club beside Olympiakos and Pao. They started domain campaign with both opening wins, while in European previous round eliminated decent Romanians – Vaslui (1-2 away, 3-0 at home). They’re typical represent of Greek football. Players with great technical skill, they have a high level of fighting spirit and their play is really nice to watch. But, at the same tame, shaky defences (AEK’s goalie-Sebastian Saja is in more than decent shape, though) and lack of physical strength and tactics usually bring a bad outcome when they play in European competitions. AEK have noticed just a single win in last eleven European games on the road and their record is especially bad when they play against British clubs (Everton haven’t lost at home in Europe for about four years, btw.). No big missings for tonight match and despite AEK can produce some good display and score, they’re still underdogs at Goodison Park. Their chances are in underestimating by the opponent and in Everton’s defence line.

Home side will try to return some of their self confidence and fill the Greek’s net, but at the same time their problems in defence line shouldn’t be overlooked. AEK will try to make some mess and avoid defeat at least, but true is anything except Everton’s win would be a first class surprise. However, I see goals on both sides and odds on over are more than acceptable. 2.12 at Pinnacle. Over.

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