Championship betting 1st September

Crystal Palace - Sheffield Wednesday

Palace have been shipping goals for fun, recently. They conceded nine goals in three league games, plus another four at Tuesday against Preston in Cup (all four defeats), with Julian Speroni in quite a bad form. They looked for some instant solution, signed Darcy Blake, Welsh international from Cardiff and he’ll start the game.

The Owls are pretty opposite, have a draw and two wins in league with a total of 14 goals in those! They’re in a great mood and must be liking the prospect of three points today.

Going for goals, rather than away win.

Bet: Over 2.5

Odd: 1.96 (Pinnacle)

Stake: 7/10

Leicester City - Blackpool

The Foxes like to think they have chances for promotion. But, started with a home win against poor old Posh, then lost three on the trot - including embarrassing 2-4 at home vs. Burton in Cup. Nigel Pearson has been rotating a lot, but it’s pretty obvious their defence is the worst line in the team. They look better at home however, in their last 13 games at King Power Stadium ten times they scored two or more goals.

On the other hand, Blackpool finished previous three seasons in top-six, this one started with all three wins and ten goals scored in those! Even more, they’ve signed two strikers Eccleston (Liverpool) and Delfouneso (Aston Villa).

Goals, again.

Bet: Over 2.75

Odd: 1.96 (Ladbrokes)

Stake: 7/10

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Championship betting 21st Aug, Watford - Ipswich

Watford opened the campaign with an unimpressive away win at Palace. They were behind 1-2, but scored two goals in the closing minutes (Speroni wasn’t on his best, as well). Squad probably has potential for the top half of the table, but trouble is decent amount of new players and Zola certainly needs some time to put it all together.

Ipswich also made a decent start, stayed undefeated against ex-Premier Blackburn. And also survived in the last stage of the match, by own goal in 83th min. On their travels last season, they conceded 45 goals (biggest number in the league).

My impression is both attacks are best lines the teams and both sides will be in the good mood for the match and trying to take all three points. I will go for goals. And interesting thing is from their last 14 encounters, 8 of them and last four at this place ended with 2-1 to Watford. So...

Bet: Over 2.5

Odd: 1.88 (Pinnacle)

Stake: 7/10

Bet: Correct score 2-1

Odd: 9.00 (William Hill)

Stake: 1/10

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Championship betting, Leeds - Wolverhampton

Ok, let’s kick off the season with the most unpredictable league.

Lots of euphoria about Leeds and their expected fight for promotion. They lost Snodgrass, but actually they’ve strengthened all team lines. Last season defence made the worst defensive record in the league. Now there is Paddy Kenny (in my opinion, great choice for a goalie) and two experienced defenders,  Rodolph Austin and Lee Peltier. Attacking options are improved with Luke Varney and El Hadji Diouf, there’s still Bechio and Ross McCormack has just signed new deal. And the most important, Neil Warnock who had the whole summer to put it all together.

A pretty opposite situation at Wolves. They are natural favorites in this league after dropping from Premier, but they have plenty of transfer listed (and unsatisfied) players and new manager. Norwegian, Stale Solbakken, apparently likes to apply more passing style than previous managers preferred and obviously, it would need some time for players to adjust. Wolves have won only two visits to Leeds in the past 50 years!

I think it’s a good chance for Leeds to make a good start of the campaign and get Wolves on the wrong foot. However, some limitation in case of a draw.

Bet: Leeds -0.25

Odd: 1.92 (188bet)

Stake: 7/10

More to follow...

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Ykkonen betting, 4.7.

Viikingit - JIPPO Joensuu

Looking around, this seems to be a popular bet. Never mind. Viikingit have four straight home wins. In the past two away rounds, they lost versus a team with the highest budget in the league (SJP 1-3), but before that they totally outclassed 3rd Vanta 4-0 - which only confirms their good shape.

JIPPO are very poor travellers, they have one win and a draw of six away games and have conceded 16 goals in those (scored 6). Now I see their last eight matches in the league ended with three or more goals and in fact, seven of those eight with four or more!

I will stick to my initial thoughts (although goals can’t be a bad call) and go for a home win.

Bet: Viikingit -0.5

Odd: 1.90 (Pinnacle)

Stake: 8/10

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Sweden betting 03.07.

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Djurgarden - IFK Goteborg

Those sides are of approximately of same quality and both sides will be struggling to avoid relegation. Again, both sides have scored and conceded nearly the same number of goals (15 and 16). Djurgarden have played five draws in a row, IFK have drawn four! The hosts’ last nine league ended with both sides scoring, visitors’ 11 of last 12!

I guess a draw wouldn’t be so bad call, but I’ll just rely on other trend and take both to score. Unfortunately, too late for better odd.

Bet: Both to score

Odd: 1.80 (WilliamHill)

Stake: 8/10

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Premier League 26 Feb, Arsenal - Tottenham

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Arsenal have won only one of their last ten meeting with Spurs, Wenger’s position is uncertain as never and they could even stay out of top-four. Spurs are in the better mood, they won’t win the title but will play in Champions League. Both sides play nice attacking football, had a free midweek and will have fresh legs. No reason why both sides shouldn’t go for all three points. Five of their last six league matches have finished with three or more goals (three of those with four or more). In last three visits to Emirates, Spurs were twice two goals down but once win and once grabbed a point.

Bet: Over 2.75
Odd: 1.93 (Ladbrokes)
Stake: 8/10
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Championship betting, Bristol City - Doncaster

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After Derek McInnes took the charge Robins made a promising start with four wins out of five, but lost the breath soon after that. However, they’ve been showing some signs of improvement lately with two wins out of last three (against leaders S’ton (away) and Millwall at home). Skipper Liam Fontaine will miss again.

Donny are second from the bottom and their prospects don’t look good at all. They’ve noticed 11 defeats out of 13 on the road (five in a trot), conceding an average of 2.38 goals per a game.

City have some certain quality, if not for a play-off then for middle definitely. This is a six-pointer and I think their motivation isn’t questionable. If they stop Billy Sharp (six of last seven goals for Donny), City will take this one comfortably.

Bet: B.City -0.5
Odd: 1.93 (Canbet)
Stake: 7/10
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Premier League and Championship betting, 14 Jan

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Short with time today, no previews.

Man Utd - Bolton

Bet: Man Utd -2.25
Odd: 2.00 (StanJames)
Stake: 7/10

Ipswich - Blackpool

Bet: Over 2.75
Odd: 1.89 (188bet)
Stake: 7/10
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Puntersmate.net - The Best Betting Forum Around

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Besides football, there’s regular covering of horse racing, rugby, snooker, tennis, darts and all American sports betting. Two regular monthly competitions with cash prizes (football and horse racing) and Punters Academy, special forum section dedicated to the rookies and those whose betting career is stalled (free betting advice and info, including staking plans, betting A-Zs and beginners’ guides for spread betting, the exchanges and Asian Handicap football bets).

Others say:

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After all, it’s free!

So, why don’t you make a quick look and decide if you like to join some of the best bettors on the net.

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Wish you good betting luck and thanks for visiting my corner,

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Saturday bets - 1 Oct

Reading - Middlesbrough

Will be very brief, today. Think the odds aren’t set correctly here. Reading are not the same team from last season (without Shane Long). Same thing was in their previous two away games when they were rated 2.20-2.35. They won seven points from last three though, but not top rivals (Donny, Coventry, B.City). ‘Boro are still undefeated, four of four on the road with best defence in league - only five conceded in first nine (haven’t conceded in last four). Price is very good and main reason for my bet.

Bet: 'Boro 0.0
Odd: 2.12 (Ladbrokes)
Stake: 7/10  

Crystal Palace - West Ham

Palace look more solid than last season, but I think they’re punching above their weight and expect them to hit a bad streak very soon. They scored three goals in midweek derby to defeat Brighton (six of their 12 goals they scored in last 12 mins), but before that had three defeats in a row. The Hammers have had plenty of problems at home (last time lost vs. Ipswich 0-1), but on the road three defeats and one draw against Millwall. Conceded just one goal in these four. As with ‘Boro, I feel the price is too good to be refused.

Bet: West Ham -0.25

Odd: 1.87 (Pinnacle)

Stake: 7/10  

Brentford - Huddersfield

Brentford got new manager and in the first game defeated Oldham away. It is certainly a morale boost for the squad that in three home games before that noticed just a point. Hudders are undefeated in (I think) 35 league games so far. They are again promotion contenders, although have six draws of opening 10 games (four wins). They’re usually overconfident, they know to act like prima donnas and I am avoiding them against bottom sides. Brentford have enough quality to pull out the best of them, but aren’t strong enough to win. In my opinion, of course. Additionally, Hudders conceded two late goals last weekend against Leyton at home (2-2) which is embarrassing I’d say and need to respond.

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Bet: Hudders 0.0
Odd: 1.96 (Ladbrokes)
Stake: 8/10
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Two value bets - 30 Sep

Two value bets.

England League Two, Southend - Shrewsbury

The hosts have noticed three wins in a row (all three without conceding), in the last round trashed Rotherham away. Two important players are back. Shrewsbury defeated Torquay last weekend, but have some injuries in the defence line for this match.

It is third against second, but I think Southend is overpriced.

Bet: Southend -0.25
Odd: 2.16 (188bet)
Stake: 2/10 

Ireland 1, Bohemians - St. Patrick`s Athletic

Both sides are fighting for a spot for Europe, precisely Bohs must win to stay in contention. They lost on the road against relegation contender UCD, in the midweek game and have few days less for a rest. Bohemians have same number of wins and defeats at home and against Pats play traditionally tight games. Visitors have five points more than the hosts and four straight wins on the road (two of these in Cup against second league sides) and all without conceding. I expect another tight game, but like the odds for Pats. Same handicap and small stake again.

Bet: St. Patrick's -0.25
Odd: 2.02 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 2/10
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Conference betting, 27 Sep

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I’ve made a trip to Conference...

Kidderminster Harriers - Grimsby Town

The Harriers have two wins of last three rounds and only one home defeat (at the opening day). They seem to be in the uptrend (oppositely from the visitors) and have same points as play-off placed York. Grimsby have noticed two defeats of last three games, on the road one win, one draw, three defeats and haven’t scored on four of those five away. My price (without proper team news though) is 1.90. Guess over 2.5 would be a good choice as well.

Bet: Kidderm. -0.5
Odd: 2.13 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 2/10
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Telford United - Alfreton Town

United are back to home after two away games and two draws against strong opponents, Mansfield 1-1 and Fleetwood 2-2 (conceded in the stoppage time). They’ve won five of last six competitive games at home against Alfreton. 2.20 is also very good price in my opinion.

Bet: Telford
Odd: 2.20 (William Hill)

Stake: 2/10
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At the first sight, it looked like a big value on Mansfield against Wrexham, 0.0 (dnb) is as high as 2.63. But just have read they’re becoming a fans owned football club. Enough to live it alone...

Both bets are small stakes, naturally.

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Value betting 25 Sep, Finland and Brazil

KTP - GIFK, Finland 3A

I found a massive value in 2.20 (Bet365) for a home win. Then, in the blink of the eye price dropped to 1.91 (mine is 1.89), while at 188bet it is 1.75!
I am going to take a walk to some betting shop and game won't be in my statistic.

Botafogo - Sao Paulo

This is game of the day (night) in Brazil, 3rd against 2nd. Both sides have been playing pretty well lately. Two weeks ago, Botafogo were humiliated against 16th placed Ceara away. But, Botafogo also have won last four games (both home and away) against Sao Paulo. I'd say everything above evens is a value.

Bet: Botafogo -0.5
Odd: 2.13 (188bet)
Stake: 2/10
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League One betting, Bury - MK Dons

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Bury reached promotion, but are on a very good way for an immediate return to fourth tier. They have five straight defeats in a league, scored only three goals in those and conceded 14! Liverpool’s striker, David Ammo, came for a month loan deal and players organized their meeting in the midweek with a wish to lift the mood.

The Dons ended their unbeaten run in Sheffield against Wednesday (losing 1-3), then drew at home against Hudders and lost in Cup vs. Burnley. They have had a plenty of problems with injured players, at Tuesday with suspensions and cup-tied players as well. On top of that, Bowditch, Williams and Potter picked up minor knocks and will have a late fitness test. However, four players will make their return to the squad with Clinton Morrison who came on one month deal from Sheff Wed.

Bury sold some important players (Ryan Lowe is the most significant) and they will be really struggling through the season. The Dons are serious contenders for play-off (at least) and despite the problems with missing players, this is the sort of the game they must win.

Bet: MK Dons -0.25
Odd: 1.81 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 8/10
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Univ. C.Vallejo - Alianza Atletico, Peru 1, 23h (CET)

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One small value bet for me. I would give 1.70 for a home side and prices at most of the books are between 1.70-1.80. It definitely worth of a punt at 1.90, but no reasons to go crazy. We’re talking about Peru.

Bet: UCV
Odd: 1.90 (Gamebookers)
Stake: 2/10
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Premier League Betting, QPR - Newcastle

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QPR have brought six new players, but I still don’t know what to expect from them. But do know what to expect from this lad. Two times a post at Wigan, it's the time for a goal. Small bet though... 

If you’re interested in details, here’s my full betting preview written for Premier League Betting:

QPR - Newcastle 

Bet: Adel Taarabt anytime goalscorer
Odd: 4.10 (Unibet)
Stake: 2/10
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Serbia betting, 10 Sep

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One speculative bet, from Serbian league. Normally, small stake.

Bet: Jagodina or draw (double chance)
Odd: 3.70 (bwin)
Stake: 2/10
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Maybe one more preview from England. If I am late to post it for email newsletter, apologize to the subscribers. Please, visit the blog. Cheers. 
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Finland betting, MYPA 47 - IFK Mariehamn 5:30 (cet)

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My calculation says it's a very big value on the home side. Anything above 1.80 is worth of a shot.

Bet: MYPA 47 -0.5
Odd: 2.11 (Canbet)
Stake: 2/10
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Brazil betting, Botafogo - Ceara

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A value bet...

Bet: Botafogo -1ah
Odd: 1.85 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 3/10
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Sunday betting, 4 Sep

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One value bet for tonight, no team news, small stake.

Brazil 1, Palmeiras - Cruzeiro
Bet: Palmeiras
Odd: 2.00 (Interwetten)
Stake: 2/10
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