Aston Villa - Blackburn

Villa are doing pretty good at the moment, but have to keep it up since they’re just three points above the relegation line. They have scored and conceded in each of last five competitive games and kept the clean sheet just once in last 17. Bent, Agbonlahor and Ashley Young will be serious attacking threat and every of them have great scoring record against Blackburn. However, there’re some real problems for Houllier. Midfielder Makoun is suspended, while defender duo Cuellar - Collins will also miss the game.

Blackburn are just two points above Villa, lost two of last three and have terrible record on the road (3W-1D-9L). They have lost seven of last eight away games, also in seven conceded two or more goals and nine of ten away went in over. Total of conceded goals on the road is 31 which is the highest number in Premiership (same as Villa). They have their own problems in defence line. Samba had a virus but he’s expected to play. Skipper Nielsen insisted to be in a squad despite the earthquake in his birth town at New Zealand and his focus today could be questionable.

I think over is better choice than home win. Last six games of these teams at Villa Park have produced 28 goals(!), both sides have significant defensive problems and despite big Villa’s attacking potential, I think Blackburn will be able to hurt them and to score at least once. I’m on over.

 Bet: Over 2.5
Odd: 1.93 188bet
Stake: 8/10

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