Blackpool - Plymouth Argyle

After 11 rounds, Blackpool hold 11th place and have been showing the quality for the top half of the table. While on the road they usually look harmless (two defeats in a row, Bristol City 0-2 and Crystal Palace 1-4), at their home they play like different squad. As a small stadium with fanatic fans, Bloomfield Road simply isn’t a place where other clubs like to be. Three wins (with two draws) in five home games, with just two conceded goals and three consecutive wins (Coventry 3-0, Newcastle 2-1 and Peterborough 2-0). Manager Ian Holloway can include on-loan Plymouth defender Marcel Seip, who has yet to make his debut. Talented winger Ishmel Demontagnac made a stupidity and got a red card in reserve match for violent conduct, which means automatically three game suspension. However, his ban does not yet come into force and he may feature. Defenders Danny Coid, Ian Evatt, and strikers Daniel Nardiello, Gary Taylor-Fletcher and Stephen McPhee are all long term absentees for the hosts.

Plymouth remain as one of the main favorites for moving in lower division. With limited funds team couldn’t be strengthened during the transfer market and Pilgrims simply don’t have enough quality for something more than struggling to avoid relegation. A spot in the middle at the end of season would be a blessing. After incredible run of results with seven consecutive defeats(!), Plymouth made two 2-1 wins (Peterborough on the road and Scunthorpe at home). Despite the good run, I don’t think we’ll see more from that and see Plymouth in third tier next year. Only advantage that Pilgrims will have at Bloomfield Road is statistic that says they lost there just once in 13 years. Plymouth also have won two of their last three matches, claiming seven points out of nine. Argyle's on-loan defender from Aston Villa Shane Lowry will be assessed after returning from international duty, while defender Darcy Blake traveled with the squad after being passed fit. Defenders Chris Barker and Reda Johnson and midfielder Kari Arnason are all ruled out, along with long term absentee defender (on-loan from Man.Utd.) James Chester. Chester is the only player that is missing from the last fixture. Plymouth is the only team in Championship (beside Peterborough) without a clean sheet so far.

Considering all the facts that I could find, I don’t see any reason why this shouldn’t be a convincing home win. The Seasiders are much better side, international brake came in the right time for them to consolidate and today’s opponent is excellent for ending the crisis. This is my pick of the day and clear home win. Pinnacle offer 1.85. Handicap as a gamble.


Can not promise, but should be one more analyze later. Ipswich first win in season and I still think about Cardiff and Portsmouth.

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