Championship and League Two betting, 14th Feb

Brighton - Millwall

Brighton are undefeated in last nine competitive games and have three straight home wins (Leicester, Bristol City and Southampton). They’re bouncing back for play-off contention, currently one point below the line.

Millwall have only one win out of last eight in league and have failed to score in eight of last eleven matches.

Like the price and am backing Brighton.

Bet: Brighton -0.5
Odd: 2.15 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 7/10

Aldershot Town - Hereford United
Aldershot defeated AFC Wimbledon in previous round, before that had a streak of six games without winning and scoring.

Hereford recently look fine on the road with 2 wins and 2 draws out of last four and watching their mutual score, I’ve counted just one defeat (previous game) against Aldershot in previous 14 games (both home and away).

The Shots will give a debut to the three loan players, but anyway I think they don’t deserve to be below evens. I am taking United.

Bet: Hereford +0.25
Odd: 2.31 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 6/10
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Carling Cup and League One, 25 Oct

a

Aldershot Town - Man Utd

After humiliation, this should be a punishment for the superstars. Vidic will lead the lads, some of other first-teamers won’t be rested as well. Giggs, Berbatov, Owen, Valencia, Park Ji-Sung, all of them could appear! Alex Ferguson stated that he’ll be looking for “an instant response” from his players. Usually I don’t care too much what he (all managers) used to talk before the game, but it seems he’s about to crack and an indolent attitude tonight could bring some radical measurement to any of the players, facing the axe or at least boot in the head. Ha ha However, I feel it won’t be so smooth and easy. This will be the biggest game in the history of, certainly fanatical hosts. Small pitch and mud (forecast is light rain) in combination with combative Shots, could make visitors’ lives miserable. I can see them scoring, once at least. 

a

Bet: Over 3.5
Odd: 2.20 (Stan James)
Stake: 7/10

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Carlisle - Sheff Wed

Carlisle at home played six games. Against rivals from the bottom side of the table (Bournemouth, Stevenage and Brentford), they won or played a draw. But against all teams from the upper half (Notts Co, MK Dons and Hartlepool), they lost all pretty easily. Also, this match comes after weekend trashing at Charlton.

The Owls look like strong contender for a direct promotion. Five wins of last six games (run started after a shock at Stevenage, 1-5) and they’re just a point behind 2nd placed Hudders. Two central defenders are suspended, one of each side (Matty Robson - Reda Johnson).

I expect away win, but from some reason (hate rainy games, really) cannot rule out a draw.

Bet: Sheff Wed 0.0
Odd: 1.98 (Ladbrokes)
Stake: 8/10
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Carling Cup betting, West Ham - Aldershot

9

West Ham are still (my, at least) top favorites for direct promotion, they simply have an unreal players for the second tier. They won both away games, but at Upton Park noticed just a point from two games. Both times they conceded in the last minutes (Cardiff 0-1, Leeds 2-2). I think they will try to finally put some good display at home and notice a convincing victory. Big Sam will certainly rotate, but he has very good fringe players anyway. West Ham also have a good League Cup history results.

Aldershot started the season in League Two with a win on opening day and three defeats in a row (without scoring). This is very big game for the Shots, but I think all will depend on West Ham and their approach to the game. Visitors will try to keep the pace as long as they can, but difference in the quality is simply huge.

It’s a good chance for the Hammers to demonstrate the power. They have a squad to successfully play in all competitions and simply they owe it to the fans.

Bet: West Ham -1.25
Odd: 1.81 Pinnacle
Stake: 7/10 
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Carling Cup 10-11.08.

Here’s some interesting infos about games tonight. It could help if you already have some opinion. Otherwise, could be confusing. Enjoy.

My pick(s) will follow.

 

Plymouth have gone out in the first round in 15 of the last 17 years, including the last two.

Aldershot have lost their last four first-round ties in this competition.

Barnsley have not won a competitive home game since 16 March (v Nottingham Forest).

Rochdale have only qualified for the second round once in their last eight attempts. They have lost last five away matches, scoring just one goal.

Bradford have lost at this stage in each of the last four years. They are chasing a fourth successive home win.

Forest are unbeaten in seven matches against the Bradford (W5, D2).

Since returning to the Football League, Carlisle have only been knocked out of the League Cup in the first round once (against Burnley in 2005).

Huddersfield have lost their last three League Cup ties away from home.

Chesterfield have only won one of their last seven first-round ties in this tournament.

Boro have won only one of their last nine away games.

Derby have lost their opening League Cup game in five of the last seven seasons.

Since returning to the Football League in 2003, Doncaster have only failed to progress beyond the first round once (losing to Notts County in 2008).

Accrington have never won a League Cup tie away from home. This is Accrington's fifth season in the League Cup. They are aiming to reach the second round for the third time. Nottingham Forest (2006) and Walsall (2009) are the only clubs Stanley have knocked out of the competition in their history.

It is five months since the MK Dons last recorded a home victory: 3-1 against Swindon in League One on 9 March.

Dagenham & Redbridge are seeking a first-ever League Cup victory.(3 defeats,so far)

Rotherham have fallen at the first-round hurdle only once in nine years. They knocked out Sheffield Wednesday, Wolves and Southampton in reaching the fourth round in the season before last, and Derby in the first round last season.

Charlton have not won or scored in this competition for three years.

Southampton have only ever been eliminated in the first round of the competition twice (1961 and 2007).

Bournemouth have lost in the first round four seasons in a row.

Stockport have been knocked out in the first round of the League Cup in five of the last six years.

Wycombe have not managed to win a single match in the League Cup since their club record run in 2006/07 when they made the last four. The Chairboys have lost three of their last four League Cup matches by 4-0 margins, including the last two.

Morecambe - Rotheram United

Morecambe find themselves in a good run of results with four wins and one defeat in last five games. With six rounds left, they’re three points far from play-off zone. At home look really impressive, five wins and a draw of last six encounters. In total just three home defeats of 20 games. Good news for the fans is club have extended winger Hackney’s loan deal from Colchester for a further month. Defender Parrish is back after suspension. Only missing is another defender, Will Haining.

Instead a battle for a title (as they promised before the season started), Rotheram are struggling to keep their play-off hopes. Considering their recent shape, wouldn’t be a miracle if they even drop out from first seven. They’ve noticed 3 defeats in a row (scored just once), while on the road have a win and four defeats of five games (scored twice). 0-3 defeat vs. Aldershot at Monday activated all alarms and first move is important midfielder Gary Roberts has been sacked for a breach of club’s discipline (drink and gambling). 

Unfortunately, odd 2.50 has been dropped and erased any thought regarding DNB instead clear home win. Anyway, I think it worth of a shot but will be careful with the stake. Home win, 2.30 at Expekt.

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