Showing posts with label Carlisle United. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Carlisle United. Show all posts

League One betting, Hartlepool United - Carlisle United



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Bet: Over 2.5
Odd: 2.10 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 7/10

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League One betting, Exeter - Carlisle


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The Grecians are in the big uptrend, since they’ve collected seven of possible nine points in last three rounds. And while their wins over Rochdale and Walsall were no surprise, then a point and four scored goals at Bramall Lane surely were shocking (for me, at least). They have kept only one clean sheet of last 14 competitive matches, last four went in over and three of those four were with four goals or more. After mentioned run, their confidence is certainly sky high.

Carlisle are also free scoring/conceding side, only two times haven’t conceded (Bury and Yeovil) and their last five matches produced three or more goals (four of those were over 3.5). And they’re also in a good shape with one defeat out of last seven (away to Charlton, 0-4).

Both sides should be confident ahead the game. They score and concede a lot and I think it won’t be kind of a game where opposition could cancel each other. Goals for me.


Bet: Over 2.75
Odd: 1.94 (Canbet)
Stake: 8/10

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Carling Cup and League One, 25 Oct


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Aldershot Town - Man Utd
After humiliation, this should be a punishment for the superstars. Vidic will lead the lads, some of other first-teamers won’t be rested as well. Giggs, Berbatov, Owen, Valencia, Park Ji-Sung, all of them could appear! Alex Ferguson stated that he’ll be looking for “an instant response” from his players. Usually I don’t care too much what he (all managers) used to talk before the game, but it seems he’s about to crack and an indolent attitude tonight could bring some radical measurement to any of the players, facing the axe or at least boot in the head. Ha ha However, I feel it won’t be so smooth and easy. This will be the biggest game in the history of, certainly fanatical hosts. Small pitch and mud (forecast is light rain) in combination with combative Shots, could make visitors’ lives miserable. I can see them scoring, once at least. 
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Bet: Over 3.5
Odd: 2.20 (Stan James)
Stake: 7/10

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Carlisle - Sheff Wed
Carlisle at home played six games. Against rivals from the bottom side of the table (Bournemouth, Stevenage and Brentford), they won or played a draw. But against all teams from the upper half (Notts Co, MK Dons and Hartlepool), they lost all pretty easily. Also, this match comes after weekend trashing at Charlton.
The Owls look like strong contender for a direct promotion. Five wins of last six games (run started after a shock at Stevenage, 1-5) and they’re just a point behind 2nd placed Hudders. Two central defenders are suspended, one of each side (Matty Robson - Reda Johnson).
I expect away win, but from some reason (hate rainy games, really) cannot rule out a draw.

Bet: Sheff Wed 0.0
Odd: 1.98 (Ladbrokes)
Stake: 8/10

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Weekend results and statistic update

Like a nightmare.With one draw and three loses,this is the worst weekend that I remember. In fact, can't remember worse streak of results. And Zvezda lost the derby against Partizan.

Chelsea - Wolves 2-0 DRAW
Carlisle - Charlton 3-4 LOSS
Plymouth - Huddersfield 2-1 LOSS
Man City - Arsenal 0-3 LOSS

Statistic:

October
Profit: -34.08 units Yield: -32.77%

Season
Profit: -13.9 units Yield: -4.14%

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League One - two picks


I have no time today to write analyzes, but picks are analyzed as always. Good luck!

Carlisle – Charlton, 
Bet: Carlisle -0.25 
Odd: 1.93 Pinnacle
Stake: 7/10
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Plymouth – Huddersfield, 
Bet: Huddersfield 0.0 
Odd: 1.73  bet365
Stake: 8/10
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Hartlepool United - Peterborough United

Hartlepool are a League One side that avoided moving down for just one point in both of two previous seasons. A same dark prediction applies for the recent one as well. Only home win they noticed against drowning Walsall, but more important characteristic is they lost encounters against top sides without too much fight (Sheff Wed 0-5 and Carlisle 0-4, both at home), leaking a total of 15 goals in 5 home games! Decent resist was only against Swindon in the 2nd round (2-2). In previous round, United froze Plymouth on the road 1-0 and in midweek defeated at home devastated Bradford. Caretaker Wadsworth will probably set the same squad that beat Pilgrims which means strikers Brown and Greulich remain sidelined. Midfielder Antony Sweeney could appear, however.

Peterborough remind me very much on WBA. They’re too strong for middleweight, but in light heavy get punches from all sides and finished seriously hurt. They’re again in League One and once again as favorites for promotion. Decent start and 2nd place for them. As today’s hosts, The Posh also have noticed some results that can roil the picture about their capabilities. They lost in both Cups, but in previous league game beat Carlisle on the road 1-0. I don’t expect them to finish lower than play-off spot and they’re not typical home side. Usually collect same number of points at home and away. Only  absence is skipper Grant McCann who is on away duty.

Hosts are strugglers with shaky defense and toothless attack. Visitors are one of the main title contenders and surely favorite here. Odds are too good to be overlooked. I expect away win.

Bet: Peterborough -0.25
Odd: 2.02 Canbet
Stake: 8/10


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Saturday's results and statistic update

Couldn't decide what was the bigger shock, City or Wednesday. Can't really remember when all my picks were down at the half time. At least, good-old Leeds turned the game. However, total balance is positive, but September started bad. Hope for the better days.

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Man City - Blackburn  1-1  LOSS

Leeds - Swansea  2-1  WON

Sheff Wed - Carlisle  0-1  LOSS

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Statistic:

September

Profit: -15.3 units Yield: -69.55%

Season

Profit: +10.06 units Yield: +7.37%

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Sheff Wed – Carlisle

Wednesday made a decent start of the campaign which should return them into Championship. It’s no need to talk about their potential. Players like Tudgay, Morrison, Potter, Purse or Mellor are definitely names for the higher level. In my opinion, they have even better team than last season when they were in the second tier. Boss Irvine has on injury concerns as the only missing is winger Jermaine Johnson. Despite the defeat in last round (away to Brentford, 0-1), Irvine will probably set unchanged side.

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Carlisle have noticed a good start without a defeat in 5 opening games. Defeated Brentford and MK Dons, resisted away to Plymouth and Colchester and drew at home vs. Swindon. I have an impression they’ve been playing little over their potential and expect their drop in the results. However, for the visit to Hillsborough manager Abbott can not count on midfielder duo Bridge-Wilkinson and Hurst, while Michalik already made his debut in defense line and is expected to appear again. Defender Danny Livesey remains sidelined.

 

Wednesday are main contender for a direct promotion, look like a mean machine recently (didn’t at Brentford though, but really should have got something from that game) and I can’t see them losing too much points this season, especially at home. With all respect, Carlisle’s role here will be to make, with their 2nd place, Owls serious.

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Bet: Sheff Wed -0.75

Odd: 2.00 bet365

Stake: 7/10

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That's it, good luck to all.
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A decent day and profit

Millwall 3 - 2 Swindon T.  WIN

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Blackpool 2 - 1 Nottingham F.  WIN

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Norwich C. 0 - 2 Carlisle U. 

Southampton 3 - 1 Southend U.  LOSE

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Leeds U. 2 - 1 Bristol R.  LOSE

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How I tipped

Carlisle 1 - 3 Portsmouth 

Portsmouth came from behind to beat Carlisle and register a rare win which eases the pressure on boss Paul Hart.
Pompey's dreadful run of results looked set to continue when Ian Harte smashed home an early penalty following an Aaron Mokoena foul on Joe Anyinsah. 
But a great strike from Aruna Dindane on debut and a Danny Webber header turned things around for the visitors. 
Anthony Vanden Borre lost his marker to easily make it three but Carlisle can still be proud of a battling display. 
No-one will be more pleased with the display than Hart, who has watched his side start the Premier League with a record-breaking six consecutive defeats. 
His job is still anything but safe, but he will certainly be feeling more comfortable on the 300-mile journey back to the south coast than he did on the long trip north.

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Peterborough 2 - 0 Newcastle 

Peterborough dominated a much-changed and disappointing Newcastle side to reach the fourth round of the Carling Cup for the first time since 1994.
Craig Mackail-Smith put the hosts ahead early on with a sharp header before Tom Williams made it two from 18 yards. 
And it should have been a much greater margin, with Mackail-Smith and Aaron McLean both hitting the bar. 
Danny Guthrie saw red for a second yellow card after the break, allowing the hosts to ease to a comfortable win. 
It should have come as no surprise that the London Road crowd saw such a poor performance from the visitors after Chris Hughton made nine changes to the side that beat Plymouth. 
Steven Taylor and Peter Lovenkrands were the only survivors of that game for the Magpies, with four youngsters handed their debuts.
www.bbc.co.uk

Carlisle United - Portsmouth

After previous season, when they narrowly avoided relegation beating Millwall in the last round, recent campaign looks nearly the same. They have only two wins in opening eight rounds in League One (with same number of draws and four defeats), they have won only one of their last five matches and currently hold 17th place. Home shape is even more disturbing. A single win against main relegation contender, Tranmere Rovers 3-0 and three defeats. Points from Brunton Park were taking Brentford, Exeter City and Brighton & Hove Albion and interesting is it was the only away win for all these three clubs. Addition to their poor record is two consecutive league defeats, both without a scored goal. So far, only bright moments they live in Cup competition. After elimination of Oldham Athletic (1-0 at home), popular the Cumbrians caused a big shock in the previous round by winning at Bristol City (who btw. have the best home record in Championship, after Newcastle). Manager Greg Abbott will have to decide whether to make changes after weekend’s defeat, but he surely won’t be able to count on defender Simon Lakeland who remains out with a knee injury. Carlisle are playing in the third round of the League Cup for the first time in 34 years.

Portsmouth are breaking all the records in Premier League. They made six consecutive defeats at season opener (plus two from last two games in previous campaign). All started with late takeover of the club by Arab businessman Sulaiman Al Fahim that caused the most of club’s signings came in the final week of the summer transfer window. There are a bunch of new players at Fratton Park and they simply need some time to gel up. Despite the zero on their balance, pitch performances give a hope for better days. At last home game, Pompey put a decent display against Bolton, but thankfully to big errors in defence line finished empty handed. In last round at Villa Park, once again team looked fine, but same story with defensive frailties and zero remained. Manager Paul Hart somehow keeps the good dressing room atmosphere and even fans don’t lack in support. But, next game could be decisive for their future. Cup progress should boost a team’s morale, despite the missings Portsmouth have Premier league players, very competitive squad and win is very reachable. Otherwise, defeat from a third league, mediocre team can sealed their fate. Hart can not count on recent signings O'Hara, Prince-Boateng, Williamson and Smith, who all miss out due to being cup-tied after playing for their previous clubs in earlier rounds of the competition. Defenders Steve Finnan (hamstring) and Hermann Hreidarsson (foot) will probably be sidelined.

Home side already made a first class surprise in Bristol and for them every cup victory has historical weight. However, despite their certain maximum effort tonight, I don’t think they will be even near to make another upset. For the visitors, moment when this encounter comes makes this game as a battle for life and death. They’re without several keys, but the players that are coming in are more than capable to win. Pinnacle offer 2.01. Away win.

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