Championship betting 1st September

Crystal Palace - Sheffield Wednesday

Palace have been shipping goals for fun, recently. They conceded nine goals in three league games, plus another four at Tuesday against Preston in Cup (all four defeats), with Julian Speroni in quite a bad form. They looked for some instant solution, signed Darcy Blake, Welsh international from Cardiff and he’ll start the game.

The Owls are pretty opposite, have a draw and two wins in league with a total of 14 goals in those! They’re in a great mood and must be liking the prospect of three points today.

Going for goals, rather than away win.

Bet: Over 2.5

Odd: 1.96 (Pinnacle)

Stake: 7/10

Leicester City - Blackpool

The Foxes like to think they have chances for promotion. But, started with a home win against poor old Posh, then lost three on the trot - including embarrassing 2-4 at home vs. Burton in Cup. Nigel Pearson has been rotating a lot, but it’s pretty obvious their defence is the worst line in the team. They look better at home however, in their last 13 games at King Power Stadium ten times they scored two or more goals.

On the other hand, Blackpool finished previous three seasons in top-six, this one started with all three wins and ten goals scored in those! Even more, they’ve signed two strikers Eccleston (Liverpool) and Delfouneso (Aston Villa).

Goals, again.

Bet: Over 2.75

Odd: 1.96 (Ladbrokes)

Stake: 7/10

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Championship and League One betting - 25th August

Sheffield Wednesday - Millwall

The Owls started their debut season in a great manner, taking a point away at Derby and defeating Birmingham at home. As every newly promoted site, they probably have great morale in the dressing room. There’s also a winning mentality, since Dave Jones took the charge Wednesday have been undefeated in 17 matches (14 wins, 3 draws)!

Millwall did survive previous season thankfully to strong league finish, but recent one should be new struggling. They won at Peterborough, at the opening day lost at home against Blackpool.

Let’s hope that Hillsborough confidence will last for a while, home win.

Bet: Sheff Wed -0.5

Odd: 2.07 (Pinnacle)

Stake: 7/10

Notts County - Walsall, Notts County -0.75

The Magpies made a perfect start of the campaign with two wins, defeated Crewe away and Hartlepool at home. They have more than a decent squad (maybe not too big, though) and are fourth favorites to win the league. Ivorian striker Francois Zoko is in doubt for the game, forward Yoann Arquin is suspended which means Lee Hughes will lead their attack.

Walsall suffered an easy defeat at the opening day against Donny, then grabbed a point at Oldham. They have very young team, but unfortunately for them not too bright future is predicted - as they’re second contenders for relegation (after Pompey).

If they want promotion, County must win games like this.

Bet 1: Notts County -0.75

Odd: 1.98 (188bet)

Stake: 8/10

Bet 2: Lee Hughes to score 1st

Odd: 5.00 (Various)

Stake: 1/10

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Carling Cup and League One, 25 Oct

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Aldershot Town - Man Utd

After humiliation, this should be a punishment for the superstars. Vidic will lead the lads, some of other first-teamers won’t be rested as well. Giggs, Berbatov, Owen, Valencia, Park Ji-Sung, all of them could appear! Alex Ferguson stated that he’ll be looking for “an instant response” from his players. Usually I don’t care too much what he (all managers) used to talk before the game, but it seems he’s about to crack and an indolent attitude tonight could bring some radical measurement to any of the players, facing the axe or at least boot in the head. Ha ha However, I feel it won’t be so smooth and easy. This will be the biggest game in the history of, certainly fanatical hosts. Small pitch and mud (forecast is light rain) in combination with combative Shots, could make visitors’ lives miserable. I can see them scoring, once at least. 

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Bet: Over 3.5
Odd: 2.20 (Stan James)
Stake: 7/10

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Carlisle - Sheff Wed

Carlisle at home played six games. Against rivals from the bottom side of the table (Bournemouth, Stevenage and Brentford), they won or played a draw. But against all teams from the upper half (Notts Co, MK Dons and Hartlepool), they lost all pretty easily. Also, this match comes after weekend trashing at Charlton.

The Owls look like strong contender for a direct promotion. Five wins of last six games (run started after a shock at Stevenage, 1-5) and they’re just a point behind 2nd placed Hudders. Two central defenders are suspended, one of each side (Matty Robson - Reda Johnson).

I expect away win, but from some reason (hate rainy games, really) cannot rule out a draw.

Bet: Sheff Wed 0.0
Odd: 1.98 (Ladbrokes)
Stake: 8/10
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League One betting, Sheff Wed - Chesterfield

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Sheff Wed have the perfect home record with five out of five (goal diff 13-4) and in every game scored at least two. In the previous round, they noticed a massive win against (undefeated till then) Hartlepool on the road. After disappointing previous season, Wednesday finally look like promotion contender. Nothing much to say about Chesterfield, on the road defeated Bournemouth and lost other four. I read somewhere this is sort of a derby (not sure is that just because the distance) and that should be a reason for pretty decent price for the hosts.

Bet: Sheff Wed -0.75
Odd: 1.96 (Canbet)
Stake: 7/10
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League One betting, Sheff Wed - MK Dons

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Sheff Wed have noticed a valuable, hard-fought point at the Valley. My impression is they could have done more and stayed on a point because Megson’s defensively 4-5-1 formation. When he noticed his mistake, it was already 0-1 with a tendency to make it worse. Anyways, the Owls play differently at Hillsborough, have all three wins so far and scored at least two in each of them. They remain strong favourites for play-off. Goalie is out, Nicky Weaver went to USA to see a specialist about a knee injury.

The Dons are on the top! Five wins and a draw of first six matches. Karl Robinson’s side play nice attacking football, have scored 17 goals in last five competitive games and was described like Real Madrid by the opponents (well, maybe it’s not too much when it comes from Yeovil). No reasons for a fear, or big respect. No injuries.

I am pretty sure Megson won’t start with 4-5-1 formation, the draw won’t be good enough. The Dons don’t know to play defensively and I guess they don’t want to. Fancy them to win it, but will go on goals as a better option. Five of last six games between these teams ended with three or more goals, last three with four or more.

Bet: Over 2.5
Odd: 1.80 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 7/10
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Southampton - Sheff Wed

The Saints are strong contenders for a direct promotion, they have 5 points less than 2^nd Hudders but also have three games in hand. Have noticed three consecutive wins, are scoring without too much effort and at the same have the best defensive record at home (conceded just 10 goals in 17 games). Midfielder Gobern is suspended, another two midfielders Schneiderlin and Do Prado will be sidelined again.

Wednesday appointed Gary Megson with intention to join a play-off race, but after miserable display vs. Posh at home (1-4) which was third home defeat in a row they could easily wake up in the relegation battle. They cannot defend at the moment, have conceded 11 goals in last four games. Two defenders, Rob Jones and Danny Batth, have been brought on loan but putting them both in starting line-up could make even more damage. Defender Beevers is out for the season, while the only good news is a return of full-back Buxton after the injury.

At St Mary's the Saints are the favourites regardless the name of the opponent, but 1.45 doesn’t look attractive for any side in League One. I think Wednesday will be able to score and see goals as a better option. Over for me.

Bet: Over 2.5
Odd: 1.84 188bet
Stake: 8/10
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Sheff Wed - MK Dons

It’s finally happened, Alan Irvine got fired from a position of manager after 3-5 defeat at Posh.  New boss is Mandaric’s man of trust - Gary Megson (interesting, he has signed a contract on 3.5 years). He will have to wake the squad as it’s obvious they have enough quality for serious battle for promotion. First problem is their recent disgusting run of results. They’ve noticed only one win out of last eight in league (poor B.Rovers at home, 6-2) and conceded too much lately. They haven’t kept a clean sheet in last nine games, in those nine conceded shocking 25 goals (scored 18) and eight of those went in over.

Second problem is MK Dons are on fire. They have three wins of last five and are undefeated on the road in last four (two wins, two draws). They’re sixth, playing very well and won’t be lacking in self confidence at Hillsborough.  Home side will miss suspended midfielder Darren Potter, Dons defender defender Sean O'Hanlon.

Long waited Irvine’s departure delighted fans and motivated the players. Adding on that home ground and bigger quality, the Owls should be strong favourites here. However, the Dons will see their chance in Wednesday’s poor defending and they don’t have a problem to score lately. I’m going on goals.

Bet: Over 2.5
Odd: 1.91 William Hill
Stake: 8/10

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Statistic update

After free fall in October and November, my primary target was to stop the losing streak and it has been accomplished so far. December is currently green, but I'd be satisfied with zero at the end of the year (wouldn't be delighted though). Season objective is a positive balance. It won't be easy with -50 units, but I'll be working hard as always.
Once again, thanks for visiting lads.
With a hope in better days,
Dule

Sheff Wed - Bristol Rovers 6-2 WON
Stoke - Blackpool 0-1 LOST
Bristol City - Derby 2-0 WON
Tranmere - Leyton 1-2 LOST
Tottenham - Chelsea 1-1 1/2 WON

Updated statistic and list of bets.

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