League One Betting, Oldham - Exeter

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Oldham don’t look that bad as the table shows. They put some decent displays recently, were probably the better side at Hudders but lost with a goal at the late stage. The problem will be fatigue from midweek Cup defeat at Chesterfield.

Exeter are pretty bad on the road, they’re second worst in league and have lost three of last four away (only positive result was win over bottom side - Chesterfield). Interesting is their two director flew to Brazil in attempt to arrange friendly.

I am going to back home side, here.

Bet: Oldham -0.5
Odd: 2.01 (188bet)
Stake: 6/10

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League One betting, Exeter - Carlisle

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The Grecians are in the big uptrend, since they’ve collected seven of possible nine points in last three rounds. And while their wins over Rochdale and Walsall were no surprise, then a point and four scored goals at Bramall Lane surely were shocking (for me, at least). They have kept only one clean sheet of last 14 competitive matches, last four went in over and three of those four were with four goals or more. After mentioned run, their confidence is certainly sky high.

Carlisle are also free scoring/conceding side, only two times haven’t conceded (Bury and Yeovil) and their last five matches produced three or more goals (four of those were over 3.5). And they’re also in a good shape with one defeat out of last seven (away to Charlton, 0-4).

Both sides should be confident ahead the game. They score and concede a lot and I think it won’t be kind of a game where opposition could cancel each other. Goals for me.

Bet: Over 2.75
Odd: 1.94 (Canbet)
Stake: 8/10
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League One betting, Sheff Utd - Exeter

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The Blades are ending a tough schedule, in last five they played Charlton, Sheff Wed, Preston and MK Dons. They’re undefeated in four (two wins, two draws) and after a midweek win over the Dons, they’ve climbed on fourth place. I think they have more potential then they have been showing.

Exeter made their first away win in midweek (Walsall 2-1), but till then hadn’t even scored and noticed five defeats of seven (goal diff 2-11). Additionally, four of those five were with two or three goals margin (2-0 and 3-0).

Usually don’t like to be involved in something that could become a “public bet”, but United should be simply too much for the visitors.

Bet: Sheff Utd -1ah
Odd: 2.02 (Canbet)
Stake: 9/10
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League One betting, Hartlepool - Exeter

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Pools have four draws of opening five matches (and one win), but they played against sides like MK Dons, Hudders, Sheff Utd (Carling), Stevenage away. Before losing at Scunny (Cup), they had won at Rochdale (3-1). Some important players are returning to the squad, key defender Sam Collins and good-old Solano are fit, as well as forward Sam Collins and midfielder Antony Sweeney. Only doubt is striker James Poole. They have signed former Coventry City defender Stephen Wright on a short-term deal.

After three defeats in a row, Exeter defeated Chesterfield at home 3-1. During the midweek, they eliminated Plymouth after penalties. And while it’s certainly a moral boost, 120 minutes of play also should have an impact on team’s fatigue. Striker, Guillem Bauzà, after got injured last weekend will be probably out for few weeks.

Despite so many draws, Hartlepool look fine, they have some players back to the team and it’s the time for the first home win. Situation about Poole forces me to take another -0.25 and some covering of a draw. Still fine with the odds.

Bet: Hartlepool -0.25
Odd: 2.00 (188bet)
Stake: 7/10
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Saturday's results and statistic update

The Robins scored two sensational goals (considering BBC), Robert Green was a man of the match at Emirates and Exeter suffered a first home defeat conceding four! I checked my archive, I wasn't worse ever and this is officially the worst month in my betting career! Worse even than December 2009.! Sorry to all.

New pick tomorrow.



Exeter - Brentford 2-4 LOSS
Arsenal - West Ham 1-0 LOSS
Middlesbrough - Bristol City 1-2 LOSS


Statistic:

October
Profit: -48.04 units Yield: -35.59%

Season
Profit: -27.86 units Yield: -7.60%

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Exeter – Brentford

The Grecians are 10th in League One, but just one point far from play-off zone and if they manage to follow their home results on away games, they will be serious promotion contenders. At their St. James Park they noticed last defeat at February and this season Exeter have 3 wins and 3 draws. All wins came against the teams from the top side of the table: Charlton, Rochdale and Carlisle with Cup progress over the second tier outfit Ipswich.  They come into this game stronger for striker Jamie Cureton who has recovered from an injury. His fellow striker Nardiello however, stays sidelined.

Brentford are, actually, in a very good run of results. Just one defeat in last six competitive games, including home wins against top sides Charlton and Peterborough and away win at Tranmere. But league games are currently in the shadow of Cup competition where the Bees had their minutes of glory. They passed four rounds (ended in fifth at Birmingham), eliminating clubs from leagues above like Hull and Premier side Everton. And Cup hangover syndrome will be their biggest obstacle at Exeter. Their show and 120 minutes at Brum during the midweek (and lost on penalties) will certainly affect their game. Last time, after Everton, they’ve noticed two defeats in the next two games. Also their away record doesn’t look impressive at all, as they have one win of six games. No injury worries for boss Andy Scott.

Exeter are very good home side and potential play-off contender. Brentford will have some problems to recover and return into the third tier reality. Odds are based on their Cup performances. Which is good. I expect a tough game, but home win at the end. 1-0 correct score.

Bet: Exeter -0.25
Odd: 2.10 Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10

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Notts County – Yeovil

County started the season in the manner that was really expected. They couldn’t cope with the strongest sides Huddersfield and Oldham (both 0-3), but defeated Dag&Red and fought a draw away at Bournemouth. Signs of bigger potential could be seen at Watford, in League Cup encounter where County won 2-1. Biggest problem was the absence of their mascot, striker Lee Hughes. He has been recovered from a groin injury and will take some part in this game (will start from the bench, I expect). Another two important players, midfielder Neal Bishop and striker Ben Burgess should also be fit. County are celebrating 100 year centenary today.

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Yeovil started with a home win vs. Leyton (1-0), but in next five competitive games have noticed a one draw and four defeats. They looked harmless in front, with just two goals scored in those five. Additional problem for boss Skiverton is striker Sam Williams is suspended after a red card in Cup game (home defeat vs. Exeter). Two loan signings, defender Kiernan and midfielder MacDonald, could start the game. Yeovil’s main hope is a home games, while usually don’t shine on the road. Last season won 4 away games of 23, season before 6 and season before that 5.

 

Yeovil already lost against Bristol Rovers, Hartlepool and Exeter and I don’t give them too much chance today. If County want to achieve the target and keep the status in the third tier, they have to win games like Yeovil at home.

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Bet: Notts County to win

Odd: 1.90 Expekt

Stake: 7/10

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