League One betting, Sheff Utd - Exeter

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The Blades are ending a tough schedule, in last five they played Charlton, Sheff Wed, Preston and MK Dons. They’re undefeated in four (two wins, two draws) and after a midweek win over the Dons, they’ve climbed on fourth place. I think they have more potential then they have been showing.

Exeter made their first away win in midweek (Walsall 2-1), but till then hadn’t even scored and noticed five defeats of seven (goal diff 2-11). Additionally, four of those five were with two or three goals margin (2-0 and 3-0).

Usually don’t like to be involved in something that could become a “public bet”, but United should be simply too much for the visitors.

Bet: Sheff Utd -1ah
Odd: 2.02 (Canbet)
Stake: 9/10
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League One betting, Sheff Utd - Colchester

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Sheff Utd are second and still remain as top promotion contenders, but at Tuesday got a smack in the mouth from Hudders (not defeated in 34?!). Now they need to bounce back immediately, or will start to lose confidence, maybe even fans’ support. Midfielder Montgomery will miss again. He brings the strength, without him they have win, draw and a defeat of last 3.

Colchester are typical mid-table side who, actually like to play against league top teams. They went to Preston at the opening day and won 4-2 (yeah, I was on Preston), stayed undefeated at Scunny and Brentford and lost 2-3 at Hudders. They scored in nine of ten games this season and conceded in every, have three 1-1 draws in a row (cannot play it forever) and I thing they were lucky in several occasions.

The Blades are certain favourites, but I think Colchester won’t have any respect, they can score (once, at least) and make this game very interesting. I am going on goals, instead home win. (With over 2.75 you need four goals, with three - half win.)

Bet: Over 2.75
Odd: 2.05 (188bet)
Stake: 7/10
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League One betting, Yeovil - Sheff Utd

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The Blades are having a very good start, since they’ve noticed three wins and a draw (in previous round where conceded a late equalizer vs. Tranmere). There’s no big philosophy, difference in quality is big and both sides will finished at the opposite sides of the table. Utd’s manager, Danny Wilson, did some rotation against Everton in midweek, but this is actually their seventh game for 20 days! So, I am taking some cover in case of a draw.

Bet: Sheff Utd -0.25
Odd: 1.86 Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10
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Championship Betting - 13:45 cet

Swansea - Sheff Utd

The reasons I wrote yesterday apply.

Bet: Swansea -1
Odd: 1.86 Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10 
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Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest

Palace will stay in Championship. They secured the status mainly with great home run of results with only one defeat out of last 15 games at Selhurst Park. Interesting fact is all but one of those 14 were draws, or wins by one goal.

Forest need a point to be mathematically in play-off, but even without it it’s hard to believe Leeds will be able to jeopardize their spot. Same is with their chances to leapfrog Reading.

I expect a relaxed game without any pressure. Palace wouldn’t like to lose in the last home game, Forest won’t push for a win and will just try to avoid defeat keeping the momentum for play-off. My gamble of a day is draw.

Bet: Draw
Odd: 3.60 Ladbrokes

Stake: 3/10   

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Results, statistic and New Year

Best wishes, lads!

WBA- Blackburn 1-3 LOST
Norwich - Sheff Utd 4-2 WON

Updated statistic and list of bets.

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Promised previews

So, here’re brief analyzes.

WBA - Blackburn

The hosts are probably the most underrated side in Premier. They don’t play bad at all, at Bolton created plenty of chances to score. Brunt hit the post at 0-1 and they lost at the end. Bad news is (only one bad)  mentioned Brunt is suspended due to fifth booking.

Hard times for Blackburn, thankfully to Indian owners. Allardyce’s departure was a big shock to the players and they responded badly with one point from two home games. Even with him, their away record was very bad. Best defender Samba said he wants to leave the club and Steve Kean has removed him from the squad! Maybe it’s too early for big conclusions, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Rovers relegated at the end. 

Home win.

Norwich – Sheff Utd

Norwich are a decent side, especially at home and important for this game is they didn’t play for a Boxing Day. Only defeat in last eight games was at home vs. Pompey that media called a robbery. Defender Leon Barnett is suspended, while right back Russel Martin and midfielder Wes Hoolahan are in doubt. Norwich also have very good record against United at home as they won in six of last seven games (five with a goal margin).

United not just played a game two days ago, but also suffered a shocking home defeat against Hull (conceded in additional time). I am not sure how they can recover physically and mentally. Besides that, Blades already lost every credibility as play-off contender and I can’t see them higher than middle of the table. 

Another home win.

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Norwich - Sheff Utd

Again, just a pick.
Later I'll wrote explanations for both games. So if you're interested in reasoning, come back little later. Cheers.

Bet: Norwich -0.5
Odd: 1.91 Canbet
Stake: 8/10

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Leicester – Sheff Utd

I’m definitely not a keen of Sven-Goran Eriksson admirer, but couldn’t deny he made a very good impact at Leicester. Still a big reputation, I guess. However since his arrival, City noticed one defeat (not unexpected one, away at Swansea 0-2), one draw and three consecutive wins (I don’t count Cup defeat with mixed squad). Leicester have a potential for play-off (top side of the table surely), Sousa’s departure was a good thing and I expect they’ll continue with the climbing on the table. Skipper, Matt Oakley, should be fit after a knee injury. Same applies for defender Miguel Vitor.

Well, Blades even before the start gave up from play-off ambitions. But their performances and latest results threat to push them into relegation battle, as United have just one point more from bottom placed Palace. They have three defeats in a row and just one win from last 8 league games (Hull away, 1-0)! Some excuses could be addressed on the injury list that contains six players, captain (and key defender) Chris Morgan, Nick Montgomery, Ryan France, Stephen Jordan, Lee Williamson and in my opinion the most important - striker Darius Henderson. But despite that, Gary Speed doesn’t seem as a good choice for a gaffer, their performances are usually terrible and I don’t see them higher than a bottom side of the table at the end.  

Leicester are a strong favorite here. Only thing that worries me is Eriksson’s defensive style that applied in all his clubs and even in English national team. On the other hand United are struggling to score lately and Walkers surely is not a good place for a shooting practice. I expect a home win with a clean sheet. 2-0.
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Bet: Leicester -0.75
Odd: 2.05 Victor Chandler
Stake: 8/10

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