Showing posts with label Keano. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Keano. Show all posts

Blackpool - West Ham


Obvious reasons, here. The Seasiders went in over in every home game (scored and conceded every time). My initial thoughts were to back them on -0.25ah, but they lost five of last six games in league (six of seven including Cup). Also, they’re worst hosts in Premier. New signings Reid and Beattie will be in contention.

After Wolves, The Hammers are worst travellers in league (8 points of 12 games) and they’re on the bottom. West Ham haven’t kept a clean sheet away in last 20 games. Keano will probably have his debut (I can’t see any sense in bringing him tbh), another striker Demba Ba could also be in the team.

Both defences are simply horrible and both sides are desperate for three points. Odds on goals maybe look little skinny, but it worth of a shot I’d say.

Bet: Over 2.75
Odd: 1.83 188bet
Stake: 8/10


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Southampton - Ipswich Town

Thankfully to 10 points deduction, Saints hold 13th place in the third tier with just three points more than teams from relegation zone. Lately they play very well at their St Mary's Stadium as they’ve noticed six games without a home defeat (four wins, two draws). However, boss Alan Pardew has some problems regarding starting eleven for today’s game. Two regular midfielders are out. Morgan Schneiderlin is suspended, while Dean Hammond is injured. Defenders Danny Seaborne and Jon Otsemobor are Cup tied, while another two from back line Radhi Jaidi and Graeme Murty are long term absentees. However, Saints haven’t lost in six at St Mary's, since Brighton's winning 3-1 visit on 15 November.

 

Ipswich are still struggling as they hold 19th place in Championship with five points margin from relegation zone. After huge number of draws (13 so far!), Town started to scoring some goals and win. Have four wins in last six competitive games and scored eleven goals. Beside that, boss Kean carries attacking philosophy and his team has the highest number of goal attempts in second tier. They also look serious in this competition as they beat strong home side Blackpool in previous round, 2-1 on the road. Fact they have just a single defeat (C.Palace 1-3 away, Ipswich got a lead but also got a red card in the first half and conceded three times) in previous 15 games makes from them slight favorites today. Striker Jon Stead is suspended, midfielder David Norris will face a late fitness test, while goalie Brian Murphy is close to a return.

 

Alan Pardew is doing very well at Southampton as they still carry the hopes about play-off spot, but they already had too much problems against top League One sides (defeats vs. Leeds and Colchester), will have to overcome some important missings and I simply can’t see them winning today. Ipswich  will surely go for a win as the last thing that Keano wants is reply. I expect some goals and away win, but can not fully exclude a possibility of a draw. Dnb 2 is a bet, away win a gamble.

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Ipswich Town - Swansea City

Ipswich's longest ever winless start to a league season has now reached 11 matches. Considering their performances, they deserved first win a couple of rounds ago. Two goals late in stoppage time left them without three points against Sheffield United (3-3) and in last round vs. Barnsley (1-2). The weakest link certainly was goalkeeper Richard Wright. That problem has been solved with new on-loan signing, Asmir Begovic, goalie from Portsmouth. Skipper Alex Bruce is expected to return from a groin injury, while all others are fit and available to Keano. Dressing room atmosphere is fine, fans and management give a full support to Keano.

Swansea is in great run of five games without defeat and only one goal conceded. Despite that, my impression is they’re limited side with average players and can not see them higher than middle of the table. They have also some injury problems. Striker Gorka Pintado and midfielder Joe Allen will face late fitness tests. Defender Fedde Bessone should be fit but striker Guillam Bauza and another defender Albert Serran are likely to be missing.

Shortly, it’s time and nice opportunity for a first win for Ipswich. Pinnacle offer 2.20, home win.

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Ipswich Town - Newcastle United

After eight rounds, Tractor Boys still don’t have a win and from pre-season play-off contenders became a team that probably will struggle to avoid relegation. Popular Keano entered the season with very solid team, but also faced with the riot in the dressing room and some players are written off. Lately, team has been showing the signs of progress, but it seems they still play under the pressure of big expectations, especially at their Portman Road. At their home, three draws (Leicester, Preston and N.Forest) and one defeat (C. Palace), so far. From these clubs, only Preston perhaps could be considered as a top Championship team. Today’s opponent is the strongest so far, pressure permanently raises and in case of convincing defeat Keano’s position would be everything but safe. Midfielder Jack Colback and striker Tamas Priskin are pushing for starts after coming off the bench to score in last weekend's 3-3 draw at Doncaster. Defender Gareth McAuley is back after a ban but is doubtful with a calf injury. The Blues have only won one of their last nine games against Newcastle in all competitions and if lose they will have made their worst ever start to a Football League season.

Newcastle came in the season with big turbulences within the club. One period nobody knew who will be the club’s owner, manager or which players remain in the club. But all these concerns haven’t affected the players too much. Magpies have noticed six wins (draw and a defeat) in opening eight rounds and occupied a spot that guarantees a direct promotion. Beside that, they made the best defense record in league, keeping five clean sheets and leaking only four goals. However, team noticed two consecutive defeats on the road. First, faced with big injury problems, Newcastle weren’t capable to resist against Blackpool (1-2), than in Cup encounter with just two regular players lost vs. Peterborough (0-2). Those two games showed it won’t be as easy as it seemed in one moment. Players are fully focused again and situation with the injuries becomes better. Marlon Harewood came from Aston Villa on loan deal to substitute long time injured key striker Shola Ameobi. Excellent Argentinean Jonas Gutierrez won’t be in action for a while. Midfielders Joey Barton (foot) and Danny Guthrie (one-game ban) also won’t appear today, while full-back Danny Simpson is doubtful with an ankle injury. But, manager Chris Hughton has a “long bench” and these missings should be adequate covered. 

For home side it is obvious even now, there won’t be any promotion race this season and the middle of the table could be the highest achievement. Some improvements are visible, but I doubt it can be upgraded against maybe the best league team. For me, Newcastle are the big favorite here. Away win should be treated as a gamble bet, but additional covering a draw seems as a very safe option. High stake.

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Brentford - Bristol City

Impossible how Ipswich managed to loose. No time for tears however, Carling Cup tonight. I am not looking for bouncing back from Ipswich, Keano stated some youngsters will get their chance for a debut. I found something else...

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After superior season in League Two, home side is having a debut in higher level. The club’s management don’t plan to stay at League One too long, as they signed 11 new players! Most of them are experienced lower division players, but some of the are well known for English football audience, like ex Newcastle striker Carl Cort, or another striker Steve Kabba. At the first round, Brentford made an excellent performance, winning on the road, against Carlisle 3-1. One of the new signings, midfielder Myles Weston (came from Notts County) scored twice for an easy victory and announced the highest ambition for forthcoming season. For this encounter, only missing for boss Andy Scott will be first goalkeeper, Lewis Price who is away on international duty with Wales in Montenegro and Nikki Bull will take his place in goal. Mentioned Steve Kabba will have his debut in attack. Bees won’t lack in motivation. Players are full of enthusiasm that playing in higher league provokes, weekend win additionally raised their confidence and opponent from Championship is a nice opportunity for proving themselves. And, possible money reward for the next round shouldn’t be forgotten.

After twenty years spent in moving between English leagues, that brought them a nickname “yo-yo club”, in 2007. City got back to the second tier. The most of the previous season was much over the expectations, but thankfully to just a single win in last twelve games, club finished 10th and lost a play-off spot. City had to face with the budget cuts and some important players, like striker Dele Adebola left the club. It seems boss Gary Johnson will have a difficult task to repeat the results from the previous season. However the Robins started with unlucky draw (2-2), against Preston away. Two goals lead wasn’t enough, as Callum Davidson equalized from the penalty kick at 96th minute! For tonight’s encounter, Johnson can not count on six regular players. Jamie McAllister (def), Paul Hartley(mid), David Clarkson (str), Lewin Nyatanga (def), Christian Ribeiro (def) and James Wilson (def) are all away on international duty. It means four defenders. Some youngsters will get their chance, including manager’s son Lee. 500 fans will travel to Brentford to help the team to repeat a result from two season ago when they won 3-0 at the same place.

Bookies gave a slight advantage to City, but odds on visitors raising as the team news coming. The facts City have scored in every League Cup match they have played since 2003 and hosts will be without regular goalie, suggest a big possibility of goals. Also I fancy home side’s chances and think they surely won’t loose. So, 1 with asian handicap 0, 2.05 at Pinnacle and over, 2.04 again at Pinnacle.

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