Southampton - Oldham Athletic

Saints are in a great run of results. They have seven wins and a draw of last eight competitive games, with a goal difference 21-7. It seems 10 points deduction made a positive impact in the dressing room and players started to play without any pressure. However, their chances to reach the play-off zone are not so big, but I think they’ll try to finish the job in style and will do all they can. In last round, they noticed hard fought victory with 10 men vs. Yeovil on the road with a goal in the 92th minute and it was additional moral boost. Alan Pardew will be without midfielder Morgan Schneiderlin who got a red card and earned a 4 matches suspension. Midfielder Antonio and strikers Barnard and Conolly are fit.

Oldham improved their results and they look safe with six points more than 21st Tranmere. They have just one defeat (Huddersfield, 0-2 away) of last five games and are undefeated in last three. But, their main problem is scoring goals. Oldham won 2-1 in last round against unmotivated Carlisle, but in previous six games scored just two goals. In the remaining rounds, beside S’ton, they’ll face Southend at home, Yeovil on the road and Charlton at home which means just a nightmare scenario could push them down to League Two. Boss Dave Penney will have all players available at St Mary's.

I think we’ll see one way traffic tonight. Southampton need a win and will attack from the start. Oldham will do what they do the best, defend with all players. With first conceded goal, their interest for this game will vanish. I predict home win with 2-3 goals margin. Odds have been raising and I think 1.91 at Pinnacle worth of a shot.
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Southampton - Charlton Athletic

Without a 10 points penalty, Saints would be on the line for a play-off. With it, they’re 11 points behind, seven round left for them (six for the rest). At home look impressive with 11 wins out of last 12 games. Boss Pardew will have a one motive more as he was sacked from Charlton. Also, he knows their players very well. Will be without centre-half Radhi Jaidi, Seaborne and striker Connolly are back.

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Charlton are two points far from 2nd place and automatic promotion. They have two 1-0 wins in a row, undefeated in four games. They don’t accept play-off as a reality and will go for all three points today. Charlton haven’t been defeated in last 8 league games against Saints. Skipper Nicky Bailey has been recovered and returns to the squad. First goalie Rob Elliot is still out and will be deputized once again with Darren Randolph.

Hosts want to proceed with their play-off hopes and will attack without too much respect. Charlton need points as much as Saints do. I expect an open game and goals on both sides. Over 2.5, 1.90 at Pinnacle.
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Southampton - Ipswich Town

Thankfully to 10 points deduction, Saints hold 13th place in the third tier with just three points more than teams from relegation zone. Lately they play very well at their St Mary's Stadium as they’ve noticed six games without a home defeat (four wins, two draws). However, boss Alan Pardew has some problems regarding starting eleven for today’s game. Two regular midfielders are out. Morgan Schneiderlin is suspended, while Dean Hammond is injured. Defenders Danny Seaborne and Jon Otsemobor are Cup tied, while another two from back line Radhi Jaidi and Graeme Murty are long term absentees. However, Saints haven’t lost in six at St Mary's, since Brighton's winning 3-1 visit on 15 November.

 

Ipswich are still struggling as they hold 19^th place in Championship with five points margin from relegation zone. After huge number of draws (13 so far!), Town started to scoring some goals and win. Have four wins in last six competitive games and scored eleven goals. Beside that, boss Kean carries attacking philosophy and his team has the highest number of goal attempts in second tier. They also look serious in this competition as they beat strong home side Blackpool in previous round, 2-1 on the road. Fact they have just a single defeat (C.Palace 1-3 away, Ipswich got a lead but also got a red card in the first half and conceded three times) in previous 15 games makes from them slight favorites today. Striker Jon Stead is suspended, midfielder David Norris will face a late fitness test, while goalie Brian Murphy is close to a return.

 

Alan Pardew is doing very well at Southampton as they still carry the hopes about play-off spot, but they already had too much problems against top League One sides (defeats vs. Leeds and Colchester), will have to overcome some important missings and I simply can’t see them winning today. Ipswich  will surely go for a win as the last thing that Keano wants is reply. I expect some goals and away win, but can not fully exclude a possibility of a draw. Dnb 2 is a bet, away win a gamble.

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Other picks

West Ham Utd. - Chelsea

Gianfranco Zola did a great job, club is 7th, but in the last five rounds they have a difficult task to save position. A lots of problems with the injuries (especially in attack). Will try to grab another (unexpected) point. With a draw against Everton, The Blues said good bye to title hopes. Guus Hiddink will try to rest his keys for Barca. My bet is against the goals. Bwin offers 1.75. Under.

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Barnsley - Wolverhampton

Barnsley fights against relegation. They don't have a win in the last seven rounds. Against demotivated Coventry, they conceded a goal in 94th minute, today desperately need at least another. The problem is they'll face the strongest team in Championship. Wolves secured the title (personally, I'm very glad 'cause that). Their dreams come through and will play without any pressure. I think away side is much closer to victory, but expect from Tykes to finally wake up and show a wish to stay in league. My bet is goals. 10bet offers 2.20, 888 2.05. Very good odds.Over.

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Southampton - Burnley

The club's company owner announced a bankrupt and Saints will definitely move to League One. They were defeated in Sheffield against Wednesday, conceding twice after the terrible mistakes of defence line. They still have motive to play, 'cause if they keep the status won't start the next season with -10 points. Burnley is in a great shape, with just one defeat from last eight games. They're still focused, 'cause aren't theoretically in play-off. Will try to make a pressure on young and weak opponent's defence. Odds are dropping from yesterday, but I think it worths a gamble bet. 888 offers 2.10. Away win.

Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City

Addicks have no worries about the relegation battle, their fate is sealed, it's sure they'll drop into League One. But, without a pressure, they started to play very solid. First 1-1 at home against play-off contender Preston North End, than victory 3-2 on the road, against Saints. Beside three scored goals, Charlton had many goal opportunities, including missed penalty kick. Best on the pitch were youngest, Jonjo Shelvey, Therry Racon and Tresor Kandol. Club's management already announced they'll sell the best players (Zheng Zhi, Nicky Bailey, Andy Gray) on the summer market. Long time injured players are: defender Johnatan Fortune, midfielder Jose Semedo and striker Andy Gray, while key midfielder Daren Ambrose is in doubt.

Birmingham finally started to play in "premier league shape". They beat Wolves 2-0 at home, showing maybe the best performance this season. Cameron Jerome and Gary O'Connor used a nervous in Wolves defence line and scored for a fully deserved 10 men victory. But, derby victory will have a value just with three points today. Blades watch their own business and after yesterday's 1-0 against Reading, occupied (at least for a short time) second place. Situation in Birmingham about injured and suspended players seems better than in previous part of season. Defenders Jimi Traore and Stuart Parnaby, midfielder Kemy Agustien, striker Marcus Bent are all injured, while Lee Carsley is suspended after a brutal chalenge on Chris Iwelum and direct red card.

Home side will play for their pride, away for crew of the best. Young Charlton players finally got the chance to show what they know (and showing), maybe they can score today, but I don't think it'll be enough. The Blues performance is on the highest standards, so and confidence. Everything except their convincing victory would be a first class surprise. Pinnacle offers decent 2.13. Away win.

Nottingham Forest - Bristol City

The last chance for Forest. I think they can win, beside the injury problems (as always). Reds are facing decreasing motivation, after they practically lost the chances for play-off. I won't touch under, one goal from Bristol can push this game in big over. 2.50 at Expekt on home side looks more than acceptable. Home win.

Stoke City - Newcastle United

8000 fans watched the training after Chelsea defeat to show support. Shearer's side have nothing to loose. Will start with Martins, Owen, Duff and Gutierez. Stoke will be ready. 2.05 at 888  for goals is totally ok. Over.