Premier League and Championship betting, 17 March

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Fulham - Swansea

Fulham are in a pretty good shape, before stoppage time defeat at Birmingham they had three consecutive wins in league. At home they have four league wins out of last five (six out of eight) and at Cottage they have scored 29 of their season total of 37. Board wisely replaced Zamora with Pavel Pogrebnyak which seems to be a great piece of business, since Russian has scored five goals in his four outings.

Swans are euphoric after massive home win against spoiled millionaires, but as Fulham they also show much better displays at home. Away they’ve noticed only three wins out of 14 matches (eight defeats) and absence of suspended Nathan Dyer will be a serious blow for their counters and attacking threats. They were defeated in last four visits to Craven Cottage, conceding a total of 14 goals.

It’s always a danger to bet when play two teams from the middle (and probably nothing to play for), but today think I have valid reasons for backing Fulham.

Bet: Fulham -0.75
Odd: 2.09 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 8/10

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Millwall - Southampton

Millwall are only six points far from relegation line, but considering the strength of teams below I am pretty sure their status is not in danger. However, their recent home results are horrible with five defeats and a draw out of six. Millwall have the worst record in the division against any of the current top-half sides and huge blow is absence of Liam Trotter due to injury.

The Saints are still on the top and I am of belief they’ll just stay there. Besides Reading, Southampton are side in the best shape, undefeated in last nine and conceded only three goals in those. They’re league top scorers (total of 65 goals) and Nigel Adkins will have a fully fit squad today.

Any visit to the Den is certainly not a walk through the park, but obvious difference in quality and recent results should provide a nice away win.

Bet: Southampton -0.5
Odd: 2.12 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 7/10
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Premier League betting, WBA - Swansea

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This is the match between horrible hosts and terrible visitors. Only Wigan have taken fewer points at home than WBA (seven and eight) and no one worse than Swans with six points out of eleven games on the road! In such constellation, both sides must fancy their chances. And both sides are far enough from relegation zone to be nervous and to have too conservative approach. WBA’s four of last five games (including Cup) ended with at least three goals, Swansea’s three out five. Swans also have conceded at least two goals in four of those five.

Feel the odds for goals are a bit higher than they should be. However, take some covering if they settle for 1-1 draw.

Bet: Over 2.25
Odd: 1.97 (Canbet)
Stake: 8/10
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Championship final, 5.50 gamble

Reading  - Swansea

I have same feeling for Reading, as I had for Posh. At the first glance two evenly matched sides, but formal hosts seem to have more tactical discipline and for me look better under the pressure. If we expect a nervy game, some advantage would go to them. Their away record shouldn’t be overlooked as well. Reading are without a defeat in league in last nine trips, in last four haven’t conceded (two of those were Leeds and Cardiff re-match). Swans defeated Millwall and made a heroic 10 men performance vs. Forest, but before that automatic promotion were lost on their away games. Two key men in my opinion are Shane Long (of course) and Nathan Dyer (very annoying lad when you bet against Swans). Five of last seven finals ended with 1-0. Shane Long have had a brilliant season, his top performance in the most important game should natural. He to score and Reading to win 1-0 is tasty 29.00. Second scoring option is Ian Harte (same bet for him is 67.00 at Victor Chandler). He already played Champions League semi, he’ll be calm and have scored 10 goals in 30 games for Reading!

After all no serious bet, it is 90mill game (they must be joking!) and it’s more feeling than the facts. Gamble for me would be Shane Long to score and Reading to win @ 5.50 (Paddy Power).

Sorry for late posting. Good luck to all and enjoy the game.

Gamble: Long to score and Reading to win
Odd: 5.50 Paddy Power 
Stake: 1/10
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Championship Betting - 13:45 cet

Swansea - Sheff Utd

The reasons I wrote yesterday apply.

Bet: Swansea -1
Odd: 1.86 Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10 
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Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest

Palace will stay in Championship. They secured the status mainly with great home run of results with only one defeat out of last 15 games at Selhurst Park. Interesting fact is all but one of those 14 were draws, or wins by one goal.

Forest need a point to be mathematically in play-off, but even without it it’s hard to believe Leeds will be able to jeopardize their spot. Same is with their chances to leapfrog Reading.

I expect a relaxed game without any pressure. Palace wouldn’t like to lose in the last home game, Forest won’t push for a win and will just try to avoid defeat keeping the momentum for play-off. My gamble of a day is draw.

Bet: Draw
Odd: 3.60 Ladbrokes

Stake: 3/10   

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Championship - last round 7 May

Now it becomes really ridiculous. FA has delayed its verdict to Monday as the earliest date. This practically means QPR, Cardiff, Swans and even Leeds won’t even know for what they’re playing.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport2/hi/football/13301409.stm

I think Warnock will ask lads for “one more time”, to finish it with the style and pray for the best. Leeds have, not only to win, but to hope Nott Forest will lose at C.Palace and eventually to overcome -6 goal difference! Hm... QPR still could be a very good bet (2.20 at William Hill and 188bet). As well as Cardiff and Swansea. Cardiff will certainly try to regain some confidence after Monday’s embarrassment. 2.90 in some form of handicap looks decent (let’s say 0.0 @ 2.12 188bet). Brendan Rodgers says Swansea are normally preparing for play-off. Against bottom eight clubs, they have six wins of seven games (this will be 8th). Sheff Utd made a sensational win at Reading, but then in a decisive game missed to defeat Barnsley at home! How painful it could be?! I guess no one there will be in the mood for football tomorrow. Which again, makes -1ah @ 1.93 Pinnacle probably a very good call. 

For the end, here’s one very good article from QPR fans’ forum. And very depressive for them. Guy predicts 30 points deduction with very good reasons and examples from the past. 

http://www.qprnet.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=10013&start=15

Betting previews will follow...

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Championship 30 Apr - Preview of the round, betting tips and previews

Nottingham Forest - Scunthorpe

The most interesting will be the fight for the last play-off space. Forest have clear calculation. They’ll get it with six points from games against, all but predictable, Scunny at home and Palace on the road that could be a real last day cracker. The main problem is defence line that conceded 17 goals on last 7 games. Scunny could be able score and push this game in over. But also, a sensation is not a strange word for the visitors. They defeated Forest at home, where also trashed the leaders QPR (4-1). On the road shocked Hull and Reading. It’s an easy choice to leave this game alone.

Leeds - Burnley (1:45 cet)

Leeds need to win both times (in last round they’ll visit QPR who btw. could face a penalty and points deduction at Tuesday) and to hope Forest (and Millwall of course) will slip somewhere. After they wasted many points in last five rounds it’s not so big chance, but Leeds are the kings of drama and since the end of golden era in 90s just very few times they haven’t presented a stressful finish to their fans. Burnley noticed only a draw at home vs. Pompey, it could affect their morale but they’re still one point above Leeds. Draw is unacceptable for both sides and whoever will take a lead, will also try to improve goal difference for the final ranking. I could give some advantage to Leeds, but my main choice will be goals.

Millwall - Swansea

There will be hell, the Lions are in the race again and packed Den will host Swans. They won six of last nine games and big boost is a return of their key man and top scorer, Steve Morison, after he served a three match suspension. Swansea have secured their play-off spot where they will probably face Reading. Reasons for a good effort are 4th place (playing re-match at home) and improving recent away record (a draw and four defeats out of last five) and self-confidence before decisive matches. It will be hard, since Swans have a discouraging record on the road against top side teams, losing seven out of nine. Another thing is very interesting. In the previous game, Brendan Rodgers left on the bench probably his best player - Scott Sinclair. He said that young player has never played the full season, looks very tired and he’ll try to manage it. If you’re afraid for the best player, the Den is definitely not a place for him. So, maybe he will just save him for play-off.

Derby - Bristol City

Derby are safe, but looked in a very good shape, putting some more than decent displays recently. Defeated Leeds at home, grabbed a point at Loftus Road and undeservedly lost at Norwich in 96th minute. A win in the last home game could be a satisfaction. This will be also the last game for Robbie Savage and I can expect some additional effort from the players for their skipper. City are also safe, but look like they are already planning summer holidays as they’ve noticed four defeats and a draw out of last five. They will also miss the best striker, Nicky Maynard.

Hull City - Crystal Palace

Hull blew their play-off chances, Palace need a point to be mathematically safe. The hosts haven’t won in 15 of 22 home games, losing vs. bottom sides Scunny and Sheff Utd. Palace are a tough nut to crack on the road recently, taking two points from last two trips (Donny and Leicester). Four of last five games between these clubs ended undecided. This game has a draw written all over it. 

Bet 1: Leeds - Burnley, over 2.50, Odd: 1.80 Interwetten, Stake: 8/10

Bet 2: Millwall -0.25, Odd: 2.11 Canbet, Stake: 8/10

Bet 3: Derby to win, Odd: 2.30 William Hill, Stake: 7/10

Gamble: Hull - C.Palace, draw @ 3.75 bet365, Stake: 2/10

(Early bets, since the odds will probably drop tomorrow.)

*table taken from bet365.com

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Watford - Norwich

Watford have lost three games in a row (‘Boro, Coventry and Hull) and seems already gave up from a play-off spot. They are on my black list, simply they win when nobody wants them to win. And this is game just like that, they have no real motivation, but can play fully relaxed and score. When we talk about scoring, Watford at home have unreal average of 3.2 goals per a game (36-28 goal difference at 20 games). No injury concerns for boss Malky Mackay.

Norwich, on the other hand, are fighting for a direct promotion. They’re second with a point more than Welsh duo Cardiff and Swans. In the previous round, they suffered a heavy defeat at Swans 0-3 and ended a run of nine games without defeat. Interesting fact is, under Paul Lambert (since August 2009), they haven’t made a two defeats in a row. On the other hand, they have bad record against tonight’s hosts. Norwich won just once in last seven occasions (both at home and away) and lost five of them. Midfielder Wes Hoolahan is rated as in doubt.

I expect from Norwich to bounce back and they should be closer to win. And when Watford are losing (same when winning) they do it in series. But, also expect an open game with both sides scoring. Over for me.

Bet: Over 2.5
Odd: 1.80 various
Stake: 8/10
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Leeds – Sheffield United

Leeds collected 10 points in the opening 7 rounds which isn’t bad, but in my opinion their displays are over the recent results. They lost in local derby (vs. Barnsley 2-5) in the game that came just 3 days after very hard home encounter against Swansea (2-1, after 0-1 at half time). In the previous round, they overplayed Doncaster, also on the road, but drew at the end. They’ve been showing a plenty of fighting spirit. Two times came from behind, but they’re also the only side in Championship that committed 100 fouls. They should continue the trend from League One when Elland was a fortress and in any game at home, Leeds will be favorite. Simon Grayson has no injury concerns and it will be first time when he can pick from a full squad. Loanee left-back, George McCartney, will probably has his debut.

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Blades sacked his manager, Kevin Blackwell, after home defeat vs. QPR 0-3. Harsh decision, in my opinion, as Rangers seem to be the strongest league club. And United this year won’t be able to repeat the ambitions from previous seasons (play-off). Blackwell’s successor, Gary Speed (ex Leeds player), has been trying to implement his own style of play. Which means battle in whole game, very few goals conceded (three clean sheets in five games), but also very few goals scored (3 goals in those 5). They have lots of problems in creating the chances and they really suffer with the absence of Darius Henderson in the attacking line. Skipper and central-defender, Chris Morgan, is still sidelined. I think their only advantage will be history that says Blades haven’t lost vs. Leeds in the last seven encounters.

 

Leeds will start aggressively and will be keeping that pace during all 90 minutes. I expect their good performances finally change into good results. Blades carry the same style of play and that’s the way how Leeds like opposition to play. Sheffield also obviously lack in quality this season. Blackwell’s departure was a big mistake, Speed won’t stay too long. Home win with some caution.

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Bet: Leeds -0.25
Odd: 1.82  Pinnacle
Stake: 9/10

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Saturday's results and statistic update

Couldn't decide what was the bigger shock, City or Wednesday. Can't really remember when all my picks were down at the half time. At least, good-old Leeds turned the game. However, total balance is positive, but September started bad. Hope for the better days.

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Man City - Blackburn  1-1  LOSS

Leeds - Swansea  2-1  WON

Sheff Wed - Carlisle  0-1  LOSS

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Statistic:

September

Profit: -15.3 units Yield: -69.55%

Season

Profit: +10.06 units Yield: +7.37%

See all bets

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Leeds - Swansea

Leeds suffered a shock at the opening day (1-2 Derby), but bounced back very fast. Seven points in next three games are more than decent achievement. A point away at Nottingham, home win vs. “old friends” Millwall and away win at Watford gave them strong wind in the back in their high ambitions. Main problem is defense line where Schmeichel is covering all the holes. However, great attacking potential and Grayson’s high-tempo style of play make from them a serious play-off contender. Leeds had 59 goal attempts - 31 of them on target - and hit the woodwork 7 times! They still miss Snodgrass and Paynter, but made some good signings (Faye, Nunez, Clayton and my favorite Ross McCormack).

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Swansea seem still suffering from Sousa’s departure. And while at home look safe (won all three competitive games), on the road can’t keep a clean sheet (both league defeats, Hull and Norwich 0-2). I don’t think they’ll have a chance to join the race for a play-off spot and mid table position is the place where they’ll probably finish the season. However, boss Rodgers has big worries about missing players. Midfielder Darren Pratley is suspended, another midfielder Tom Butler is injured as well as strikers Beattie and Pintado. All four are important players. Swans were beaten on their last 6 visits to Leeds and their only away victory at Elland Road was a 2-1 win in 1949.

 

Leeds are maybe the best organized club in the second tier, have good squad quality and fans’ support. Elland Road should be a fortress this season and I really like these odds.

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Bet: Leeds -0.25

Odd: 2.05 Canbet

Stake: 8/10
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Probably one more.
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Preston – Sheff.Wed.

Preston are in the middle at 12^th place, but just five points far from play-off zone. They’re in the good run of results that recovered their pre-season ambitions. They have one home defeat of last nine encounters, winning top sides like Sheff.Utd. (2-1), Cardiff (3-0) and in last round Nott.Forest (3-2). I think team possess enough quality and with recent results (especially after first half display vs. Forest and 3-0 for 45 min.) they’re focused to keep the momentum and attack play-off. Defender Youl Mawene, left-back Tommy Wiliams and striker Jon Parkin are in doubt and will be assessed. Preston are unbeaten in 15 home league matches against the Wednesday.

 

Owls made a good start under new manager Alan Irvine (ex Preston), but very fast backed to their downtrend. They have four defeats in last five away games (one draw), with just one goals scored in those and ten conceded. That one draw came in the previous rounds vs. Swansea on the road. Wednesday were focused on defending, organized and eventually defended a point. Except fighting spirit, they don’t have to offer too much and I expect their same approach tonight. Additional strength will be Irvine who knows in details most of tonight’s opponent players. The Owls have failed to score in 15 Championship matches this season - more than any other team and scored 13 goals in total (just Peterborough scored less). midfielder Sean McAllister and defender Lewis Buxton are in doubt.

 

Those two clubs will have the opposite motives, but with the same intensity. Difference is Preston is actually in a good shape, while Wednesday usually struggling to keep 0-0. Quality difference is obvious, atmosphere in Preston is very good and I see them as winners. Pinnacle offer 2.07. Home win.

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Will post one gamble before the kick-off.

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dark saturday

Chelsea 2-4 Man City

Manchester City inflicted Chelsea's first home Premier League defeat this season in a game which began with Wayne Bridge refusing John Terry's handshake.
Frank Lampard's low strike put Chelsea ahead but Carlos Tevez equalised after a long ball was not dealt with, before Craig Bellamy shot beyond Hilario. 
Tevez scored a penalty after Juliano Belletti saw red for a trip on Gareth Barry before a Bellamy tap-in. 
Michael Ballack also saw red and Lampard scored a consolation penalty. 
City had failed to score in their previous seven visits to Stamford Bridge, while Chelsea had only conceded eight at home in the Premier League all season. 
But those statistics were rendered meaningless on an afternoon of triumph for City coach and former Inter Milan boss Roberto Mancini, who pitted his wits in the Premier League for the first time against ex-AC Milan manager Carlo Ancelotti. 
City saw their hopes of silverware this season ended by their FA Cup defeat at Stoke in midweek but they boosted their prospects of a top-four finish by completing the double over Chelsea for the first time since 1957.
With Manchester United not in league action this weekend, victory would have taken Chelsea four points clear at the top of the Premier League. 
But it was a disastrous afternoon for Ancelotti, whose side had only dropped points in one previous home game this season, a 3-3 draw with Everton. 
What's more, his team lacked discipline after the break and were vulnerable in defence, with Hilario looking particularly suspect.
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Swansea 1 - 0 Peterborough

David Cotterill extended promotion-chasing Swansea City's unbeaten run to 12 games and pushed bottom club Peterborough closer to relegation.
Cotterill struck from the spot after Charlie Lee brought him down. 
Nathan Dyer had an effort cleared off the line while keeper Joe Lewis denied Ferrie Bodde and Lee Trundle. 
Lee Frecklington put a header wide for the Posh but Swansea's biggest worry was the injuries to midfielder duo Bodde and Darren Pratley. 
Bodde was making his return from five months out with a knee problem and the Dutchman's exit after just 28 minutes raised question marks as to whether he was ready to play. 
It was the third time in 15 months Bodde has suffered an injury to his left knee. In November 2008 he suffered cruiciate ligament damage and then broke down after eight minutes of his starting return against Sheffield United last September. 606: DEBATE 
Give your thoughts on Swansea v Peterborough 
The double-blow will add to manager Paulo Sousa's midfield woes with Joe Allen, Andrea Orlandi and Jordi Lopez already sidelined. 
But the fourth-placed Swans kept their focus on the job in hand and are seven points off an automatic promotion spot and eight ahead of Sheffield United in seventh. 
Peterborough remain 10 points adrift of safety and winless on the road.
www.bbc.co.uk

Swansea - Peterborough

Swansea are 4th, six points above the play-off zone and it seems they’re living their pre-season expectations. They gain specific, fighting style of play, scored the least number of goals in Championship (same number as today’s opponent), but also conceded least (same as Newcastle). At home have just two defeats, but seven draws alongside that number of wins. They haven’t lost in 11 league games since a 1-0 home defeat against Nottingham Forest on 12.12.. Shortly, Swans are hard working side that hard score but much harder concede. They’re consistent and one of the safe play-off spots is for them. Midfielders, Joe Allen and Andrea Orlandi are out, while striker Gorka Pintado is suspended. Key midfielder Leon Britton and striker Cedric van der Gun are fit to return. The Swans are undefeated in seven league games against Posh (3 wins, 4 draws).

Peterborough are stuck for the bottom, with 10 point less than first above the line Sheff.Wed. and it seems Posh are first team in the third tier. They have two wins in last two home games (Ipswich and Cardiff) and have been making some improvement under Jim Gannon, but they simply don’t possess enough quality for Championship. They’ve made seven consecutive defeats on the road (3 goals scored and 16 conceded)! They gain the same style of play as Swans, but the difference is they’ve conceded 55 goals in the league and they’re the only Championship side to have scored less than 10 away goals all season.. Defender Ryan Bennett is injured, while skipper George Boyd is doubtful with a virus. Posh and Barnsley are the only clubs to have lost as many as six Championship matches in 2010.

This will be the game between the clubs with similar style of play, but obvious class in quality makes from Swansea a hard favorite here. Posh will defend with all players, but their resist will last only till first conceded goal. This is an opportunity for Swans to notice a win without uncertainty after a while. Home win with asian handicap -1.

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And a gamble: Leicester - Nottingham Forest, Draw

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Profit!

Sheff Wed 0 - 2 Swansea

Darren Pratley's two goals condemned Sean McAuley to a losing start as Sheffield Wednesday caretaker boss.
The midfielder took just five minutes to put Swansea in charge, Gorka Pintado laying the ball on for Pratley to take in his stride and beat Lee Grant. 
Wednesday rallied and it took a good save from Dorus de Vries to keep out Jermaine Johnson's fierce shot. 
But the Owls then struggled and Pratley struck a second goal, meeting Nathan Dyer's low cross at the near post. 
Wednesday parted company with Brian Laws last weekend but McAuley was unable to inspire an improvement as Swansea maintained their push for promotion. 
The Owls are now winless in the last 10, having lost the last six and face the harsh reality of relegation if they do not make drastic improvements.
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QPR 1 - 1 Sheff Utd
New Queens Park Rangers manager Paul Hart saw his side draw with Sheffield United in his first game in charge.
Mikele Leigertwood opened the scoring for the home side with a right-footed strike from the edge of the area after just two minutes. 
Toni Kallio set up Richard Cresswell to fire home from close range for the equaliser six minutes later. 
Ben Watson headed against the crossbar in injury-time for the home side but both teams had to settle for a point. 
QPR manager Paul Hart:
"I thought we played extremely well. In the second half we were excellent, it was wave after wave. 
"I work with players to try to help them improve. I'm here to steady the ship. 
"I think this is a great club and it's a privilege to be working here." 
Sheffield United manager Kevin Blackwell:
"We talked about it in the week, it's not the time to be playing a team when a new manager walks through the door. 
"The players have got to show them what we are about. 
"All the talk was about QPR but my players were very resilient and did a professional job."
www.bbc.co.uk

Sheffield Wednesday - Swansea City

Owls have sacked the manager Brian Laws and appointed Sean McAuley as a caretaker. In his first statement he announced the intention to notice a win that should launch them in the middle of table security and return a part of self confidence in the dressing room. But, won’t be so easy. Currently Wednesday occupy 22^nd place, first below the line. They’re without a win in nine matches, have four consecutive defeats in a row, four consecutive at home and failed to score in last five games! No injury worries for McAuley and he’s expected to make some changes in starting eleven.

 

Swansea are tough Championship side which main characteristics are tight play and strong defense. Main problem for them is lack of scored goals lately and big boost is return of striker Stephen Dobie who’s fit again after an ankle strain. In the previous round Swansea have ended their unbeaten run of eleven home games, losing vs. Nott. Forest 0-1. On the road, in last seven games have just one defeat (against giants Newcastle 0-3). They have to bounce back to stay in play-off zone and they probably couldn’t find the better chance than today’s opponent. Boss Paulo Sousa will be again without skipper defender Garry Monk who has a calf injury, while midfielder Mark Gower is still sidelined with a knee problem. Will be stronger for mentioned Dobie and midfielder Tom Butler.

 

Home side isn’t a club that should relegate, but their recover can’t be immediate. Players are in mental crisis, new caretaker will probably make some improvements, but actually I can not imagine them winning today. My only concern about this game is the info Swansea have never won at Wednesday. So, dnb 2.

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Keano go fishing!

Blackpool 2 - 0 Plymouth

Ian Holloway's Blackpool recorded their fourth consecutive home win to leave his former side Plymouth struggling at the foot of the table.
Marcel Seip, on loan from Plymouth, opened the scoring with a glancing header from a Charlie Adam free-kick as Blackpool dominated the first half. 
The visitors improved after the break before David Vaughan made it 2-0 with a fine shot from the corner of the box. 
Plymouth never gave up hope but rarely threatened to get on the score sheet. 
The two sides' contrasting fortunes were shown by their approach to the game in the early stages.

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Ipswich 1 - 1 Swansea

Under-fire Ipswich boss Roy Keane is still searching for his first win of the season after being held by Swansea.
Craig Beattie put the Swans ahead with his first goal for the club after seven minutes, smashing the ball past debutant keeper Asmir Begovic. 
But that lead was cancelled out eight minutes later when Pablo Counago side-footed home from close range. 
Ipswich looked threatening from set pieces but could not find a way through as Swansea held firm. 
It means Keane's side have failed to win any of their opening 12 Championship games and remain rooted to the bottom of the table.
www.blackpoolfc.co.uk

www.bbc.co.uk

Ipswich Town - Swansea City

Ipswich's longest ever winless start to a league season has now reached 11 matches. Considering their performances, they deserved first win a couple of rounds ago. Two goals late in stoppage time left them without three points against Sheffield United (3-3) and in last round vs. Barnsley (1-2). The weakest link certainly was goalkeeper Richard Wright. That problem has been solved with new on-loan signing, Asmir Begovic, goalie from Portsmouth. Skipper Alex Bruce is expected to return from a groin injury, while all others are fit and available to Keano. Dressing room atmosphere is fine, fans and management give a full support to Keano.

Swansea is in great run of five games without defeat and only one goal conceded. Despite that, my impression is they’re limited side with average players and can not see them higher than middle of the table. They have also some injury problems. Striker Gorka Pintado and midfielder Joe Allen will face late fitness tests. Defender Fedde Bessone should be fit but striker Guillam Bauza and another defender Albert Serran are likely to be missing.

Shortly, it’s time and nice opportunity for a first win for Ipswich. Pinnacle offer 2.20, home win.

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Still losing

Swansea 0 - 0 Bristol City

Swansea City were denied victory in this goal-less draw at Liberty Stadium to leave them on one Championship win in seven starts under boss Paulo Sousa.
The Swans regularly put Bristol City under pressure, but the Robins' solid start to the campaign continued. 
Craig Beattie and Jordi Lopez spurned good second-half chances for the hosts, who saw Ferrie Bodde return after a seven-month injury absence. 
Robins goalkeeper Adriano Basso stood firm under Swansea's onslaught.

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Leicester 1 - 1 Peterborough

Penalties either side of half-time left Leicester and Peterborough with a share of the spoils in an entertaining game.
The lively Aaron Mclean was tripped by Leicester defender Wayne Brown and Adam Boyd fired Posh ahead from the spot. 
Leicester pushed hard after going behind and Matty Fryatt should have scored but missed when through on goal. 
They eventually drew level through Fryatt's spot-kick after Tom Williams was adjudged to have blocked with his hand from a Robbie Neilson effort. 
Both sides were promoted from League One last season and whilst Leicester have settled back into life in the Championship well, Peterborough have now equalled a club record for the most games without a win at the start of a season. 
They had their chances to win the match, notably from a Craig Mackail-Smith 20-yard volley that flew wide late on. 
Equally though, they could have lost the game as keeper Joe Lewis twice saved well from Foxes' substitute Paul Gallacher in the closing seconds of the first half and Steve Howard had a header cleared off the line for the home side.
www.bbc.co.uk

Swansea City - Bristol City

After very successful previous season and 8th place, Welsh side are facing a lots of problems at the start of recent one. Departure of best striker and club’s mascot Jason Scotland was a big hit for their ambitions. Management evaluated the middle of the table should be achieved even without him, but big problems with injuries threat to ruin the calculation even on the start. Swans noticed just a single win from six games (Coventry 1-0, away), two draws and three defeats with just three goals scored (no other club has scored fewer in the Championship). At home even worse, just one scored goal (four conceded) in three games. Boss and former Portugal star, Paulo Sousa, has been trying to make formation without Scotland, but his permanent headache is additionally caused by medical reports. Striker Stephen Dobbie (ribs), midfielder Darren Pratley (shoulder), Irish winger Thomas Butler (hernia) and Spain forward Guillem Bauza (knee) are all out for tonight’s encounter. These four should be first team regular! But that’s not the end. Two defenders, Angel Rangel and skipper Garry Monk are suspended, while another striker (third), Lee Trundle, cannot be included under the terms of his loan from Bristol City! Missing of seven regular players would hit even for much stronger squads and it seems we’ll wait to see some of their bright moments.

Bristol City came into this season with same ambitions, top half of the table and every chance for something more should be used. So far, they play over the expectations. At their home Ashton Gate, the Robins are brilliant with all three wins, over Crystal Palace 1-0, QPR 1-0 and Championship giants Middlesbrough 2-1. And despite not so good record on the road (two draws and defeat in three games and nine games without an away win in the league (two draws, seven defeats)), club show some signs of big potential and announce a battle for the biggest surprise of the season. The main reason for their good displays is young striker Nicky Maynard, who has netted five goals so far this season (from City’s seven). He functions very well with on-loan Costa Rican Alvaro Saborio in attacking line and these duo was meritorious for last good result, 1-1 in Coventry, Maynard – goal, Saborio – assist. City’s play was always characterized with iron defence and tight midfield, game “for a goal less”. Now, it’s got a new dimension and they could make some very good displays and results this season. Defenders Bradley Orr and Lewin Nyatanga have fully recovered from illness. Only missing will be striker John Akinde who is out for a month with an ankle injury. 

There have only been two goals in last five matches between these clubs and everything suggests on another low scoring game. Odds on under are miserable (about 1.65), but odds on City (3.12 at Pinnacle) are simply sweet and shouldn’t be overlooked. Even with a covering of a draw (about 2.15). Definitely worth of a bet. So, dnb on visitors. 

Maybe one more later. Stay tuned.

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Leicester 2 - 1 Swansea

Two goals in three second-half minutes saw Leicester come from behind to mark their return to the Championship with victory over Swansea.
Ashley Williams had given the Swans the lead after 17 minutes heading home Mark Gower's corner. 
Dorus de Vries saved Steve Howard's penalty. 
But Martyn Waghorn got the Foxes level on 69 minutes, his effort deflecting off Williams, before Dany N'Guessan wrapped up the win three minutes later. 
The result was Swansea's third successive opening day defeat and first defeat for new boss Paulo Sousa.
www.bbc.co.uk