Showing posts with label Pilgrims. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pilgrims. Show all posts

Leicester City - Plymouth Argyle

Foxes started their returning season in Championship in a great manner and after some excellent results occupied high position. Leicester, however got two slaps from the direct opponents for the play-off zone. First, lost at their fortress – Walkers Stadium against Preston (1-2). Lads responded very well with the run of six games unbeaten, four wins and two draws. Then, in last round another shock. West Brom walked away with three points and again 1-2. In the days after the game, players were annoyed because the international brake that took them a chance to bounce back immediately. Good side is manager Nigel Pearson had enough time to stabilize the squad and focus them to pre-season target, play-off. Captain, Matt Oakley, misses the game as he is suspended after picking up five yellow cards, but his fellow midfielder Andy King returns in the squad after he recovered from an arm injury. 

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Plymouth made a run of three games without a defeat. Home draw against drowning Kean and Ipswich wasn’t unexpected, but making a nightmare from Strachan’s debut in Boro really was. 1-0 win at Riverside gave them the wings and lads defeated Doncaster (2-1) at home in next round. Manager Paul Sturrock is keen to stick with the formula that has provided two excellent wins, but his plans, however, may be disrupted by injury concerns over two of the heroes from those victories. Plymouth biggest strength are counter attacks through the flanks and excellent execution by Rory Fallon. Appearance of both wingers, Alan Judge and Craig Noone, will need to be assessed. I guess one will play. Also, Fallon scored the winning goal for his New Zealand and led them to WC. Long trip and lack of focus could reflect on his performance at Walkers. On-loan right-back, David Gray, will have a late fitness test, while captain Carl Fletcher is available again after serving a one-match ban.

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Foxes will be focused and very serious. This could be a key game for them. Failure would dedicate their fate to the middle of the table, while win would returned them to the way for play-off. Difference in quality is obvious, Walkers is one of the worst place for visiting and despite Leicester have six wins with a single goal margin, I expect a convincing win. So, home win (1.76 at Pinnacle) and handicap as a gamble. Correct score 2-0.

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Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle

Middlesbrough hold a place in the play-off zone (4th) and made two good performances in last two rounds. First, won against Derby at home (2-0) which was a first positive result at Riverside after three defeats without a single goal scored (WBA 0-5. Leicester 0-1 and Watford 0-1). Then Southgate got fired and new man in charge, Gordon Strachan, watched from vip seat an away draw vs. Preston (2-2). Considering their ratio performances/points, in my opinion Boro lack in points and possess unused potential that especially reflected in home games (ten points from 21). Strachan declared the striking force as the main problem and already sign on two months loan deal striker Marcus Bent from Birmingham (ex Charlton). Two forwards, Caleb Folan and Jeremie Aliadiere, are injured and Bent goes straight into Boro’s starting eleven. All others are fit and available to the new boss. Debuts of the new managers always have a positive impact to the team morale and Strachan surely couldn’t wish a better opponent for it (maybe we can even talk about god timing of chairman Steve Gibson).

 

In opening 14 rounds and noticed 9 (from possible 42) points, Pilgrims haven’t shown anything that could keep them in the Championship. After seven consecutive defeats, team won twice (Peterborough and Scunthorpe), then again bad run with just one point in three games (bottom side, Keano’s Ipswich 1-1) and in my opinion it’s fair to say Plymouth simply don’t possess enough quality to resist against any decent club in Championship. Here are some facts about their previous effort. They are the only side not to have kept a single clean sheet this season, have picked up one point from their eight matches against top-half clubs and have conceded nine goals in the last 15 minutes of matches this season - more than any other club. Really can’t see any sign of potential improving. At Riverside, boss Paul Sturrock will have some additional problems, with missing players. Young defender Darcy Blake is suspended, while key striker Rory Fallon will face a fitness test. Also, Pilgrims could have a big problem at right back (Boro’s best scorer so far is winger Adam Johnson, btw.) as Gray and McNamee have ankle injuries.

 

Difference in quality is obvious, home ground and new manager who will make his debut on the bench will also be the big advantages. My opinion is only miracle could save Plymouth of a debacle at Riverside.  My suggestion is home handicap win. -1, -1.25, -1.5 choose which you like.

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I'll be on the road for the weekend. Maybe one more analyze for Sunday (Cardiff), maybe not. Cheers lads.

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Bristol City - Plymouth Argyle

Bristol City currently hold 9th position with one point far prom 6th Preston and considering the squad quality it’s very probable they’ll finish somewhere around play-off zone, or maybe in it. While they still haven’t won on the road (four draws, two defeats), home performances are outstanding (four wins, two draws) and 14 from possible 18 points have been noticed. Main characteristic of their performance is a game on small number of goals (only Swansea have produced less). They heavily lose the games and when take a lead (usually in the first half) keep the result waiting for some counter attack to finish the job. That style of play cost them three points at Saturday against one of the main contenders for moving in the third tier (beside tonight’s opponent) – Peterborough (1-1 at home) as George Boyd equalized deep in the stoppage time. Now, at Ashton Gate come weak Pilgrims and there is no room for another failure. Won’t be any keeping the minimal lead and the Robins will try to decide the game as soon as possible. Defender Liam Fontaine will be out for a further three weeks with an ankle problem, midfielder Brian Wilson is still out with a shin injury, but Bristol City have no new injury worries and same eleven from weekend are expected. 

After the run of 7 (seven) consecutive defeats, Plymouth noticed two victories, over the fellows from the bottom - Peterborough United (2-1 at home) and against “you’ll never know what to expect from us” - Scunthorpe United (2-1 on the road). Another defeat (at Blackpool, 0-2) turned them back into relegation zone. After the game, boss Paul Sturrock stated the main reason for defeat is 11 hours spent in the bus! Hm…,ok. The problem is squad didn’t return to Devon after the game and spent two days at Stoke-on-Trent (half of the distance). So, players won’t be much more rested than at Saturday. Sturrock announced intention to fresh the squad with new players (what players?!) but the question is are the lads from the bench capable to improve the team’s shape and help to resist at one hell’s place, as Ashton Gate surely is. Club’s officials have insisted that Paul Sturrock's job as manager is safe (those statements usually means opposite) despite the arrival of former Argyle and England striker Paul Mariner as head coach. And Blackpool defeat didn’t help. However, lack of quality, tired players, bad dressing room atmosphere and manager who lost control should be the main reasons (in that order) why I (guess nobody) don’t expect them to take anything from this encounter. Except mentioned freshening the squad, no other injury concerns for Sturrock.

The Robins got a slap from Posh at Saturday. Now they’re focused and full of rage. Will play in front the own fans and three points are at most. On the other half of the pitch will be week and tired Plymouth. This game will be uncertain as far as visitors manage to not concede a goal. Not so long I think. Home win (1.75 at Pinnacle) and handicap as gamble.

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One more pick before the kick-off. Cheers.


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Blackpool - Plymouth Argyle

After 11 rounds, Blackpool hold 11th place and have been showing the quality for the top half of the table. While on the road they usually look harmless (two defeats in a row, Bristol City 0-2 and Crystal Palace 1-4), at their home they play like different squad. As a small stadium with fanatic fans, Bloomfield Road simply isn’t a place where other clubs like to be. Three wins (with two draws) in five home games, with just two conceded goals and three consecutive wins (Coventry 3-0, Newcastle 2-1 and Peterborough 2-0). Manager Ian Holloway can include on-loan Plymouth defender Marcel Seip, who has yet to make his debut. Talented winger Ishmel Demontagnac made a stupidity and got a red card in reserve match for violent conduct, which means automatically three game suspension. However, his ban does not yet come into force and he may feature. Defenders Danny Coid, Ian Evatt, and strikers Daniel Nardiello, Gary Taylor-Fletcher and Stephen McPhee are all long term absentees for the hosts.

Plymouth remain as one of the main favorites for moving in lower division. With limited funds team couldn’t be strengthened during the transfer market and Pilgrims simply don’t have enough quality for something more than struggling to avoid relegation. A spot in the middle at the end of season would be a blessing. After incredible run of results with seven consecutive defeats(!), Plymouth made two 2-1 wins (Peterborough on the road and Scunthorpe at home). Despite the good run, I don’t think we’ll see more from that and see Plymouth in third tier next year. Only advantage that Pilgrims will have at Bloomfield Road is statistic that says they lost there just once in 13 years. Plymouth also have won two of their last three matches, claiming seven points out of nine. Argyle's on-loan defender from Aston Villa Shane Lowry will be assessed after returning from international duty, while defender Darcy Blake traveled with the squad after being passed fit. Defenders Chris Barker and Reda Johnson and midfielder Kari Arnason are all ruled out, along with long term absentee defender (on-loan from Man.Utd.) James Chester. Chester is the only player that is missing from the last fixture. Plymouth is the only team in Championship (beside Peterborough) without a clean sheet so far.

Considering all the facts that I could find, I don’t see any reason why this shouldn’t be a convincing home win. The Seasiders are much better side, international brake came in the right time for them to consolidate and today’s opponent is excellent for ending the crisis. This is my pick of the day and clear home win. Pinnacle offer 1.85. Handicap as a gamble.

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Can not promise, but should be one more analyze later. Ipswich first win in season and I still think about Cardiff and Portsmouth.


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Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City

Despite two more than decent displays, Plymouth remain as one of the serious contenders to relegate. The team haven’t been seriously upgraded and just because the fighting spirit and slight touch of luck, they have two points on the balance. At the first round, they surprised Crystal Palace on the road, taking the lead in the first half and defending the rest of the game, grabbing a point (1-1) at the end. In the previous round, oppositely, they were chasing the result after the half-time. The Pilgrims attacked favorited QPR and got another point in the last minute of the game, by own-goal visitors’ defender Kasparss Gorks! But it is obvious, they lack in quality and boss Paul Sturrock will have a difficult task to keep the club in second tier. Few days ago, club signed Alan Gow from Rangers (worth 200 000 UK Pounds) and hope he’ll shake off a calf injury and get international clearance to play. If he does, midfielder is set to play alongside on-loan Celtic striker Cillian Sheridan, who could get his first start. Skipper Carl Fletcher and defender Kristian Timar are returning in team after injuries. Argyle have not won in six league outings, drawing four and losing two since beating Coventry 4-0 at Home Park on 11 April.

Last season, Cardiff finished one place below the play-offs and that form shows signs of continuing into the new campaign. In the first round, they wished a welcome to new-comers Scunthorpe United with four goals in the net (4-0). Second round brought a trip to Bloomfield Road and hard game against Blackpool. Michael Chopra scored early for a lead, but hosts equalized twenty minutes later. In the rest of the game both sides had few opportunities on wet pitch to notice a win, but 1-1 remained. However, decent result stayed in the shadow of few injuries. The worst situation is with excellent Ross McCormack who faces six to eight weeks out after injuring his hamstring. Boss Dave Jones even took a time for a joke, saying “we're happy because nobody will want to buy Ross now” (meaning on interest of some Premier League teams). Beside him, at the same game defender Paul Quinn has survived a scare over a knee injury and could be back in action against Bristol City on Sunday, while midfielder Stephen McPhail is ready to play after being taken off as a precaution when he felt his hamstring. Gabor Gyepes has shaken off a knock he got playing for Hungary last week. Some youngsters like Adam Matthews (who came on as sub against Plymouth) will get the chance, but anyway visitors are favorites here.

Pilgrims noticed two points against very strong opponents, but tonight will face surely the strongest from those. Fatigue is a big enemy to their fighting attitude and simply I don’t think they can be lucky three times in a row. On the other hand, in each of the past two seasons, Cardiff have drawn more than half of their away league matches - 12 from 23 and instead clear away win I’m covering a draw with Asian handicap. So, 2 AH(0), (or 2 DNB), 1.82 at Pinnacle.

One more later.

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Birmingham - Plymouth



Birmingham continue to test the nerves of their fans. Blades are just point behind, after another disapointing performance by Alex McLeish lads. Incredible fact is the last team in Championship was closer to victory. Charlton dominated and had better goal opportunities. The Blues had just two attempts by Keith Fahey and saved a draw thankfully to goalie Maik Taylor. Now, the whole season is in last four games. No space for another relaxing attitude, St.Andrews will be full, hosts will fight and beat from the first whistle. Alex McLeish is sweating on the fitness of Garry O'Connor for the clash, as the striker is suffering with a virus. Lee Carsley serves the second game of a three-match ban for his dismissal against Wolves, right back Stuart Parnaby is injured and veteran Djimi Traore is not fully fit.

Pilgrims started to notice the good results just on time. Two wins in a row (Blackpool, 1-0 away and Coventry, 4-0 at home), six points above the line. Good performances at Home Park finally bring the points. Excellent first half and four balls in Coventry's net and second was clear formality. They travel in Birmingham with no pressure. The only injured player is young Man Utd defender Craig Cathcart (deputised by Chris Barker), but the question is will Paul Sturrock put the same eleven on the pitch, or maybe save some players from another effort in three days and keep them for the last decisive rounds.

This is definitely a pick of the day. Hosts know this game can take their dreams (and one year effort) away (into play-off, at least), visitors know they don't have too much chances at St.Andrews. 888 offers 1.62 for home win, Pinnacle 1.61. Absolutely no doubt for me. And visitors will probably keep the strength for the next clashes, rather than fight for a point. My other bet is home handicap win.