Showing posts with label Posh. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Posh. Show all posts

England and Serbia, two bets

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Huddersfield - Peterborough  

No big philosophy here. Two extremely attacking sides and even if Peterborough wish to play one of their tight games, Hudders won’t allow that. Have some ugly feeling in the gut Posh will make it, but will stick to the goals.

Bet: Over 2.5
Odd: 1.80 Expekt
Stake: 8/10
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Vojvodina - Crvena Zvezda

This is clash for 2nd place. Both sides aren’t careless since it would bring two additional weeks for summer rest (winner will start from 3rd round qualifications for Europa League, loser from 2nd) and both coaches stated its importance. Zvezda also celebrate jubilee, 20 years from being European Champions and crowds will be packed. There’s also a little prestige between these two sides. Zvezda play extremely attacking football (with extremely poor scoring ability though), Vojvodina won’t be defending at home. I’m pretty surprised with these odds, I would rather expect something around 1.85. And it’s not like I missed something.

Bet: Over 2.5
Odd: 2.30 William Hill
Stake: 8/10


Crvena Zvezda - Olimpique, 29.5.1991. last penalty and celebration 
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Leicester – Watford

Leicester overcame the crisis of results (4 consecutive defeats) and with two wins in a row (QPR home 4-0 and Peterborough away 2-1), they’re one step from a play-off spot. Margin between them and 7th Blackpool is 4 points and theoretically they could seal the play-off even today. But, after Watford, Leicester will play 2 very difficult games, Preston-away and in last round Boro at home. So, win today is crucial. Different epilogue would bring a trouble. Midfielder Lloyd Dyer is returning after a knock vs. Posh. No other worries for boss Pearson. 

Watford are fighting to avoid relegation. They’re 19th, three points far from a line, but played a game less than the opponents. They’re undefeated in last 3 occasions, beating in last round a direct opponent from the bottom – Argyle. But, their shape on the road looks sensationally bad. In last 13 games, 10 defeats and 3 draws, all without a clean sheet and just on 2 of them didn’t concede 2 or more goals! Defender Harley and midfielder Lansbury served their suspensions and return to the squad. 

For Leicester, whole season is a stake and no room for an easy approach. I expect a fighting game from them and a win with at least two goals margin. Personally, expected 1.50-1.55 for a home win and think –0.75 ah at these odds is very good bet. StanJames offer 2.00, bet365 1.85.
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Peterborough United - Coventry City

Peterborough are stuck for the bottom with big ten points less than the first club above the relegation line. They have two wins in last 11 league games, but both came in last two home encounters (QPR 1-0 and Ipswich 3-1). With 13 rounds left, it seems Posh are safe for dropping down to the third tier. They simply lack in quality and have noticed such number of points only thankfully to fanatic spirit and very bad home pitch (will be rain and again soiled surface). Club sent on loan to Nott.Forest best player, midfielder George Boyd and made real unrest in the dressing room. They’ll be without defender Ryan Bennett, midfielder Josh Simpson, while striker Reid and defender Geohaghon will have late fitness tests. New on-loan signing from Wolves, Mark Little should make his debut. All 5 of Posh's league wins this season have been at home, but none of them have been against sides currently in the top half of the table.

 

Coventry are in more than decent run of results with four wins (including Forest and Palace on the road) and a defeat (Newcastle, 1-4 on the road) in last five games. Defeat vs. Toons at the same time was the only one in last eight games. Boss Coleman said before last game (Scunny, 2-1 at home) it was the decisive moment in the season. Win would launch them into play-off contenders (3 points far, now), otherwise would be judged for middle-table fate. Won caused the team morale is higher than ever, fans support as well (3000 fans are expected today). Coventry are without defender Richard Wood and midfielder David Bell, while defender Leon Barnett is suspended. Midfielder Sammy Clingan will need to be assessed.

 

To stay in Championship, Peterborough  should make an incredible run of results. It’s impossible and they know it. One early conceded goal would mean surrender. City are flying high, no pressure, great manager, decent squad and current run of results make them the favorites today. Draw no bet on away side. 

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QPR - WBA, Over 2.5

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Swansea - Peterborough

Swansea are 4th, six points above the play-off zone and it seems they’re living their pre-season expectations. They gain specific, fighting style of play, scored the least number of goals in Championship (same number as today’s opponent), but also conceded least (same as Newcastle). At home have just two defeats, but seven draws alongside that number of wins. They haven’t lost in 11 league games since a 1-0 home defeat against Nottingham Forest on 12.12.. Shortly, Swans are hard working side that hard score but much harder concede. They’re consistent and one of the safe play-off spots is for them. Midfielders, Joe Allen and Andrea Orlandi are out, while striker Gorka Pintado is suspended. Key midfielder Leon Britton and striker Cedric van der Gun are fit to return. The Swans are undefeated in seven league games against Posh (3 wins, 4 draws).

Peterborough are stuck for the bottom, with 10 point less than first above the line Sheff.Wed. and it seems Posh are first team in the third tier. They have two wins in last two home games (Ipswich and Cardiff) and have been making some improvement under Jim Gannon, but they simply don’t possess enough quality for Championship. They’ve made seven consecutive defeats on the road (3 goals scored and 16 conceded)! They gain the same style of play as Swans, but the difference is they’ve conceded 55 goals in the league and they’re the only Championship side to have scored less than 10 away goals all season.. Defender Ryan Bennett is injured, while skipper George Boyd is doubtful with a virus. Posh and Barnsley are the only clubs to have lost as many as six Championship matches in 2010.

This will be the game between the clubs with similar style of play, but obvious class in quality makes from Swansea a hard favorite here. Posh will defend with all players, but their resist will last only till first conceded goal. This is an opportunity for Swans to notice a win without uncertainty after a while. Home win with asian handicap -1.

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And a gamble: Leicester - Nottingham Forest, Draw


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Cardiff City- Blackpool

Cardiff go in this game after two disaster results. First lost more than unlucky at home against strugglers Plymouth (0-1) than faced even bigger shock on the road vs. another strugglers Peterborough. After excellent first half and high 4-0 lead, Welsh side allowed to concede four times and let two points gone with the wind. Those two games weren’t played badly and it’s more crisis of results than performances, but interesting fact is their bad results always come in series of 4-5 games. Last season finished under the play-off zone instead direct promotion thankfully to three loses and a draw in last four rounds, this season also had two such runs, in September five defeats from six games and in November three consecutive defeats. Bad luck should only boost their morale, but the fact their complaints about the luck came after the games against two probably worst squads in the league calls on caution. Also, conceding four goals from Posh for one half is disgrace. And after that confidence of defense line can’t be to high. No problem with injury players as all that have been in doubt are expected to be fit.

 

Thankfully to manager Ian Holloway, Seasiders are (beside Forest) the biggest surprise of the season so far. They started recent campaign as one of main contenders for relegation, but they’re currently at 8th place with just three points less (and two games less from most other clubs) of play-off zone. With limited budget, Holloway is pulling the maximum from existing players. They also have gained a large amount of self confidence, actually liking to be underdogs. Already ruined Boro at Riverside (3-0). Few days later, also on the road, were defeated against Ipswich but put another open performance and after that in third consecutive game on the road defeated Derby 2-0. New year started with a defeat in Cup, for them not important competition. I have no doubt they see their chance against confused hosts. However, Holloway will have to cope with missings of his two key defenders, Ian Evatt and Rob Edwards, who are both suspended. Blackpool have scored in all of their last eight matches and have failed to score only three times this season.

 

I’ve been thinking about this encounter since I saw the schedule. Cardiff, although very strong side look very inconsistent lately. Bad results for them come in the waves, while defense was trashed by the weakest side in the league. Visitors through the season look very dangerous with Charlie Adam in a great shape. Pitch is in perfect condition thankfully to undersoil heating and won’t limit pass play. Both clubs have very strong attacks, but also problems in back lines. I expect another open game and goals on both sides. 1.96 at Pinnacle. Over.

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Bristol City - Plymouth Argyle

Bristol City currently hold 9th position with one point far prom 6th Preston and considering the squad quality it’s very probable they’ll finish somewhere around play-off zone, or maybe in it. While they still haven’t won on the road (four draws, two defeats), home performances are outstanding (four wins, two draws) and 14 from possible 18 points have been noticed. Main characteristic of their performance is a game on small number of goals (only Swansea have produced less). They heavily lose the games and when take a lead (usually in the first half) keep the result waiting for some counter attack to finish the job. That style of play cost them three points at Saturday against one of the main contenders for moving in the third tier (beside tonight’s opponent) – Peterborough (1-1 at home) as George Boyd equalized deep in the stoppage time. Now, at Ashton Gate come weak Pilgrims and there is no room for another failure. Won’t be any keeping the minimal lead and the Robins will try to decide the game as soon as possible. Defender Liam Fontaine will be out for a further three weeks with an ankle problem, midfielder Brian Wilson is still out with a shin injury, but Bristol City have no new injury worries and same eleven from weekend are expected. 

After the run of 7 (seven) consecutive defeats, Plymouth noticed two victories, over the fellows from the bottom - Peterborough United (2-1 at home) and against “you’ll never know what to expect from us” - Scunthorpe United (2-1 on the road). Another defeat (at Blackpool, 0-2) turned them back into relegation zone. After the game, boss Paul Sturrock stated the main reason for defeat is 11 hours spent in the bus! Hm…,ok. The problem is squad didn’t return to Devon after the game and spent two days at Stoke-on-Trent (half of the distance). So, players won’t be much more rested than at Saturday. Sturrock announced intention to fresh the squad with new players (what players?!) but the question is are the lads from the bench capable to improve the team’s shape and help to resist at one hell’s place, as Ashton Gate surely is. Club’s officials have insisted that Paul Sturrock's job as manager is safe (those statements usually means opposite) despite the arrival of former Argyle and England striker Paul Mariner as head coach. And Blackpool defeat didn’t help. However, lack of quality, tired players, bad dressing room atmosphere and manager who lost control should be the main reasons (in that order) why I (guess nobody) don’t expect them to take anything from this encounter. Except mentioned freshening the squad, no other injury concerns for Sturrock.

The Robins got a slap from Posh at Saturday. Now they’re focused and full of rage. Will play in front the own fans and three points are at most. On the other half of the pitch will be week and tired Plymouth. This game will be uncertain as far as visitors manage to not concede a goal. Not so long I think. Home win (1.75 at Pinnacle) and handicap as gamble.

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One more pick before the kick-off. Cheers.


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Leicester City - Peterborough Utd.

After just six rounds in the second tier, Leicester proved their pre-season high expectations have reliable cover. Club have no financial worries, squad is well balanced and eleven points in opening six rounds is just a sign of their high limits. At their Walkers Stadium, they’ve noticed all three wins (Swansea City 2-1, Barnsley 1-0 and Blackpool 2-1). Foxes also gathered a large amount of self confidence in their previous season in League One (1st place with 96 points and 84 scored goals on the balance) and don’t respect anyone even in higher level. Excellent striker Matty Fryatt (32 goals last season) started again to terrorize opposite’s goalkeepers. Five goals so far and both in Saturday’s home win over Blackpool (2-1). If they manage to keep their recent shape, Foxes will be the favorites against any opponent at Walkers, where they completed a calendar year without a league defeat. Manager Nigel Pearson has a full strength squad at his disposal bar midfielder and ex-skipper Stephen Clemence and defender Aleksandar Tunchev. Pearson also has raise a dressing room atmosphere saying he would not swap his squad for any other in the Championship.

Oppositely from tonight’s hosts, Peterboroug find it’s very difficult to collect points in the second tier, noticing their worst start to a season for 21 years. Three draws and same defeats from opening six rounds, with six goals scored and big ten conceded (just Scunthorpe have managed to concede more – 13). Strategy for backing on own forces hasn’t brought anything good, so far. Squad hasn’t been strengthened during the transfer market and visitors will face a tough season to avoid return to League One. However, yet they can consider themselves unlucky following a series of some good displays that have gone unrewarded. Last one was in Saturday’s draw (1-1) against favored QPR on the road. Lads showed some courage, attacked the hosts and took a lead in the opening stage of the game. Conceded a goal later, but was closer to victory. One their goal was cancelled in stoppage time and even QPR’s boss Jim Magilton said that his side were lucky to avoid defeat. Now Posh have to turn good displays in collecting the points. Well, Walkers Stadium is not the best place for improving the points balance, but maybe their luck will change. Boss Darren Ferguson will again be without his key defender Charlie Lee as his ankle injury has not yet healed and striker Ben Wright is also out.

Big winners against big losers. I can not say I’m smelling a rat, but won’t be surprised if Posh noticed a first win there where nobody expects. Home side have already added three points from this game on their account, while visitors will attack again. Instead home win, I see an open game and go for goals. 2.05 at Expekt. Over.

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QPR - Peterborough

QPR made another disappointing start, in season where the expectations are higher than ever. Club have financial power (from Formula One) and lots of money have been invested in the squad so far. So, a win, a defeat and three draws is not something that Flavio Briatore and others in the club expected. Both games at their home, Loftus Road, ended with 1-1 draws (Blackpool and Nottingham Forest) and this is a nice opportunity for a first win. Team have been additionally strengthened with four loan players from Premier League. Last one is highly rated Arsenal’s teenager Jay Simpson which task will be to give Rangers more firepower. Before him, club have signed two midfielders, Ben Watson (from Wigan) and Adel Taarabt (from Tottenham) and goalie Tom Heaton (Man.Utd.). In last game, against Scunthorpe on the road, squad showed signs of progress beating the hosts 1-0. Mentioned Moroccan, Adel Taarabt, netted the only goal at Glanford Park with just three minutes on the clock and the rest of the game QPR successfully kept the result and important three points. Good news for boss Jim Magilton is skipper Martin Rowlands is back after an ankle injury. But Magilton will miss youngster Angelo Balanta (midfielder) who is still out with an ankle injury and defender Fitz Hall who has been sidelined by a groin problem.

Peterborough are noticing not so good debut in English Championship. Just two points from possible 15. Three defeats (Derby 1-2 away, WBA 2-3 at home and Preston North End 0-2 away) and two home draws (Sheffield Wednesday and Crystal Palace, both 1-1). During the transfer market, club didn’t buy a lot, backing on own forces. That formula was bringing a success to Posh in lower divisions, but it seems, the second tier is to big obstacle for this players. Darren Ferguson’s biggest problem is shaky defense line which conceded nine goals so far (the most of them at the start of the match) and short bench. As QPR, they also made a good performance in last round, after being held to a 1-1 draw by favored Crystal Palace. Also, good news for Ferguson come from his medical service as winger Chris Whelpdale could make his first start of the season after a hernia operation, while defender Jamie Day is back in the squad after impressing in the reserve squad match and midfielder Dean Keates is close to match fitness. Today, Posh won’t attack to much. They’ll wait a chance for a counter attack through the flanks, using their key man George Boyd and attacking left-back Tommy Williams.

QPR definitely have the quality for the top half of the table, maybe even something more from that. Previous season was wasted, now it is the time for them to finally start to show their full potential. Better opponent for that, they couldn’t wish. Pinnacle offer 1.83. Home win.

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Peterborough 1-1 Crystal Palace


Peterborough are still looking for their first win in the Championship this season after a draw with 10-man Crystal Palace at London Road Stadium.
Winger Shaun Batt gave the hosts the lead on 53 minutes, but Alan Lee bundled in an equaliser for Neil Warnock's side 11 minutes later. 
Palace defender Paddy McCarthy was sent off with 16 minutes remaining for a second bookable offence. 
Posh now have only two points from five league games this season.
www.bbc.co.uk