Premier League and Championship betting, 31 March

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QPR - Arsenal, over

Queens Park have noticed just one win out of last eight matches in the league and all of sudden, they dropped under the relegation line. They are also without a clean sheet in 21 Premier League games.

Arsenal have made seven league wins in a row and they surprisingly appeared at the third place. No pressure as the title is lost long time ago, but very good reason to play.

QPR will put some serious fight on their smaller pitch and I cannot completely exclude the possibility of a surprise. I will back goals, rather than Arsenal.

Bet: Over 2.75

Odd: 1.98 (bet365)

Stake: 8/10

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Portsmouth - Burnley, Portsmouth

Pompey haven’t given up after points deduction and with three points today, they could be above the line. They took seven out of possible nine points from last three at home, defeating Hull and Birmingham.

Burnley are safe from relegation and too far from play-off. They made four defeats and a draw out of last five on the road, today will be probably without top striker Jay Rodriguez. They’ve lost six out of last eight competitive matches against Pompey (both home and away).

Pompey are in a very good momentum, while Burnley are probably far from standards of Hull and Brum who already lost at Fratton Park. Some limitation in case of a draw.

Bet: Portsmouth -0.25

Odd: 1.98 (Ladbrokes)

Stake: 9/10

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Premier League and Championship betting, 24 March

Norwich City - Wolverhampton
Norwich are in a sort of downtrend with three defeats and one draw out of last four in the league. However, their season looks absolutely fine (their last three seasons, actually) and they still have a chance to finish in the top-half (8th Swans have just three points more). Good news is Anthony Pilkington is back.
Wolves’ board probably had different plans with sacking McCarthy, but after they didn’t attract any serious name Terry Connor was a forced solution. In his four games in charge, Wolves have conceded 14 goals and looked pretty clueless in front (scored 2). Their confidence is certainly not a sky high, they remind me on Pompey few seasons ago and I wouldn’t be surprised if their free fall continues and just stay at the bottom.

Bet: Norwich -0.75

Odd: 2.06 (Ladbrokes)
Stake: 7/10

Reading - Blackpool
Reading noticed a shocking midweek defeat at the hands of Posh, but at Madejski have five consecutive wins and nine out of last ten with goal diff. 18-4! They will miss striker, Jason Roberts (B’pool will miss Roman Bednar).
The Seasiders have only one win out of last five in the league and lost on their last two trips against not so impressive sides - Derby and Peterborough.
Backing a winning horse, here.

Bet: Reading
Odd: 1.95 (888sport)
Stake: 8/10

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Premier League and Championship betting, 17 March

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Fulham - Swansea

Fulham are in a pretty good shape, before stoppage time defeat at Birmingham they had three consecutive wins in league. At home they have four league wins out of last five (six out of eight) and at Cottage they have scored 29 of their season total of 37. Board wisely replaced Zamora with Pavel Pogrebnyak which seems to be a great piece of business, since Russian has scored five goals in his four outings.

Swans are euphoric after massive home win against spoiled millionaires, but as Fulham they also show much better displays at home. Away they’ve noticed only three wins out of 14 matches (eight defeats) and absence of suspended Nathan Dyer will be a serious blow for their counters and attacking threats. They were defeated in last four visits to Craven Cottage, conceding a total of 14 goals.

It’s always a danger to bet when play two teams from the middle (and probably nothing to play for), but today think I have valid reasons for backing Fulham.

Bet: Fulham -0.75
Odd: 2.09 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 8/10

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Millwall - Southampton

Millwall are only six points far from relegation line, but considering the strength of teams below I am pretty sure their status is not in danger. However, their recent home results are horrible with five defeats and a draw out of six. Millwall have the worst record in the division against any of the current top-half sides and huge blow is absence of Liam Trotter due to injury.

The Saints are still on the top and I am of belief they’ll just stay there. Besides Reading, Southampton are side in the best shape, undefeated in last nine and conceded only three goals in those. They’re league top scorers (total of 65 goals) and Nigel Adkins will have a fully fit squad today.

Any visit to the Den is certainly not a walk through the park, but obvious difference in quality and recent results should provide a nice away win.

Bet: Southampton -0.5
Odd: 2.12 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 7/10
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Championship and League One betting 10 March

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Peterborough United - Blackpool, over 2.75 @ 1.91 (188bet)

This will be the meeting of two free scoring and free conceding sides. Posh’s home games have produced the highest number in the league - 59, which makes an unreal average of 3.69 per a game! While they’re best scoring home team, in the visit are coming the best scoring away team - Blackpool. Also in Seasiders’ away games there have been 61 goals scored (only Ipswich made the same number), with average of 3.36 goals and their last eight trips produced three or more goals.

Bet: Over 2.75
Odd: 1.91 (188bet)
Stake: 8/10
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Wycombe - Colchester, over 2.75 @ 2.02 (Pinnacle)

While Wanderers desperately need points to avoid relegation, at the same time they’re far the worst defence in division, conceding total of 69 goals (next is Chesterfield with 57). Visitors made two great wins in the past two rounds defeating Preston and Charlton (first for Charlton defeat at home) and all of sudden became play-off contenders. After those two wins, they must be thinking they’re gonna eat Wycombe for breakfast. Goals again.

Bet: Over 2.75
Odd: 2.02 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 9/10
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League One betting, Hartlepool - MK Dons

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The Pools still have some hope for a play-off spot (five points gap) and have scored in four home games out of five since Neale Cooper took the charge. They have top scorer James Poole who played 60 min for reserve squad and should appear from the start, another striker Luke James should start as well. Their last three league games produced three or more goals.

Visitors seem to be in a great shape, they’ve noticed three wins on a trot and occupy safe play-off spot. The Dons will miss few players, but won’t be lacking in confidence since they’ve won last three games at Victoria Park and have total of five wins and two draws out of last seven against Hartlepool.

Both sides have played some high scoring games lately, there shouldn’t be too much pressure and both sides must fancy their chances. I am going for goals.

Bet: Over 2.5 
Odd: 1.98 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 8/10
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Premier League 26 Feb, Arsenal - Tottenham

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Arsenal have won only one of their last ten meeting with Spurs, Wenger’s position is uncertain as never and they could even stay out of top-four. Spurs are in the better mood, they won’t win the title but will play in Champions League. Both sides play nice attacking football, had a free midweek and will have fresh legs. No reason why both sides shouldn’t go for all three points. Five of their last six league matches have finished with three or more goals (three of those with four or more). In last three visits to Emirates, Spurs were twice two goals down but once win and once grabbed a point.

Bet: Over 2.75
Odd: 1.93 (Ladbrokes)
Stake: 8/10
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Championship and League One betting, 25 Feb

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Portsmouth - Leeds

Portsmouth are in big financial problems that, according to Liam Lawrence, do affect the players. They have been docked ten points (dropped into relegation zone), are also in administration, lost best striker to Birmingham and will be without striker Dave Kitson! Additionally, they’ve lost five matches out of last seven.

Leeds are coming to the town with Neil Warnock in charge. At their previous trip they lost vs. last placed Coventry, but at Elland against Donny whites made a big come back and won from 0-2 to 3-2. Allegedly, Warnock made a half-time speech in the dressing room. They seem to be in completely opposite trend than Pompey.

I am taking some coverage in case of a draw, but idea is to back Leeds.

Bet: Leeds -0.25
Odd: 2.00 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 8/10
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Charlton - Stevenage

The Addicks are topping the table with seven points margin, but lately playing with their fans nerves making three draws out of last four in league. They’ll miss again striker Danny Haynes, but skipper johnnie Jackson is back. Defence line will also go to normal as right-back Solly returns to squad and Rhoys Wiggins will move to his natural position at the left side.

Stevenage lost their first game under Gary Smith, by a stoppage time goal at Notts County. Before that, they stopped Spurs at home in Cup (0-0) and this is their 3^rd tough game for only six days. They won’t have fresh legs and not like they’re not going to need them today.

I am backing Charlton here at more than acceptable odd.

Bet: Charlton
Odd: 2.10 (Ladbrokes)
Stake: 7/10
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FA Cup betting, Norwich - Leicester

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Lambert stated that Premier League status is their prime objective, but the fact is they’re 8^th with eleven points above the line and next league game is for eight days. Leicester are safe from relegation in Championship and nine points far from play-off. It looks like both sides could have a push for Cup competition. Both sides also have enough fire power and they probably wouldn’t like to play a repeat game. I expect an open match and go for goals.

Bet: Over 2.5
Odd: 1.88 (Pinnacle)
Stake: 9/10
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