Good night after all. I was so annoyed when Colchester turned the game from 0-1 to 2-1 and then conceded for a draw. Then I paid attention on the other results... Complete chaos! I wasn't even thinking about Cardiff and QPR, but plenty of shocking results. Leeds, Nott Forest, Bristol Rovers, Hudders, Rotheram, Peterborough... Last 3 weeks in England are real mine field. But... Most important thing. My September is green, finally!!! Yes!
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Spartak Moskva - MSK Zilina 3-0 WON
Colchester - Dag & Red 2-2 LOST
Norwich - Leicester 4-3 WON
Statistic:
September
Profit: +1.82 units Yield: +1.65%
Season
Profit: +27.18 units Yield: +12.11%
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Colchester are very good League One side and they’re only League One side that still haven’t notice a defeat in the opening 8 rounds. They have five draws, but should be mentioned their tough schedule and playing against top league clubs (draws against Sheff Wed, Carlisle, Plymouth and S’ton and win over Rochdale). In previous round Colchester defeated Tranmere, scoring three times in the first half of hour, making it very comfortable. Two defenders, Pat Baldwin and Brian Wilson, will face a late fitness test.
After eight rounds, Daggers have collected only 6 points and it seems their adventure in the higher level will hardly last longer than a season. Just one point on the road in previous four games with goal difference 2-8. If there’s any reason for the optimism, it’s last round draw at Charlton. However, I don’t really think they can play two away games on that level twice in four days. They’ll miss two defenders for tonight’s game, Will Antwi and Abu Ogogo.
After tough games, Colchester should feel relaxation to see Daggers on the other half of the pitch. Another 3 points should launch them to the top. Smell of Championship could be the strongest motivation. Home win, 2-0 correct score.
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Bet: Colchester -0.75
Odd: 1.97 Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10
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Despite 3 defeats in first 6 rounds, County have been noticing a good start in their debut in 3rd tier. All of those 3 came from league giants,
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Orient started the season in a manner that fully justifies public opinion about them as relegation contenders. Four defeats, draw and one win is probably a trend that will follow them through the season. Beside expected failure against Hudders, shocking were their displays and defeats against neighbors Charlton (1-3, with one player more), Yeovil and in last away game Dag&Red. Boss Slade has a problem in defense line as his key defender, Charlie Daniels, is injured and will face a late fitness test. Club brought a replacement for him on loan from Millwall, experienced Andrew Frampton, but he also got an injury in last round and will be sidelined.
County will be fully motivated here, as they have to win games like Leyton at home if wish to stay in the league. They’re still in “debut season” syndrome and I expect their climbing on the table. Home win.
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Bet: Notts County -0.5
Odd: 1.83 Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10
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Southampton - Bournemouth 2-0 WON
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MK Dons - Dag & Red 2-1 1/2 WON
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Statistic:
Profit: +12.15
Yield: +39.19%
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I: I was trying to find a service that could guarantee for my bets and statistic. Without too much success as all of them require some decent additional effort and I'm not in the mood for that. So, here's a deal. I won't be editing posts with the bets (results will be published in a new one). Every bet has its post and posting time is before a game. If you aren't sure about my honesty, Google don't lie. : )
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II: Live bets are important part. Mainly, I use it to edge my bets. I'll be posting it in the chat box, including odds and stake. If you follow some my bet, be here during the game and see what and when to bet. Remaining of these bets depends from your feedback. No feedback for a while would mean there's no interest and I'll stop publish that.
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I really appreciate any feedback that I get. You have my e-mail, chat and comments. Suggestions, ideas, what you like, what you don't, opinion about some bet... Help me to make this blog even better.
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Lots of friendlies tonight. My focus will be another two games of Carling Cup. Will make a closer view and post a bet(s) if there's any.
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August is always a tough month, this is a great start of the season. Hope you followers enjoy.
Thanks for the visiting and good luck,
Dule
Dons made a good start of the season with a win on the road, against decent Walsall side (2-1). New boss, Karl Robinson, will have his debut in front the home fans. He’ll also have a task to make first home win after 5 months. He stated that financial benefits will be a strong reason to try to progress as far as possible. He’ll be without suspended defender Mat Doumbe, but important midfielder Peter Leven has served his ban and returns to the squad. Gary MacKenzie could have his debut. Dons won all three games against tonight’s opponent.
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Dagenham are newly promoted side and already showed that avoiding relegation will be a hard task. They lost at the opening day against Wednesday 0-2, but disturbing is they didn’t look even competitive and could have conceded few more without any threat in front Wed.’s goal. They’ll probably be less focused here as their main target is league games and to keep all players fit. Boss John Still will probably rest his top striker Paul Benson, who has been carrying an ankle injury. They noticed defeats in all three attempts to pass the first round.
Dons looked impressive in the first round. They play at home ground, new boss has debut in front the fans, he’ll put out a strong team and I think they won’t be lacking in motivation. Dons should win this comfortably.
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Bet: MK Dons -0.75ah
Odd: 1.98 bet365
Stake: 7/10
Considering shocks yesterday, I should be satisfied these games. However, I could buy a house from a money that Scunthorpe have burnt in past 2 years.
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Reading - Scunthorpe 1-2 LOST
Sheffield Wednesday - Dag & Red 2-0 WON
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Statistics:
Yield: +2%
Profit: +0.32
Wednesday should be (beside Southampton) the main contender for winning the league. They’ve made some changes in the squad. Strikers Leon Clarke and Francis Jeffers and goalie Lee Grant left the club, but management brought some very quality replacements. Striker Mellor and midfielder Sedgwick from Preston, ex Coventry top striker Clinton Morrison and former Man City and England Under-21 goalkeeper Nicky Weaver. Boss Irvine came too late to clean all the mess that Laws left in the club, but this season Wednesday with players like Tudgay, Purse, O'Connor, Miller, Johnson (beside mentioned four) should be too much for the rest of the league. Also, important thing is they made an arrangement with bank about financial debt and won’t be forced to sell the best players. Only concern for today’s game is mentioned winger Jermaine Johnson who is battling to overcome a knee injury.
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After securing promotion to the third tier for the first time by winning last season's play-off final, Dagenham became the bookmakers' favorites for relegation. Manager John Still worked wonders in getting them up, but if he can keep them there it will be a real miracle. Team simply has a limited potential and with average home attendance that rarely get above 2.000, they’ll be hardly competitive on this level. Dagenham have some doubts over defenders Scott Doe and Abu Ogogo who picked up knocks in pre-season, while striker Paul Benson is expected to start.
Home side is a main contender for the top and they look even stronger than in previous season. It’s always risky to take handicap in the first round, but beside obvious class difference, importance of a good start and packed Hillsborough should guarantee a convincing win. 2-0, or 3-0 correct score.
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Pick: Sheff.Wed. -1ah
Stake: 8/10
Odd: 2.04 Pinnacle
Dagen. & Redbr. - Burton Albion 1 @ 1.94 2-1
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Leicester – Watford -0.75 ah @ 1.85 4-1
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Hartlepool United - Colchester Utd. 1 DNB @ 1.85 3-1
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Blackpool - Nottingham Forest 1 @ 2.00 3-1
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Hope you enjoyed. See you tomorrow. Dule
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Hosts are in play-off race, two points far from the line. Have three consecutive home wins, all were with two or three goals margin. Against Burton, won last three home games, again two or three goals margin. Manager John Still hopes to name the same side that won vs. Barnet, 4-1 at Tuesday.
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Burton came from the Conference and already achieved their target for this season, to avoid relegation. In last three away games, have two draws and a defeat against bottom sides. Two important players are in doubt. Winger Keith Gilroy and striker Richard Walker. Considering the low game importance, they probably won’t appear (and I won’t take over, beside home win). In last 8 games vs. Dagenham, Burton noticed a draw and 7 defeats.
